La Liga
· Regular Season - 31
April 11, 2026 23:00
A. Adams
10'
(pen.)
N. Gudelj
(ast. R. Vargas)
45'
35'
(ast. J. Diaz)
J. Bonar
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Sevilla 25%). The final result was Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid. In 1 previous meetings, Sevilla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
1.78
Actual xG
0.79
1
Saves
0
32%
Possession
68%
6
Corners
6
17
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
-5'
Antoine Griezmann
8'
⚽A. Adams
(pen.)
10'
35'
ast. J. Diaz ·
J. Bonar⚽
Manu Bueno
36'
44'
Julio Díaz
⚽N. Gudelj
· ast. R. Vargas
45'
Juanlu Sánchez
67'
M. Bueno
/ D. Sow
70'
I. Romero
/ Peque
70'
71'
A. Lookman
/
R. Belaid
71'
J. Morcillo
/
R. Mendoza
75'
Alejandro Baena
R. Vargas
/ A. Sanchez
78'
86'
J. Monserrate
/
J. Diaz
Nemanja Gudelj
88'
A. Adams
/ B. Mendy
90'+4
J. Sanchez
/ G. Suazo
90'+4
90'+5
Javi Morcillo
Peque Fernández
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
25.21%
Sevilla ←
29.45%
X
45.35%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Sevilla)
25.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
1.78
+0.93
1.25
0.79
-0.46
Sevilla dominated by xG (1.78 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
36
Oso
D
Oso
D
4
Kike Salas
D
Kike Salas
D
6
Nemanja Gudelj
1 ⚽
D
Nemanja Gudelj
1 ⚽
D
32
Andres Castrin
D
Andres Castrin
D
16
Juanlu Sánchez
89'
D
Juanlu Sánchez
89'
D
11
R. Vargas
1 👟
78'
M
R. Vargas
1 👟
78'
M
28
Manu Bueno
70'
M
18
L. Agoumé
M
L. Agoumé
M
7
I. Romero
70'
M
9
A. Adams
1 ⚽
89'
F
A. Adams
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
10
Alexis Sánchez
12'
F
Alexis Sánchez
12'
F
19
Batista Mendy
1'
M
Batista Mendy
1'
M
21
C. Ejuke
F
C. Ejuke
F
20
Djibril Sow
20'
M
Djibril Sow
20'
M
12
Gabriel Suazo
1'
D
Gabriel Suazo
1'
D
17
Neal Maupay
F
Neal Maupay
F
13
Ørjan Nyland
G
Ørjan Nyland
G
14
Peque Fernández
20'
F
Peque Fernández
20'
F
1
Juan Musso
G
Juan Musso
G
34
Julio Díaz
1 👟
86'
D
Julio Díaz
1 👟
86'
D
30
D
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
32
Javier Boñar
1 ⚽
D
Javier Boñar
1 ⚽
D
21
Obed Vargas
M
Obed Vargas
M
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
71'
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
71'
M
11
T. Almada
M
T. Almada
M
10
Álex Baena
M
Álex Baena
M
29
Rayane Belaid
71'
M
Rayane Belaid
71'
M
9
A. Sørloth
F
A. Sørloth
F
Bench
22
Ademola Lookman
19'
F
Ademola Lookman
19'
F
7
Antoine Griezmann
F
Antoine Griezmann
F
15
Clément Lenglet
D
Clément Lenglet
D
20
G. Simeone
F
G. Simeone
F
19
J. Álvarez
F
J. Álvarez
F
47
Javi Morcillo
19'
M
Javi Morcillo
19'
M
14
Marcos Llorente
M
Marcos Llorente
M
3
Matteo Ruggeri
D
Matteo Ruggeri
D
16
N. Molina
D
N. Molina
D
Best on the pitch
A. Adams
F · Sevilla
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Nemanja Gudelj
D · Sevilla
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Juanlu Sánchez
D · Sevilla
7.60
· 32 pass
Javier Boñar
D · Atletico
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 55 pass
Andres Castrin
D · Sevilla
7.20
· 26 pass
R. Vargas
M · Sevilla
7.20
1 👟
· 19 pass
Sevilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Oso | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Nemanja Gudelj | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Andres Castrin | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Manu Bueno | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Agoumé | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Romero | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Adams | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Alexis Sánchez | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Batista Mendy | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Djibril Sow | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Suazo | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Musso | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 77% | 1 | — | — | |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Javier Boñar | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rayane Belaid | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ademola Lookman | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Javi Morcillo | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Sevilla win, 29% to a draw, and 45% to an Atletico Madrid win.