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Slavia Praha - Sparta Praha

Czech Liga May 09, 2026 19:00
Slavia Praha
#1 · 77 pts
vs
Sparta Praha
#2 · 70 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.89%
Win
Slavia Praha
20.92%
Draw
23.19%
Win
Sparta Praha
2.49
Expected xG
1.56
Model prediction
Slavia Praha
55.89%
Probability
57.1%
1X2 accuracy · 21 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Slavia Praha a 55% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Sparta Praha. Expected goals are 2.5 for Slavia Praha and 1.6 for Sparta Praha (total 4.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.4% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Slavia Praha have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sparta Praha.

Score Matrix
↕ Slavia Praha Sparta Praha →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.4% 8.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.0% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Recent form
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
W FK Jablonec 5–1
W Slovan Liberec 1–2
W Sigma Olomouc 2–1
L Hradec Králové 2–1
D Plzen 0–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 39%
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
D Plzen 0–0
W FK Jablonec 2–0
L Bohemians 1905 2–0
W FK Jablonec 3–1
W Teplice 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 43%
Playing profile
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
Attack
58
Defence
77
Form
69
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
Attack
54
Defence
67
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Slavia Praha
1
Draw
0
Sparta Praha
W 8 Mar 2026 Czech Liga 3–1
D 5 Oct 2025 Czech Liga 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha?
The model gives Slavia Praha a 55% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 23% for an Sparta Praha win.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha?
Expected goals: Slavia Praha 2.5, Sparta Praha 1.6 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.4%.