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P. Lienhart (ast. J. Manzambi) 75'
55' (ast. C. Eriksen) K. Koulierakis
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Freiburg a 54% win probability (draw 21%, VfL Wolfsburg 24%). The final result was SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg. In 1 previous meetings, SC Freiburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for VfL Wolfsburg.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
0.92
3
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
1
Corners
7
12
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
55'
ast. C. Eriksen · K. Koulierakis⚽
M. Ginter
57'
↕ L. Holer / I. Matanovic
58'
↕ B. Ogbus / P. Lienhart
58'
↕ V. Grifo / D. Scherhant
71'
↕ C. Gunter / L. Kubler
72'
72'
M. Svanberg / Vini Souza ↕
72'
L. Majer / P. Wimmer ↕
⚽P. Lienhart · ast. J. Manzambi
75'
81'
M. Svanberg
↕ Y. Suzuki / N. Hofler
81'
87'
M. Amoura / A. Daghim ↕
90'+7
M. Jenz / K. Koulierakis ↕
90'+7
Y. Gerhardt / C. Eriksen ↕
Pre-match prediction
54.08%
SC
21.45%
X ←
24.47%
VfL
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SC
1.96
0.75
-1.21
VfL
1.25
0.92
-0.33
xG dominance was balanced (0.75 – 0.92). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu N. Atubolu G 7.30
30 C. Günter C. Günter 72' D 6.30
43 I. Ogbus I. Ogbus 58' D 6.70
28 M. Ginter M. Ginter D 7.20
29 P. Treu P. Treu D 6.70
44 J. Manzambi J. Manzambi 1 👟 M 7.20
8 M. Eggestein M. Eggestein M 6.90
32 V. Grifo V. Grifo 71' M 6.90
14 Y. Suzuki Y. Suzuki 81' M 6.60
19 J. Beste J. Beste M 6.90
9 L. Höler L. Höler 58' F 6.30
Bench
22 Cyriaque Kalou Irié Cyriaque Kalou Irié F
7 D. Scherhant D. Scherhant 19' F 6.50
31 I. Matanović I. Matanović 32' F 6.60
33 J. Makengo J. Makengo D
17 L. Kübler L. Kübler 18' D 6.60
27 Nicolas Höfler Nicolas Höfler 9' M 6.30
3 P. Lienhart P. Lienhart 1 ⚽ 32' D 8.20
1
G 6.60
4 K. Koulierakis K. Koulierakis 1 ⚽ 89' D 7.60
3 D. Vavro D. Vavro D 6.20
6 J. Belocian J. Belocian D 6.60
21 J. Mæhle J. Mæhle M 6.90
24 C. Eriksen C. Eriksen 1 👟 89' M 6.90
5 Vinicius Souza Vinicius Souza 72' M 6.90
39 P. Wimmer P. Wimmer 72' M 7.00
26 S. Kumbedi S. Kumbedi M 6.60
17 D. Pejčinović D. Pejčinović F 6.20
11 A. Daghim A. Daghim 87' F 6.60
Bench
25 A. Zehnter A. Zehnter D
7 K. Shiogai K. Shiogai F
10 L. Majer L. Majer 18' M 6.70
9 M. Amoura M. Amoura 11' F 6.50
32 M. Svanberg M. Svanberg 18' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
P. Lienhart
P. Lienhart
D · SC
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
K. Koulierakis
K. Koulierakis
D · VfL
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
N. Atubolu
N. Atubolu
G · SC
7.30
· 43 pass
M. Ginter
M. Ginter
D · SC
7.20
· 79 pass
J. Manzambi
J. Manzambi
M · SC
7.20
1 👟
3 shots · 42 pass
P. Wimmer
P. Wimmer
M · VfL
7.00
1 shots · 16 pass
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Atubolu G 90 7.30 — — — 43 30% — — —
C. Günter D 72 6.30 — — — 21 16% 1 — —
I. Ogbus D 58 6.70 — — — 41 38% — — —
M. Ginter D 90 7.20 — — — 79 72% — 1 —
P. Treu D 90 6.70 — — — 60 54% — — —
J. Manzambi M 90 7.20 — 1 3 42 34% 2 — —
M. Eggestein M 90 6.90 — — 1 50 42% 2 — —
V. Grifo M 71 6.90 — — 2 42 36% — — —
Y. Suzuki M 81 6.60 — — — 16 14% — — —
J. Beste M 90 6.90 — — — 32 24% 3 — —
L. Höler F 58 6.30 — — — 16 9% — — —
D. Scherhant F 19 6.50 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
I. Matanović F 32 6.60 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
L. Kübler D 18 6.60 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Nicolas Höfler M 9 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
P. Lienhart D 32 8.20 1 — 2 37 35% 1 — —
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 33 17% — — —
K. Koulierakis D 89 7.60 1 — 1 32 24% 1 — —
D. Vavro D 90 6.20 — — — 21 16% — — —
J. Belocian D 90 6.60 — — 1 30 25% 3 — —
J. Mæhle M 90 6.90 — — — 22 19% 5 — —
C. Eriksen M 89 6.90 — 1 1 29 22% 2 — —
Vinicius Souza M 72 6.90 — — — 20 14% 4 — —
P. Wimmer M 72 7.00 — — 1 16 9% 6 — —
S. Kumbedi M 90 6.60 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
D. Pejčinović F 90 6.20 — — 3 30 18% 1 — —
A. Daghim F 87 6.60 — — 3 15 9% 1 — —
L. Majer M 18 6.70 — — 1 8 5% 1 — —
M. Amoura F 11 6.50 — — — 4 1% — — —
M. Svanberg M 18 6.30 — — — 4 2% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The final score was SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg.
What did the model predict before SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The model assigned 54% probability to a SC Freiburg win, 21% to a draw, and 24% to an VfL Wolfsburg win.