2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 08, 2026 18:30 Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

2 – 2

Final score

Karlsruher SC

#10 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction SC Paderborn 07, result Draw

F. Bilbija 20'

S. Klaas 85'

75' (ast. P. Forster) F. Schleusener

79' (ast. D. Herold) S. Fukuda

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SC Paderborn 07 a 58% win probability (draw 17%, Karlsruher SC 23%). The final result was SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Karlsruher SC. In 1 previous meetings, SC Paderborn 07 have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Karlsruher SC.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

7

6

Shots on target

4

2.34

Actual xG

1.05

2

Saves

5

49%

Possession

51%

4

Corners

1

15

Tackles

11

0

🟨 Yellow cards

5

Match Events

10'

P. Forster

14'

C. Kobald

⚽F. Bilbija

20'

46'

A. Muller / Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↕

48'

A. Muller

58'

R. Pinto Pedrosa / S. Jung ↕

58'

F. Schleusener / L. Ben Farhat ↕

↕ N. Batzner / S. Michel

59'

↕ S. Castaneda / S. Klaas

73'

↕ F. Bilbija / R. Muller

73'

75'

ast. P. Forster · F. Schleusener⚽

79'

ast. D. Herold · S. Fukuda⚽

↕ J. Sticker / N. Mohr

83'

↕ S. Marino / K. Okpala

83'

84'

D. Burnic / P. Forster ↕

⚽S. Klaas

85'

90'+7

R. Pinto Pedrosa

90'+8

L. Opitz / S. Fukuda ↕

90'+10

M. Wanitzek

Pre-match prediction

58.28%

SC

17.89%

X ←

23.83%

Karlsruher

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.89% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SC

2.56

2.34

-0.22

Karlsruher

1.68

1.05

-0.63

SC Paderborn 07 dominated by xG (2.34 vs 1.05). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	0	0
2	1. FC Heidenheim	0	0
3	FC St. Pauli	0	0
4	Hannover 96	0	0
5	SV Darmstadt 98	0	0
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	0	0
7	Hertha BSC	0	0
8	1. FC Nürnberg	0	0
9	VfL Bochum	0	0
10	Karlsruher SC	0	0
11	Dynamo Dresden	0	0
12	Holstein Kiel	0	0
13	Arminia Bielefeld	0	0
14	1. FC Magdeburg	0	0
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	0	0
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	0	0
17	VfL Osnabrück	0	0
18	Energie Cottbus	0	0

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 3-4-2-1

41

G 6.30

4 Calvin Brackelmann D 6.90

25 T. Scheller D 6.50

22 Mattes Hansen D 7.20

3 Jonah Sticker 83' M 7.50

5

S. Castaneda 73' M 7.30

14 Mika Baur M 6.90

17 L. Curda M 6.60

7 F. Bilbija 1 ⚽ 73' F 6.60

9 Nick Bätzner 59' F 6.50

30 Stefano Marino 83' F 6.20

Bench

20 F. Götze D

10 Kennedy Okpala 18' F 6.50

2 Ruben Müller 28' M 6.30

26 Sebastian Klaas 1 ⚽ 28' M 7.30

11 Sven Michel 42' F 6.50

Karlsruher SC 3-5-2

1 Hans Christian Bernat G 6.60

6 Nicolai Rapp D 6.30

28

D 7.30

22 C. Kobald D 7.30

20 D. Herold 1 👟 M 6.90

10 M. Wanitzek M 6.90

8 Hyeok-kyu Kwon 45' M 6.30

11 Philipp Förster 1 👟 84' M 6.90

2 Sebastian Jung 58' M 6.20

19 Louey Ben Farhat 58' F 6.20

13 Shio Fukuda 1 ⚽ F 7.50

Bench

16

A. Muller 56' M 6.30

7 Dženis Burnić 17' M 6.50

24 F. Schleusener 1 ⚽ 43' F 7.20

21 Meiko Wäschenbach M

36 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa 43' D 6.20

9 Roko Šimić F

Best on the pitch

Shio Fukuda

F · Karlsruher

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 11 pass

Jonah Sticker

M · SC

7.50

· 36 pass

S. Castaneda

M · SC

7.30

1 shots · 42 pass

Sebastian Klaas

M · SC

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 12 pass

C. Kobald

D · Karlsruher

7.30

· 89 pass

D · Karlsruher

7.30

1 shots · 63 pass

SC Paderborn 07 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	101	6.30	—	—	—	39	29%	—	—	—
Calvin Brackelmann	D	101	6.90	—	—	—	45	37%	1	—	—
T. Scheller	D	101	6.50	—	—	—	70	58%	1	—	—
Mattes Hansen	D	101	7.20	—	—	—	50	45%	4	—	—
Jonah Sticker	M	83	7.50	—	—	—	36	34%	2	—	—
S. Castaneda	M	73	7.30	—	—	1	42	37%	2	—	—
Mika Baur	M	101	6.90	—	—	2	67	56%	1	—	—
L. Curda	M	101	6.60	—	—	2	32	19%	3	—	—
F. Bilbija	F	73	6.60	1	—	1	23	15%	—	—	—
Nick Bätzner	F	59	6.50	—	—	1	22	15%	—	—	—
Stefano Marino	F	83	6.20	—	—	4	12	11%	—	—	—
Kennedy Okpala	F	18	6.50	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
Ruben Müller	M	28	6.30	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
Sebastian Klaas	M	28	7.30	1	—	1	12	7%	—	—	—
Sven Michel	F	42	6.50	—	—	1	9	8%	1	—	—

Karlsruher SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Hans Christian Bernat	G	101	6.60	—	—	—	36	26%	—	—	—
Nicolai Rapp	D	101	6.30	—	—	—	55	48%	—	—	—
	D	101	7.30	—	—	1	63	55%	3	—	—
C. Kobald	D	101	7.30	—	—	—	89	79%	—	1	—
D. Herold	M	101	6.90	—	1	—	18	14%	2	—	—
M. Wanitzek	M	101	6.90	—	—	1	46	31%	1	1	—
Hyeok-kyu Kwon	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	27	23%	—	—	—
Philipp Förster	M	84	6.90	—	1	—	48	42%	3	1	—
Sebastian Jung	M	58	6.20	—	—	—	34	24%	—	—	—
Louey Ben Farhat	F	58	6.20	—	—	1	9	6%	—	—	—
Shio Fukuda	F	98	7.50	1	—	2	11	8%	—	—	—
A. Muller	M	56	6.30	—	—	—	32	30%	1	1	—
Dženis Burnić	M	17	6.50	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
F. Schleusener	F	43	7.20	1	—	2	9	4%	1	—	—
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa	D	43	6.20	—	—	—	12	11%	—	1	—