Conference League
· Semi-finals
April 30, 2026 21:00
O. Ocheretko
(ast. Kaua Elias)
48'
1'
(ast. J. Mateta)
I. Sarr
58'
(ast. M. Lacroix)
D. Kamada
84'
(ast. D. Kamada)
J. S. Larsen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Crystal Palace 25%). The final result was Shakhtar Donetsk 1–3 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Crystal Palace.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
7
1.01
Actual xG
2.11
3
Saves
0
71%
Possession
29%
13
Corners
1
10
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
1'
ast. J. Mateta ·
I. Sarr⚽
O. Ocheretko
31'
V. Tobias
38'
44'
Y. Pino
⚽O. Ocheretko
· ast. Kaua Elias
48'
P. Henrique
52'
56'
J. Canvot
58'
ast. M. Lacroix ·
D. Kamada⚽
65'
J. S. Larsen
/
J. Mateta
Marlon Gomes
/ Isaque Silva
65'
73'
B. Johnson
/
Y. Pino
Pedrinho
/ A. Bondarenko
74'
Eguinaldo
/ Newerton
74'
O. Ocheretko
/ Y. Nazaryna
83'
Kaua Elias
/ L. Traore
83'
84'
ast. D. Kamada ·
J. S. Larsen⚽
90'
J. Lerma
/
D. Kamada
Pre-match prediction
49.27%
Shakhtar
25.58%
X
25.15%
Crystal ←
we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace)
25.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
1.01
-0.67
1.04
2.11
+1.07
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.01).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
13
Pedro Henrique
D
22
Mykola Matvienko
D
5
Valerii Bondar
D
17
Vinícius Tobias
D
Vinícius Tobias
D
27
Oleg Ocheretko
1 ⚽
83'
M
7
Eguinaldo
74'
M
6
Marlon Gomes
65'
M
10
Pedrinho
74'
M
30
Alisson
M
19
Kauã Elias
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
18
Alaa Ghram
D
21
Artem Bondarenko
16'
M
16
Irakli Azarovi
D
14
Isaque
25'
M
2
Lassina Traoré
11'
F
49
Luca Meirelles
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
M
4
Marlon
D
11
Newerton Palmares
16'
M
68
Prosper Obah
M
29
Yehor Nazaryna
11'
M
1
Dean Henderson
G
Dean Henderson
G
23
Jaydee Canvot
D
Jaydee Canvot
D
5
Maxence Lacroix
1 👟
D
Maxence Lacroix
1 👟
D
26
Chris Richards
D
Chris Richards
D
3
Tyrick Mitchell
M
Tyrick Mitchell
M
18
Daichi Kamada
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
Daichi Kamada
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
20
Adam Wharton
M
Adam Wharton
M
2
Daniel Muñoz
M
Daniel Muñoz
M
10
Yéremy Pino
73'
F
Yéremy Pino
73'
F
14
Jean Philippe Mateta
1 👟
65'
F
Jean Philippe Mateta
1 👟
65'
F
7
Ismaïla Sarr
1 ⚽
F
Ismaïla Sarr
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
Brennan Johnson
17'
F
Brennan Johnson
17'
F
24
B. Sosa
D
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
8
Jefferson Lerma
1'
M
Jefferson Lerma
1'
M
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
1 ⚽
25'
F
Jørgen Strand Larsen
1 ⚽
25'
F
19
Will Hughes
M
Will Hughes
M
Best on the pitch
Daichi Kamada
M · Crystal
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
Oleg Ocheretko
M · Shakhtar
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
Jørgen Strand Larsen
F · Crystal
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Ismaïla Sarr
F · Crystal
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Adam Wharton
M · Crystal
7.30
2 shots
· 17 pass
Maxence Lacroix
D · Crystal
7.20
1 👟
· 31 pass
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 71% | — | 1 | — |
| Mykola Matvienko | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 93% | 1 | — | — |
| Valerii Bondar | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 98 | 97% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 60% | — | 1 | — |
| Oleg Ocheretko | M | 83 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eguinaldo | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Marlon Gomes | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedrinho | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Alisson | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauã Elias | F | 83 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Artem Bondarenko | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Isaque | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Lassina Traoré | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Newerton Palmares | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yehor Nazaryna | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Henderson | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Chris Richards | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 8 | — | — |
| Daichi Kamada | M | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Adam Wharton | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Yéremy Pino | F | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Philippe Mateta | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ismaïla Sarr | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Brennan Johnson | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Jefferson Lerma | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | F | 25 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 1–3 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Shakhtar Donetsk win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an Crystal Palace win.