A. Adams
10'
(pen.)
N. Gudelj
(ast. R. Vargas)
45'
35'
(ast. J. Diaz)
J. Bonar
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Sevilla 25%). The final result was Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid. In 2 previous meetings, Sevilla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Atletico Madrid.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
2
1.78
Actual xG
0.79
1
Saves
0
32%
Possession
68%
6
Corners
6
17
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
-5'
Antoine Griezmann
8'
⚽A. Adams
(pen.)
10'
35'
ast. J. Diaz ·
J. Bonar⚽
Manu Bueno
36'
44'
Julio Díaz
⚽N. Gudelj
· ast. R. Vargas
45'
Juanlu Sánchez
67'
M. Bueno
/ D. Sow
70'
I. Romero
/ Peque
70'
71'
A. Lookman
/
R. Belaid
71'
J. Morcillo
/
R. Mendoza
75'
Alejandro Baena
R. Vargas
/ A. Sanchez
78'
86'
J. Monserrate
/
J. Diaz
Nemanja Gudelj
88'
A. Adams
/ B. Mendy
90'+4
J. Sanchez
/ G. Suazo
90'+4
90'+5
Javi Morcillo
Peque Fernández
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
25.21%
Sevilla ←
29.45%
X
45.35%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Sevilla)
25.21%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
1.78
+0.93
1.25
0.79
-0.46
Sevilla dominated by xG (1.78 vs 0.79).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
36
Oso
D
Oso
D
4
Kike Salas
D
Kike Salas
D
6
N. Gudelj
1 ⚽
D
N. Gudelj
1 ⚽
D
32
Andrés Castrín
D
Andrés Castrín
D
16
Juanlu Sánchez
89'
D
Juanlu Sánchez
89'
D
11
R. Vargas
1 👟
78'
M
R. Vargas
1 👟
78'
M
28
Manu Bueno
70'
M
Manu Bueno
70'
M
18
L. Agoumé
M
L. Agoumé
M
7
Isaac
70'
M
Isaac
70'
M
9
A. Adams
1 ⚽
89'
F
A. Adams
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
10
A. Sánchez
12'
F
A. Sánchez
12'
F
19
Batista Mendy
1'
M
Batista Mendy
1'
M
21
C. Ejuke
F
C. Ejuke
F
20
D. Sow
20'
M
D. Sow
20'
M
12
G. Suazo
1'
D
G. Suazo
1'
D
17
N. Maupay
F
N. Maupay
F
13
Ø. Nyland
G
Ø. Nyland
G
14
Peque Fernández
20'
F
Peque Fernández
20'
F
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
34
Julio Díaz del Romo
1 👟
86'
D
Julio Díaz del Romo
1 👟
86'
D
30
D
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
32
Javier Boñar
1 ⚽
D
Javier Boñar
1 ⚽
D
21
O. Vargas
M
O. Vargas
M
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
71'
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
71'
M
11
T. Almada
M
T. Almada
M
10
Álex Baena
M
Álex Baena
M
29
Rayane Belaid
71'
M
Rayane Belaid
71'
M
9
A. Sørloth
F
A. Sørloth
F
Bench
7
A. Griezmann
F
A. Griezmann
F
22
A. Lookman
19'
F
A. Lookman
19'
F
15
C. Lenglet
D
C. Lenglet
D
20
G. Simeone
F
G. Simeone
F
19
J. Álvarez
F
J. Álvarez
F
47
J. Morcillo
19'
M
J. Morcillo
19'
M
14
Marcos Llorente
M
Marcos Llorente
M
3
M. Ruggeri
D
M. Ruggeri
D
16
N. Molina
D
N. Molina
D
Best on the pitch
A. Adams
F · Sevilla
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
N. Gudelj
D · Sevilla
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Juanlu Sánchez
D · Sevilla
7.60
· 32 pass
Javier Boñar
D · Atletico
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 55 pass
Andrés Castrín
D · Sevilla
7.20
· 26 pass
R. Vargas
M · Sevilla
7.20
1 👟
· 19 pass
Sevilla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Oso | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Gudelj | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Andrés Castrín | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | D | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Manu Bueno | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Agoumé | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Isaac | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Adams | F | 89 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Sánchez | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Batista Mendy | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sow | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Suazo | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Musso | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz del Romo | D | 86 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 50 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 86 | 77% | 1 | — | — | |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 72% | — | — | — |
| Javier Boñar | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Vargas | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rayane Belaid | M | 71 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. Morcillo | M | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was Sevilla 2–1 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Sevilla win, 29% to a draw, and 45% to an Atletico Madrid win.