FA Cup
· Quarter-finals
April 04, 2026 21:00
R. Stewart
(ast. J. Bree)
35'
S. Charles
(ast. T. Fellows)
85'
68'
(ast. K. Havertz)
V. Gyokeres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 39% win probability (draw 25%, Arsenal 34%). The final result was Southampton 2–1 Arsenal.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
7
6
Saves
2
36%
Possession
64%
4
Corners
9
13
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Ryan Manning
27'
⚽R. Stewart
· ast. J. Bree
35'
60'
V. Gyökeres
/
Gabriel Jesus
60'
R. Calafiori
/
M. Lewis-Skelly
61'
N. Madueke
/
M. Odegaard
68'
ast. K. Havertz ·
V. Gyokeres⚽
R. Stewart
/ C. Larin
70'
L. Scienza
/ S. Edozie
71'
72'
W. Saliba
/
Gabriel
C. Bragg
/ S. Charles
76'
79'
M. Zubimendi
/
K. Havertz
⚽S. Charles
· ast. T. Fellows
85'
Caspar Jander
89'
90'+4
Gabriel Martinelli
R. Manning
/ J. Quarshie
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
39.66%
Southampton ←
25.45%
X
34.89%
Arsenal
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton)
39.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.50
—
—
1.37
—
—
Lineups
41
G
3
R. Manning
89'
D
R. Manning
89'
D
15
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
14
J. Bree
1 👟
D
J. Bree
1 👟
D
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
48
Cameron Bragg
76'
M
Cameron Bragg
76'
M
13
Léo Scienza
71'
M
Léo Scienza
71'
M
10
F. Azaz
M
F. Azaz
M
18
T. Fellows
1 👟
M
T. Fellows
1 👟
M
11
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
70'
F
Ross Stewart
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
19
C. Archer
F
C. Archer
F
9
C. Larin
20'
F
C. Larin
20'
F
24
S. Charles
1 ⚽
14'
M
S. Charles
1 ⚽
14'
M
23
S. Edozie
19'
M
S. Edozie
19'
M
13
G
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
60'
D
M. Lewis-Skelly
60'
D
6
Gabriel Magalhães
72'
D
Gabriel Magalhães
72'
D
3
Cristhian Mosquera
D
Cristhian Mosquera
D
4
B. White
D
B. White
D
16
C. Nørgaard
M
C. Nørgaard
M
8
M. Ødegaard
61'
M
M. Ødegaard
61'
M
11
Gabriel Martinelli
M
Gabriel Martinelli
M
29
K. Havertz
1 👟
79'
M
K. Havertz
1 👟
79'
M
56
M
9
Gabriel Jesus
60'
F
Gabriel Jesus
60'
F
Bench
1
David Raya
G
David Raya
G
36
Martín Zubimendi
11'
M
Martín Zubimendi
11'
M
20
N. Madueke
29'
F
N. Madueke
29'
F
33
R. Calafiori
30'
D
R. Calafiori
30'
D
14
V. Gyökeres
1 ⚽
30'
F
V. Gyökeres
1 ⚽
30'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Charles
M · Southampton
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
V. Gyökeres
F · Arsenal
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
G · Southampton
7.30
· 35 pass
J. Bree
D · Southampton
7.20
1 👟
· 17 pass
Léo Scienza
M · Southampton
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
T. Fellows
M · Southampton
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 16 pass
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| T. Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Bree | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Fellows | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 70 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| S. Charles | M | 14 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Edozie | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Arsenal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| M. Lewis-Skelly | D | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 66% | — | — | — |
| B. White | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | — | — | — |
| C. Nørgaard | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 63% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Ødegaard | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 23% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Havertz | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| Gabriel Jesus | F | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| N. Madueke | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Calafiori | D | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| V. Gyökeres | F | 30 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Arsenal?
The final score was Southampton 2–1 Arsenal.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Arsenal?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Southampton win, 25% to a draw, and 34% to an Arsenal win.