P. Lienhart
(ast. J. Manzambi)
75'
55'
(ast. C. Eriksen)
K. Koulierakis
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 54% win probability (draw 21%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%). The final result was SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
0.92
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
1
Corners
7
12
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
55'
ast. C. Eriksen ·
K. Koulierakis⚽
M. Ginter
57'
L. Holer
/ I. Matanovic
58'
B. Ogbus
/ P. Lienhart
58'
V. Grifo
/ D. Scherhant
71'
C. Gunter
/ L. Kubler
72'
72'
M. Svanberg
/
Vini Souza
72'
L. Majer
/
P. Wimmer
⚽P. Lienhart
· ast. J. Manzambi
75'
81'
M. Svanberg
Y. Suzuki
/ N. Hofler
81'
87'
M. Amoura
/
A. Daghim
90'+7
M. Jenz
/
K. Koulierakis
90'+7
Y. Gerhardt
/
C. Eriksen
Pre-match prediction
54.08%
SC
21.45%
X ←
24.47%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.96
0.75
-1.21
1.25
0.92
-0.33
xG dominance was balanced (0.75 – 0.92).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Noah Atubolu
G
Noah Atubolu
G
30
Christian Günter
72'
D
Christian Günter
72'
D
43
Bruno Ogbus
58'
D
Bruno Ogbus
58'
D
28
Matthias Ginter
D
Matthias Ginter
D
29
Philipp Treu
D
Philipp Treu
D
44
J. Manzambi
1 👟
M
J. Manzambi
1 👟
M
8
M. Eggestein
M
M. Eggestein
M
32
V. Grifo
71'
M
V. Grifo
71'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
81'
M
Y. Suzuki
81'
M
19
J. Beste
M
J. Beste
M
9
L. Höler
58'
F
L. Höler
58'
F
Bench
22
Cyriaque Irié
F
7
Derry Scherhant
19'
F
Derry Scherhant
19'
F
31
Igor Matanović
32'
F
Igor Matanović
32'
F
33
Jordy Makengo
D
Jordy Makengo
D
17
Lukas Kübler
18'
D
Lukas Kübler
18'
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
9'
M
Nicolas Höfler
9'
M
3
Philipp Lienhart
1 ⚽
32'
D
Philipp Lienhart
1 ⚽
32'
D
1
G
4
K. Koulierakis
1 ⚽
89'
D
K. Koulierakis
1 ⚽
89'
D
3
Denis Vavro
D
6
Jeanuël Belocian
D
Jeanuël Belocian
D
21
J. Mæhle
M
J. Mæhle
M
24
C. Eriksen
1 👟
89'
M
C. Eriksen
1 👟
89'
M
5
Vinicius Souza
72'
M
Vinicius Souza
72'
M
39
Patrick Wimmer
72'
M
Patrick Wimmer
72'
M
26
Saël Kumbedi
M
Saël Kumbedi
M
17
D. Pejčinović
F
D. Pejčinović
F
11
Adam Daghim
87'
F
Adam Daghim
87'
F
Bench
25
Aaron Zehnter
D
Aaron Zehnter
D
7
Kento Shiogai
F
Kento Shiogai
F
10
Lovro Majer
18'
M
Lovro Majer
18'
M
9
M. Amoura
11'
F
M. Amoura
11'
F
32
Mattias Svanberg
18'
M
Mattias Svanberg
18'
M
Best on the pitch
Philipp Lienhart
D · SC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
K. Koulierakis
D · VfL
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
Noah Atubolu
G · SC
7.30
· 43 pass
Matthias Ginter
D · SC
7.20
· 79 pass
J. Manzambi
M · SC
7.20
1 👟
3 shots
· 42 pass
Patrick Wimmer
M · VfL
7.00
1 shots
· 16 pass
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Atubolu | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Christian Günter | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 72% | — | 1 | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 32 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| K. Koulierakis | D | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Denis Vavro | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jeanuël Belocian | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mæhle | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 5 | — | — |
| C. Eriksen | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinicius Souza | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Patrick Wimmer | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 6 | — | — |
| Saël Kumbedi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Daghim | F | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Lovro Majer | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mattias Svanberg | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 54% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 21% to a draw, and 24% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.