Slovácko 2–1 Baník Ostrava — pre-match prediction — Czech Liga — May 12, 2026

← Czech Liga

Czech Liga · Relegation Group - 3 May 12, 2026 17:30

Slovácko

#4 · 30 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Baník Ostrava

#6 · 23 pts

M. Travnik (ast. T. Kostadinov) 54'

A. Ouanda (ast. G. Ndefe) 56'

79' (ast. V. Jurecka) D. Planka

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Slovácko a 41% win probability (draw 27%, Baník Ostrava 30%). The final result was Slovácko 2–1 Baník Ostrava. In 2 previous meetings, Slovácko have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Baník Ostrava.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.48

Actual xG

0.43

Saves

58%

Possession

42%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

A. Stojcevski

29'

46'

V. Sinyavskiy / D. Holzer ↕

46'

V. Jurecka / M. Rusnak ↕

G. Ndefe

48'

⚽M. Travnik · ast. T. Kostadinov

54'

⚽A. Ouanda · ast. G. Ndefe

56'

64'

S. Plavsic

65'

V. Jurecka

67'

J. Pira / A. Gning ↕

67'

D. Planka / S. Plavsic ↕

↕ G. Ndefe / M. Koscelnik

73'

↕ T. Kostadinov / R. Horak

73'

↕ J. Suchan / P. Juroska

73'

78'

D. Owusu / A. Musak ↕

79'

ast. V. Jurecka · D. Planka⚽

↕ T. Huk / M. Rundic

82'

↕ A. Ouanda / M. Krmencik

90'+1

90'+3

M. Chalus

P. Juroska

90'

Pre-match prediction

41.73%

Slovácko ←

27.3%

30.97%

Baník

we assigned to the actual result (Slovácko) 41.73% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Slovácko

1.23

0.48

-0.75

Baník

0.99

0.43

-0.56

xG dominance was balanced (0.48 – 0.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Zlin	33	38
1	Slavia Praha	33	77
1	Slavia Praha	30	71
2	Sparta Praha	33	70
2	Mlada Boleslav	33	37
2	Sparta Praha	30	63
3	Plzen	33	60
3	Teplice	33	36
3	Plzen	30	53
4	Slovácko	33	30
4	Hradec Králové	33	53
4	FK Jablonec	30	51
5	FK Jablonec	33	52
5	Dukla Praha	33	26
5	Hradec Králové	30	49
6	Slovan Liberec	30	46
6	Slovan Liberec	33	46
6	Baník Ostrava	33	23
7	Sigma Olomouc	30	43
8	Pardubice	30	41
9	Karviná	30	39
10	Bohemians 1905	30	36
11	Mlada Boleslav	30	35
12	Zlin	30	34
13	Teplice	30	29
14	Dukla Praha	30	23
15	Slovácko	30	23
16	Baník Ostrava	30	22

Lineups

Slovácko 3-4-2-1

Milan Heča G 6.70

Andrej Stojchevski D 6.20

Vlastimil Daníček D 6.30

Tomáš Huk 82' D 6.60

Patrik Blahút M 7.00

Tihomir Kostadinov 1 👟 73' M 7.30

Michal Trávník 1 ⚽ M 8.00

Gigli Ndefe 1 👟 73' M 7.50

Jan Suchan 73' F 6.90

Adonija Ouanda 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.60

Marek Havlík F 7.00

Bench

Adrian Fiala M

Alan Marinelli F

Jonathan Mulder D

Martin Koscelník 17' D 6.20

Martin Šviderský M

Michael Krmenčík 1' F

Milan Rundić 8' D 6.60

Paul Ndubuisi M

Pavel Juroška 17' M 6.20

Roman Horák 17' M 6.30

Urban Alexandr G

Baník Ostrava 3-4-2-1

Martin Jedlička G 6.20

Karel Pojezný D 6.50

Matěj Chaluš D 6.90

Michal Frydrych D 7.30

Daniel Holzer 45' M 6.70

Artúr Musák 77' M 6.60

Jiří Boula M 6.20

Abdullahi Bewene M 6.30

Srđan Plavšić 66' F 6.90

Matúš Rusnák 45' F 6.30

Abdallah Gning 66' F 6.60

Bench

David Buchta M

David Planka 1 ⚽ 24' M 7.60

Dennis Owusu 13' M 6.30

Filip Šancl M

Jakub Pira 24' F 6.30

Ladislav Almási F

Marek Havran M

Pablo Ortíz D

Václav Jurečka 1 👟 45' F 6.20

Viktor Budinský G

Vlasiy Sinyavskiy 45' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

Michal Trávník

M · Slovácko

8.00

1 ⚽

4 shots · 52 pass

David Planka

M · Baník

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

Gigli Ndefe

M · Slovácko

7.50

1 👟

· 21 pass

Michal Frydrych

D · Baník

7.30

1 shots · 28 pass

Tihomir Kostadinov

M · Slovácko

7.30

1 👟

1 shots · 38 pass

Patrik Blahút

M · Slovácko

7.00

· 29 pass

Slovácko — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Milan Heča	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	40	25%	—	—	—
Andrej Stojchevski	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	53	38%	2	1	—
Vlastimil Daníček	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	32	26%	3	—	—
Tomáš Huk	D	82	6.60	—	—	—	38	31%	—	—	—
Patrik Blahút	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	29	23%	3	—	—
Tihomir Kostadinov	M	73	7.30	—	1	1	38	32%	2	—	—
Michal Trávník	M	90	8.00	1	—	4	52	45%	3	—	—
Gigli Ndefe	M	73	7.50	—	1	—	21	17%	3	1	—
Jan Suchan	F	73	6.90	—	—	—	33	27%	—	—	—
Adonija Ouanda	F	89	6.60	1	—	1	23	15%	1	—	—
Marek Havlík	F	90	7.00	—	—	—	40	30%	1	—	—
Martin Koscelník	D	17	6.20	—	—	—	9	6%	—	—	—
Michael Krmenčík	F	1	—	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Milan Rundić	D	8	6.60	—	—	—	4	—	—	—	—
Pavel Juroška	M	17	6.20	—	—	1	5	3%	1	1	—
Roman Horák	M	17	6.30	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—

Baník Ostrava — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Martin Jedlička	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	33	21%	—	—	—
Karel Pojezný	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	35	21%	4	—	—
Matěj Chaluš	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	52	39%	—	1	—
Michal Frydrych	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	28	18%	4	—	—
Daniel Holzer	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	7	3%	—	—	—
Artúr Musák	M	77	6.60	—	—	—	24	20%	—	—	—
Jiří Boula	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	30	21%	—	—	—
Abdullahi Bewene	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	29	19%	3	—	—
Srđan Plavšić	F	66	6.90	—	—	—	6	4%	—	1	—
Matúš Rusnák	F	45	6.30	—	—	1	11	8%	1	—	—
Abdallah Gning	F	66	6.60	—	—	1	13	7%	2	—	—
David Planka	M	24	7.60	1	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
Dennis Owusu	M	13	6.30	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—
Jakub Pira	F	24	6.30	—	—	1	6	4%	—	—	—
Václav Jurečka	F	45	6.20	—	1	—	10	5%	—	1	—
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	13	6%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava?

The final score was Slovácko 2–1 Baník Ostrava.

What did the model predict before Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava?

The model assigned 41% probability to a Slovácko win, 27% to a draw, and 30% to an Baník Ostrava win.