Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 32
May 03, 2026 19:30
P. Lienhart
(ast. J. Manzambi)
75'
55'
(ast. C. Eriksen)
K. Koulierakis
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 54% win probability (draw 21%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%). The final result was SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
0.92
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
1
Corners
7
12
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
55'
ast. C. Eriksen ·
K. Koulierakis⚽
M. Ginter
57'
L. Holer
/ I. Matanovic
58'
B. Ogbus
/ P. Lienhart
58'
V. Grifo
/ D. Scherhant
71'
C. Gunter
/ L. Kubler
72'
72'
M. Svanberg
/
Vini Souza
72'
L. Majer
/
P. Wimmer
⚽P. Lienhart
· ast. J. Manzambi
75'
81'
M. Svanberg
Y. Suzuki
/ N. Hofler
81'
87'
M. Amoura
/
A. Daghim
90'+7
M. Jenz
/
K. Koulierakis
90'+7
Y. Gerhardt
/
C. Eriksen
Pre-match prediction
54.08%
SC
21.45%
X ←
24.47%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.96
0.75
-1.21
1.25
0.92
-0.33
xG dominance was balanced (0.75 – 0.92).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Noah Atubolu
G
Noah Atubolu
G
30
Christian Günter
72'
D
Christian Günter
72'
D
43
Bruno Ogbus
58'
D
Bruno Ogbus
58'
D
28
Matthias Ginter
D
Matthias Ginter
D
29
Philipp Treu
D
Philipp Treu
D
44
Johan Manzambi
1 👟
M
Johan Manzambi
1 👟
M
8
Maximilian Eggestein
M
Maximilian Eggestein
M
32
V. Grifo
71'
M
V. Grifo
71'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
81'
M
Y. Suzuki
81'
M
19
J. Beste
M
J. Beste
M
9
L. Höler
58'
F
L. Höler
58'
F
Bench
22
Cyriaque Irié
F
Cyriaque Irié
F
7
Derry Scherhant
19'
F
Derry Scherhant
19'
F
31
I. Matanović
32'
F
I. Matanović
32'
F
33
Jordy Makengo
D
Jordy Makengo
D
17
Lukas Kübler
18'
D
Lukas Kübler
18'
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
9'
M
Nicolas Höfler
9'
M
3
Philipp Lienhart
1 ⚽
32'
D
Philipp Lienhart
1 ⚽
32'
D
1
G
4
K. Koulierakis
1 ⚽
89'
D
3
Denis Vavro
D
6
J. Belocian
D
21
J. Mæhle
M
J. Mæhle
M
24
C. Eriksen
1 👟
89'
M
5
Vinicius Souza
72'
M
Vinicius Souza
72'
M
39
P. Wimmer
72'
M
26
S. Kumbedi
M
17
D. Pejcinovic
F
11
A. Daghim
87'
F
Bench
25
A. Zehnter
D
7
K. Shiogai
F
10
L. Majer
18'
M
9
M. Amoura
11'
F
M. Amoura
11'
F
32
M. Svanberg
18'
M
Best on the pitch
Philipp Lienhart
D · SC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
K. Koulierakis
D · VfL
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Noah Atubolu
G · SC
7.30
· 43 pass
Matthias Ginter
D · SC
7.20
· 79 pass
Johan Manzambi
M · SC
7.20
1 👟
3 shots
· 42 pass
P. Wimmer
M · VfL
7.00
1 shots
· 16 pass
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Christian Günter | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 72% | — | 1 | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Johan Manzambi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Maximilian Eggestein | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 32 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| K. Koulierakis | D | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Denis Vavro | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Belocian | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mæhle | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 5 | — | — |
| C. Eriksen | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinicius Souza | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Wimmer | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 6 | — | — |
| S. Kumbedi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Pejcinovic | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Daghim | F | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Majer | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Svanberg | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 54% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 21% to a draw, and 24% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.