P. Lienhart
(ast. J. Manzambi)
75'
55'
(ast. C. Eriksen)
K. Koulierakis
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 54% win probability (draw 21%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%). The final result was SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
0.92
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
1
Corners
7
12
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
55'
ast. C. Eriksen ·
K. Koulierakis⚽
M. Ginter
57'
L. Holer
/ I. Matanovic
58'
B. Ogbus
/ P. Lienhart
58'
V. Grifo
/ D. Scherhant
71'
C. Gunter
/ L. Kubler
72'
72'
M. Svanberg
/
Vini Souza
72'
L. Majer
/
P. Wimmer
⚽P. Lienhart
· ast. J. Manzambi
75'
81'
M. Svanberg
Y. Suzuki
/ N. Hofler
81'
87'
M. Amoura
/
A. Daghim
90'+7
M. Jenz
/
K. Koulierakis
90'+7
Y. Gerhardt
/
C. Eriksen
Pre-match prediction
54.08%
SC
21.45%
X ←
24.47%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.96
0.75
-1.21
1.25
0.92
-0.33
xG dominance was balanced (0.75 – 0.92).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
N. Atubolu
G
N. Atubolu
G
30
C. Günter
72'
D
C. Günter
72'
D
43
I. Ogbus
58'
D
I. Ogbus
58'
D
28
M. Ginter
D
M. Ginter
D
29
P. Treu
D
P. Treu
D
44
J. Manzambi
1 👟
M
J. Manzambi
1 👟
M
8
M. Eggestein
M
M. Eggestein
M
32
V. Grifo
71'
M
V. Grifo
71'
M
14
Y. Suzuki
81'
M
Y. Suzuki
81'
M
19
J. Beste
M
J. Beste
M
9
L. Höler
58'
F
L. Höler
58'
F
Bench
22
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
F
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
F
7
D. Scherhant
19'
F
D. Scherhant
19'
F
31
I. Matanović
32'
F
I. Matanović
32'
F
33
J. Makengo
D
J. Makengo
D
17
L. Kübler
18'
D
L. Kübler
18'
D
27
Nicolas Höfler
9'
M
Nicolas Höfler
9'
M
3
P. Lienhart
1 ⚽
32'
D
P. Lienhart
1 ⚽
32'
D
1
G
4
K. Koulierakis
1 ⚽
89'
D
K. Koulierakis
1 ⚽
89'
D
3
D. Vavro
D
D. Vavro
D
6
J. Belocian
D
J. Belocian
D
21
J. Mæhle
M
J. Mæhle
M
24
C. Eriksen
1 👟
89'
M
C. Eriksen
1 👟
89'
M
5
Vinicius Souza
72'
M
Vinicius Souza
72'
M
39
P. Wimmer
72'
M
P. Wimmer
72'
M
26
Saël Kumbedi
M
Saël Kumbedi
M
17
D. Pejčinović
F
D. Pejčinović
F
11
A. Daghim
87'
F
A. Daghim
87'
F
Bench
25
Aaron Zehnter
D
Aaron Zehnter
D
7
K. Shiogai
F
K. Shiogai
F
10
L. Majer
18'
M
L. Majer
18'
M
9
M. Amoura
11'
F
M. Amoura
11'
F
32
M. Svanberg
18'
M
M. Svanberg
18'
M
Best on the pitch
P. Lienhart
D · SC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
K. Koulierakis
D · VfL
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
N. Atubolu
G · SC
7.30
· 43 pass
M. Ginter
D · SC
7.20
· 79 pass
J. Manzambi
M · SC
7.20
1 👟
3 shots
· 42 pass
P. Wimmer
M · VfL
7.00
1 shots
· 16 pass
SC Freiburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Atubolu | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | — | — | — |
| C. Günter | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Ogbus | D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M. Ginter | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 79 | 72% | — | 1 | — |
| P. Treu | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Eggestein | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Grifo | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Y. Suzuki | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Beste | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Höler | F | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| D. Scherhant | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Matanović | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Kübler | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas Höfler | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| P. Lienhart | D | 32 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| K. Koulierakis | D | 89 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vavro | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Belocian | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mæhle | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 5 | — | — |
| C. Eriksen | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinicius Souza | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Wimmer | M | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 6 | — | — |
| Saël Kumbedi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Daghim | F | 87 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Majer | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Svanberg | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 54% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 21% to a draw, and 24% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.