2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 08, 2026 18:30

SC Paderborn 07

#4 · 59 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Karlsruher SC

#9 · 44 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction SC Paderborn 07, result Pareggio

F. Bilbija 20'

S. Klaas 85'

75' (ast. P. Forster) F. Schleusener

79' (ast. D. Herold) S. Fukuda

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 58% win probability (draw 17%, Karlsruher SC 23%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Karlsruher SC. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Karlsruher SC.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

7

6

Shots on target

4

2.34

Actual xG

1.05

2

Saves

5

49%

Possession

51%

4

Corners

1

15

Tackles

11

0

🟨 Yellow cards

5

Match Events

10'

P. Forster

14'

C. Kobald

⚽F. Bilbija

20'

46'

A. Muller / Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↕

48'

A. Muller

58'

R. Pinto Pedrosa / S. Jung ↕

58'

F. Schleusener / L. Ben Farhat ↕

↕ N. Batzner / S. Michel

59'

↕ S. Castaneda / S. Klaas

73'

↕ F. Bilbija / R. Muller

73'

75'

ast. P. Forster · F. Schleusener⚽

79'

ast. D. Herold · S. Fukuda⚽

↕ J. Sticker / N. Mohr

83'

↕ S. Marino / K. Okpala

83'

84'

D. Burnic / P. Forster ↕

⚽S. Klaas

85'

90'+7

R. Pinto Pedrosa

90'+8

L. Opitz / S. Fukuda ↕

90'+10

M. Wanitzek

Pre-match prediction

58.28%

SC

17.89%

X ←

23.83%

Karlsruher

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.89% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SC

2.56

2.34

-0.22

Karlsruher

1.68

1.05

-0.63

SC Paderborn 07 dominated by xG (2.34 vs 1.05). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	33	67
2	SV Elversberg	33	59
3	Hannover 96	33	59
4	SC Paderborn 07	33	59
5	SV Darmstadt 98	33	52
6	Hertha BSC	33	51
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	33	49
8	1. FC Nürnberg	33	45
9	Karlsruher SC	33	44
10	VfL Bochum	33	41
11	Holstein Kiel	33	41
12	1. FC Magdeburg	33	39
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	38
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	37
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	37
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	36
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	33	34
18	Preußen Münster	33	30

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1

41

G 6.30

4

Calvin Brackelmann D 6.90

25

Tjark Lasse Scheller D 6.50

22

Mattes Hansen D 7.20

3

J. Sticker 83' M 7.50

5

Santiago Castaneda 73' M 7.30

14

M. Baur M 6.90

17

Laurin Curda M 6.60

7

F. Bilbija 1 ⚽ 73' F 6.60

9

N. Batzner 59' F 6.50

30

S. Marino 83' F 6.20

Bench

20

Felix Götze D

10

Kennedy Okpala 18' F 6.50

2

R. Muller 28' M 6.30

26

S. Klaas 1 ⚽ 28' M 7.30

11

S. Michel 42' F 6.50

Karlsruher SC 3-5-2

1

Hans Christian Bernat G 6.60

6

N. Rapp D 6.30

28

D 7.30

22

Christoph Kobald D 7.30

20

David Herold 1 👟 M 6.90

10

M. Wanitzek M 6.90

8

Hyeok-kyu Kwon 45' M 6.30

11

P. Forster 1 👟 84' M 6.90

2

S. Jung 58' M 6.20

19

L. Ben Farhat 58' F 6.20

13

S. Fukuda 1 ⚽ F 7.50

Bench

16

A. Muller 56' M 6.30

7

D. Burnic 17' M 6.50

24

F. Schleusener 1 ⚽ 43' F 7.20

21

Meiko Wäschenbach M

9

Roko Šimić F

36

R. Pinto Pedrosa 43' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

S. Fukuda

F · Karlsruher

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 11 pass

J. Sticker

M · SC

7.50

· 36 pass

Santiago Castaneda

M · SC

7.30

1 shots · 42 pass

S. Klaas

M · SC

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 12 pass

Christoph Kobald

D · Karlsruher

7.30

· 89 pass

D · Karlsruher

7.30

1 shots · 63 pass

SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	101	6.30	—	—	—	39	29%	—	—	—
Calvin Brackelmann	D	101	6.90	—	—	—	45	37%	1	—	—
Tjark Lasse Scheller	D	101	6.50	—	—	—	70	58%	1	—	—
Mattes Hansen	D	101	7.20	—	—	—	50	45%	4	—	—
J. Sticker	M	83	7.50	—	—	—	36	34%	2	—	—
Santiago Castaneda	M	73	7.30	—	—	1	42	37%	2	—	—
M. Baur	M	101	6.90	—	—	2	67	56%	1	—	—
Laurin Curda	M	101	6.60	—	—	2	32	19%	3	—	—
F. Bilbija	F	73	6.60	1	—	1	23	15%	—	—	—
N. Batzner	F	59	6.50	—	—	1	22	15%	—	—	—
S. Marino	F	83	6.20	—	—	4	12	11%	—	—	—
Kennedy Okpala	F	18	6.50	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
R. Muller	M	28	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
S. Klaas	M	28	7.30	1	—	1	12	7%	—	—	—
S. Michel	F	42	6.50	—	—	1	9	8%	1	—	—

Karlsruher SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Hans Christian Bernat	G	101	6.60	—	—	—	36	26%	—	—	—
N. Rapp	D	101	6.30	—	—	—	55	48%	—	—	—
	D	101	7.30	—	—	1	63	55%	3	—	—
Christoph Kobald	D	101	7.30	—	—	—	89	79%	—	1	—
David Herold	M	101	6.90	—	1	—	18	14%	2	—	—
M. Wanitzek	M	101	6.90	—	—	1	46	31%	1	1	—
Hyeok-kyu Kwon	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
P. Forster	M	84	6.90	—	1	—	48	42%	3	1	—
S. Jung	M	58	6.20	—	—	—	34	24%	—	—	—
L. Ben Farhat	F	58	6.20	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—
S. Fukuda	F	98	7.50	1	—	2	11	8%	—	—	—
A. Muller	M	56	6.30	—	—	—	32	30%	1	1	—
D. Burnic	M	17	6.50	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
F. Schleusener	F	43	7.20	1	—	2	9	4%	1	—	—
R. Pinto Pedrosa	D	43	6.20	—	—	—	12	11%	—	1	—