Conference League
· Semi-finals
April 30, 2026 21:00
O. Ocheretko
(ast. Kaua Elias)
48'
1'
(ast. J. Mateta)
I. Sarr
58'
(ast. M. Lacroix)
D. Kamada
84'
(ast. D. Kamada)
J. S. Larsen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Shakhtar Donetsk a 49% win probability (draw 25%, Crystal Palace 25%). The final result was Shakhtar Donetsk 1–3 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Crystal Palace.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
7
1.01
Actual xG
2.11
3
Saves
0
71%
Possession
29%
13
Corners
1
10
Tackles
25
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
1'
ast. J. Mateta ·
I. Sarr⚽
O. Ocheretko
31'
V. Tobias
38'
44'
Y. Pino
⚽O. Ocheretko
· ast. Kaua Elias
48'
P. Henrique
52'
56'
J. Canvot
58'
ast. M. Lacroix ·
D. Kamada⚽
65'
J. S. Larsen
/
J. Mateta
Marlon Gomes
/ Isaque Silva
65'
73'
B. Johnson
/
Y. Pino
Pedrinho
/ A. Bondarenko
74'
Eguinaldo
/ Newerton
74'
O. Ocheretko
/ Y. Nazaryna
83'
Kaua Elias
/ L. Traore
83'
84'
ast. D. Kamada ·
J. S. Larsen⚽
90'
J. Lerma
/
D. Kamada
Pre-match prediction
49.27%
Shakhtar
25.58%
X
25.15%
Crystal ←
we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace)
25.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.68
1.01
-0.67
1.04
2.11
+1.07
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.01).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
13
Pedrinho
D
Pedrinho
D
22
M. Matvienko
D
M. Matvienko
D
5
V. Bondar
D
V. Bondar
D
17
Vinícius Tobias
D
Vinícius Tobias
D
27
O. Ocheretko
1 ⚽
83'
M
O. Ocheretko
1 ⚽
83'
M
7
Eguinaldo
74'
M
Eguinaldo
74'
M
6
Marlon Gomes
65'
M
Marlon Gomes
65'
M
10
Pedrinho
74'
M
30
Alisson Santana
M
Alisson Santana
M
19
Kauã Elias
1 👟
83'
F
Kauã Elias
1 👟
83'
F
Bench
21
A. Bondarenko
16'
M
A. Bondarenko
16'
M
18
A. Ghram
D
A. Ghram
D
29
E. Nazaryna
11'
M
E. Nazaryna
11'
M
16
I. Azarovi
D
I. Azarovi
D
14
Isaque
25'
M
2
L. Traoré
11'
F
L. Traoré
11'
F
49
Luca Meirelles
F
Luca Meirelles
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
M
Lucas Ferreira
M
4
Marlon
D
11
Newertton
16'
M
Newertton
16'
M
68
Prosper Obah
M
1
D. Henderson
G
D. Henderson
G
23
J. Canvot
D
J. Canvot
D
5
M. Lacroix
1 👟
D
M. Lacroix
1 👟
D
26
C. Richards
D
C. Richards
D
3
T. Mitchell
M
T. Mitchell
M
18
D. Kamada
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
D. Kamada
1 ⚽
1 👟
89'
M
20
A. Wharton
M
A. Wharton
M
2
D. Muñoz
M
D. Muñoz
M
10
Yeremy Pino
73'
F
Yeremy Pino
73'
F
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
1 👟
65'
F
Jean-Philippe Mateta
1 👟
65'
F
7
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
F
I. Sarr
1 ⚽
F
Bench
11
B. Johnson
17'
F
B. Johnson
17'
F
24
B. Sosa
D
B. Sosa
D
34
Chadi Riad
D
Chadi Riad
D
8
J. Lerma
1'
M
J. Lerma
1'
M
22
J. Strand Larsen
1 ⚽
25'
F
J. Strand Larsen
1 ⚽
25'
F
19
W. Hughes
M
W. Hughes
M
Best on the pitch
D. Kamada
M · Crystal
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
O. Ocheretko
M · Shakhtar
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
J. Strand Larsen
F · Crystal
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
I. Sarr
F · Crystal
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
A. Wharton
M · Crystal
7.30
2 shots
· 17 pass
M. Lacroix
D · Crystal
7.20
1 👟
· 31 pass
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Pedrinho | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 71% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Matvienko | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 101 | 93% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Bondar | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 98 | 97% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 68 | 60% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Ocheretko | M | 83 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eguinaldo | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Marlon Gomes | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedrinho | M | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Alisson Santana | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauã Elias | F | 83 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bondarenko | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Nazaryna | M | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaque | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Traoré | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Newertton | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Crystal Palace — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Henderson | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Lacroix | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Mitchell | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 8 | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Wharton | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Yeremy Pino | F | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sarr | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Johnson | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Lerma | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Strand Larsen | F | 25 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace?
The final score was Shakhtar Donetsk 1–3 Crystal Palace.
What did the model predict before Shakhtar Donetsk vs Crystal Palace?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Shakhtar Donetsk win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an Crystal Palace win.