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Slavia Praha - Sparta Praha

Czech Liga May 09, 2026 19:00 Fortuna Arena, Prague
Slavia Praha
#1 · 9 pts
vs
Sparta Praha
#10 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
55.89%
Win
Slavia Praha
20.92%
Draw
23.19%
Win
Sparta Praha
2.49
Expected xG
1.56
Most likely outcome
Slavia Praha
55.89%
Probability
57.1%
1X2 accuracy · 7 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.4%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 21%
2 23%
Double Chance
1X 77%
X2 44%
12 79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
✓ 84.3% hit rate (51 picks)
Over 2.5 76%
✓ 66.7% hit rate (33 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Slavia Praha a 55% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Sparta Praha. Expected goals are 2.5 for Slavia Praha and 1.6 for Sparta Praha (total 4.0), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.4% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Slavia Praha have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Sparta Praha.

Season Stats

Slavia Praha
12W 2D 1L
Sparta Praha
10W 2D 3L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.1
0.8
Conceded
1.1
5.8
Shots OT
5.2
9.4
Corners
7.4
58%
Poss.
63%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
67%
O 2.5
53%
60%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Czech Liga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
35%
BTTS
Slavia Praha
8W 2D 0L · at home
Sparta Praha
5W 2D 3L · away
2.2
gls/g
1.2
0.6
Conceded
0.8
80%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
70%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
50%
40%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
30%
60%
Clean Sht
60%
20%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Slavia Praha Sparta Praha →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 4.4% 6.8% 5.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.4% 8.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.0% 5.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.8% 4.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
W Pardubice 2–1
W Baník Ostrava 0–4
W Slovácko 5–1
W Plzen 3–0
L Hradec Králové 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
L Mlada Boleslav 2–0
W Zlin 3–1
L Zbrojovka Brno 3–1
W Hradec Králové 2–1
W Slovan Liberec 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
Attack
39
Defence
46
Form
43
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
Attack
28
Defence
45
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Slavia Praha
1
Draw
0
Sparta Praha
8 Mar 2026 Czech Liga 3–1
5 Oct 2025 Czech Liga 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 9
2 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 3 9
3 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3 7
4 Teplice Teplice 3 7
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 3 7
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 3 6
7 Zbrojovka Brno Zbrojovka Brno 3 4
8 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3 4
9 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 3 4
10 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 3
11 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 3 3
12 Plzen Plzen 3 2
13 Artis Artis 3 1
14 Slovácko Slovácko 3 1
15 Pardubice Pardubice 3 0
15 Karviná Karviná 0 0
16 Zlin Zlin 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha?
The model gives Slavia Praha a 55% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 23% for an Sparta Praha win.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha?
Expected goals: Slavia Praha 2.5, Sparta Praha 1.6 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Slavia Praha vs Sparta Praha?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.4%.