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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 30 April 19, 2026 15:30 Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
SC Freiburg
#7 · 47 pts
2 – 1
Final score
1. FC Heidenheim
#17 · 26 pts
✓Model correct — prediction SC Freiburg
J. Manzambi (ast. V. Grifo) 24'
M. Eggestein (ast. V. Grifo) 83'
58' (ast. M. Honsak) B. Zivzivadze
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 59% win probability (draw 21%, 1. FC Heidenheim 19%). The final result was SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
1.62
Actual xG
1.57
1
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
4
18
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽J. Manzambi · ast. V. Grifo
24'
46'
B. Zivzivadze / J. Niehues ↕
58'
ast. M. Honsak · B. Zivzivadze⚽
↕ I. Matanovic / Y. Suzuki
68'
↕ D. Scherhant / J. Beste
68'
↕ J. Manzambi / N. Hofler
68'
N. Hofler
70'
72'
C. Conteh / A. Ibrahimovic ↕
76'
A. Beck / N. Dorsch ↕
76'
S. Schimmer / M. Honsak ↕
↕ C. Gunter / J. Makengo
78'
⚽M. Eggestein · ast. V. Grifo
83'
↕ L. Kubler / P. Lienhart
85'
Pre-match prediction
59.21%
SC ←
21.55%
X
19.24%
1.
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg) 59.21% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
2.04
1.62
-0.42
1.
1.13
1.57
+0.44
xG dominance was balanced (1.62 – 1.57). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 34 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 34 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 34 26
Lineups
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
1 Noah Atubolu Noah Atubolu G 6.30
30 Christian Günter Christian Günter 78' D 6.30
43 Bruno Ogbus Bruno Ogbus D 7.20
28 Matthias Ginter Matthias Ginter D 7.30
17 Lukas Kübler Lukas Kübler 85' D 6.70
44 J. Manzambi J. Manzambi 1 ⚽ 68' M 8.30
8 M. Eggestein M. Eggestein 1 ⚽ M 7.90
32 V. Grifo V. Grifo 2 👟 M 7.30
9 L. Höler L. Höler M 7.70
7 Derry Scherhant Derry Scherhant 68' M 6.50
31 I. Matanović I. Matanović 68' F 6.30
Bench
22
Cyriaque Irié F
19 J. Beste J. Beste 24' D 6.90
33 Jordy Makengo Jordy Makengo 14' D 6.30
27 Nicolas Höfler Nicolas Höfler 24' M 6.70
3 Philipp Lienhart Philipp Lienhart 7' D
29 Philipp Treu Philipp Treu D
14 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 24' M 6.90
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4-1-4-1
41 Diant Ramaj Diant Ramaj G 6.60
26 Hennes Behrens Hennes Behrens D 7.30
19
D 6.90
6 Patrick Mainka Patrick Mainka D 6.20
2 Marnon Busch Marnon Busch D 6.30
16 Julian Niehues Julian Niehues 45' M 6.60
17 Mathias Honsak Mathias Honsak 1 👟 76' M 6.70
30 Niklas Dorsch Niklas Dorsch 76' M 6.20
3 Jan Schöppner Jan Schöppner M 6.90
22 A. Ibrahimović A. Ibrahimović 72' M 6.50
18 Marvin Pieringer Marvin Pieringer F 6.30
Bench
21 Adrian Beck Adrian Beck 16' M 6.60
11 B. Zivzivadze B. Zivzivadze 1 ⚽ 47' F 7.50
9 Stefan Schimmer Stefan Schimmer 16' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
J. Manzambi
J. Manzambi
M · SC
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 29 pass
M. Eggestein
M. Eggestein
M · SC
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
L. Höler
L. Höler
M · SC
7.70
1 shots · 22 pass
B. Zivzivadze
B. Zivzivadze
F · 1.
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Matthias Ginter
Matthias Ginter
D · SC
7.30
1 shots · 48 pass
V. Grifo
V. Grifo
M · SC
7.30
2 👟
· 27 pass
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Noah Atubolu G 92 6.30 — — — 43 27% — — —
Christian Günter D 78 6.30 — — — 21 13% 2 — —
Bruno Ogbus D 92 7.20 — — — 38 33% 4 — —
Matthias Ginter D 92 7.30 — — 1 48 36% 3 — —
Lukas Kübler D 85 6.70 — — — 22 18% 2 — —
J. Manzambi M 68 8.30 1 — 3 29 25% 2 — —
M. Eggestein M 92 7.90 1 — 1 44 40% 1 — —
V. Grifo M 92 7.30 — 2 — 27 21% — — —
L. Höler M 92 7.70 — — 1 22 16% 2 1 —
Derry Scherhant M 68 6.50 — — 1 10 7% — — —
I. Matanović F 68 6.30 — — 2 9 5% — — —
J. Beste D 24 6.90 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
Jordy Makengo D 14 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Nicolas Höfler M 24 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Philipp Lienhart D 7 — — — — 1 — — — —
Y. Suzuki M 24 6.90 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diant Ramaj G 92 6.60 — — — 62 43% — — —
Hennes Behrens D 92 7.30 — — — 34 27% 3 — —
D 92 6.90 — — — 48 44% 2 — —
Patrick Mainka D 92 6.20 — — — 40 34% — — —
Marnon Busch D 92 6.30 — — — 34 27% 1 — —
Julian Niehues M 45 6.60 — — — 17 15% — — —
Mathias Honsak M 76 6.70 — 1 2 15 12% — — —
Niklas Dorsch M 76 6.20 — — 1 30 29% — — —
Jan Schöppner M 92 6.90 — — — 28 24% 1 — —
A. Ibrahimović M 72 6.50 — — 1 22 16% — — —
Marvin Pieringer F 92 6.30 — — 1 22 16% 1 — —
Adrian Beck M 16 6.60 — — — 7 7% — — —
B. Zivzivadze F 47 7.50 1 — 1 14 10% — — —
Stefan Schimmer F 16 6.70 — — 2 4 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The final score was SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The model assigned 59% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 21% to a draw, and 19% to an 1. FC Heidenheim win.