FA Cup
· Quarter-finals
April 04, 2026 21:00
R. Stewart
(ast. J. Bree)
35'
S. Charles
(ast. T. Fellows)
85'
68'
(ast. K. Havertz)
V. Gyokeres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Arsenal 34%). The final result was Southampton 2–1 Arsenal.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
7
6
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
4
Corners
9
13
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Ryan Manning
27'
⚽R. Stewart
· ast. J. Bree
35'
60'
V. Gyökeres
/
Gabriel Jesus
60'
R. Calafiori
/
M. Lewis-Skelly
61'
N. Madueke
/
M. Odegaard
68'
ast. K. Havertz ·
V. Gyokeres⚽
R. Stewart
/ C. Larin
70'
L. Scienza
/ S. Edozie
71'
72'
W. Saliba
/
Gabriel
C. Bragg
/ S. Charles
76'
79'
M. Zubimendi
/
K. Havertz
⚽S. Charles
· ast. T. Fellows
85'
Caspar Jander
89'
90'+4
Gabriel Martinelli
R. Manning
/ J. Quarshie
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
39.66%
Southampton ←
25.45%
X
34.89%
Arsenal
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton)
39.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
—
—
1.37
—
—
Lineups
41
G
3
Ryan Manning
89'
D
Ryan Manning
89'
D
15
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
James Bree
1 👟
D
James Bree
1 👟
D
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
48
Cameron Bragg
76'
M
Cameron Bragg
76'
M
13
Léo Scienza
71'
M
Léo Scienza
71'
M
10
F. Azaz
M
F. Azaz
M
18
Tom Fellows
1 👟
M
Tom Fellows
1 👟
M
11
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
70'
F
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
19
Cameron Archer
F
Cameron Archer
F
9
C. Larin
20'
F
C. Larin
20'
F
23
Samuel Edozie
19'
M
Samuel Edozie
19'
M
24
Shea Charles
1 ⚽
14'
M
Shea Charles
1 ⚽
14'
M
13
G
49
Myles Lewis-Skelly
60'
D
Myles Lewis-Skelly
60'
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
72'
D
Gabriel Magalhães
72'
D
3
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Cristhian Mosquera
D
4
Ben White
D
Ben White
D
16
C. Norgaard
M
8
M. Ødegaard
61'
M
M. Ødegaard
61'
M
11
Gabriel Martinelli
M
Gabriel Martinelli
M
29
K. Havertz
1 👟
79'
M
K. Havertz
1 👟
79'
M
56
M
9
Gabriel Jesus
60'
F
Bench
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
36
Martín Zubimendi
11'
M
Martín Zubimendi
11'
M
20
Noni Madueke
29'
F
Noni Madueke
29'
F
33
Riccardo Calafiori
30'
D
Riccardo Calafiori
30'
D
14
V. Gyökeres
1 ⚽
30'
F
V. Gyökeres
1 ⚽
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Shea Charles
M · Southampton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
V. Gyökeres
F · Arsenal
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
G · Southampton
7.30
· 35 pass
James Bree
D · Southampton
7.20
1 👟
· 17 pass
Léo Scienza
M · Southampton
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
Tom Fellows
M · Southampton
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 16 pass
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Ryan Manning | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | — | — | — |
| James Bree | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Fellows | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 70 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Edozie | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 14 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | D | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Ben White | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | — | — | — |
| C. Norgaard | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Havertz | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| Gabriel Jesus | F | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Noni Madueke | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Calafiori | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 30 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Arsenal?
The final score was Southampton 2–1 Arsenal.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Arsenal?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Southampton win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Arsenal win.