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Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 14, 2026 21:00
Southampton
#4 · 80 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Blackburn
#20 · 52 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Southampton
C. Larin (ast. C. Archer) 24'
R. Manning 43'
C. Archer (ast. L. Scienza) 86'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 71% win probability (draw 19%, Blackburn 9%). The final result was Southampton 3–0 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Blackburn.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
2.52
Actual xG
0.23
3
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
S. McLoughlin
7'
T. Gardner-Hickman
⚽C. Larin · ast. C. Archer
24'
⚽R. Manning
43'
↕ J. Bree / N. Wood
46'
46'
R. Morishita / R. Alebiosu ↕
46'
Y. Ohashi / N. Redmond ↕
↕ R. Manning / Welington
71'
↕ K. Matsuki / L. Scienza
71'
↕ C. Bragg / F. Downes
71'
73'
R. Hedges / M. Baradji ↕
73'
O. Afolayan / M. Jorgensen ↕
78'
E. Cashin / H. Pickering ↕
⚽C. Archer · ast. L. Scienza
86'
↕ C. Archer / J. Robinson
87'
Pre-match prediction
71.08%
Southampton ←
19.54%
X
9.38%
Blackburn
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 71.08% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Southampton
2.07
2.52
+0.45
Blackburn
0.60
0.23
-0.37
Southampton dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.23). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
41
G 7.20
3 Ryan Manning Ryan Manning 1 ⚽ 71' D 8.20
5 Jack Stephens Jack Stephens D 8.00
6 Taylor Harwood-Bellis Taylor Harwood-Bellis D 7.70
14 James Bree James Bree 45' D 7.30
27 Kuryu Matsuki Kuryu Matsuki 71' M 6.00
24 Shea Charles Shea Charles M 8.30
19 Cameron Archer Cameron Archer 1 ⚽ 1 👟 87' M 8.20
48 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg 71' M 6.90
18 Tom Fellows Tom Fellows M 6.50
9 C. Larin C. Larin 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
20 Caspar Jander Caspar Jander M
4 F. Downes F. Downes 23' M 6.70
13 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza 1 👟 23' M 7.00
11 Ross Stewart Ross Stewart F
23 Samuel Edozie Samuel Edozie M
34 Welington Welington 23' D 6.90
Blackburn Blackburn 3-4-2-1
22
G 7.90
3
H. Pickering 78' D 6.50
15 S. McLoughlin S. McLoughlin D 6.30
38
D 5.90
4
Y. Ribeiro M 6.90
31
K. Montgomery M 6.30
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman M 7.20
2
R. Alebiosu 45' M 6.30
24
M. Baradji 73' F 6.90
27
N. Redmond 45' F 6.30
29
M. Jorgensen 73' F 6.20
Bench
20
E. Cashin 16' D 6.20
25 R. Morishita R. Morishita 49' M 6.70
23
Y. Ohashi 49' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Shea Charles
Shea Charles
M · Southampton
8.30
1 shots · 66 pass
Ryan Manning
Ryan Manning
D · Southampton
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 57 pass
Cameron Archer
Cameron Archer
M · Southampton
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 28 pass
Jack Stephens
Jack Stephens
D · Southampton
8.00
1 shots · 102 pass
G · Blackburn
7.90
· 30 pass
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
7.70
· 97 pass
Southampton Southampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 7.20 — — — 35 26% — — —
Ryan Manning D 71 8.20 1 — 1 57 49% 2 — —
Jack Stephens D 94 8.00 — — 1 102 100% 3 — —
Taylor Harwood-Bellis D 94 7.70 — — — 97 86% 1 — —
James Bree D 45 7.30 — — 1 40 40% 1 — —
Kuryu Matsuki M 71 6.00 — — 2 22 18% — — —
Shea Charles M 94 8.30 — — 1 66 57% 3 — —
Cameron Archer M 87 8.20 1 1 2 28 21% 1 — —
Cameron Bragg M 71 6.90 — — — 52 48% 1 — —
Tom Fellows M 94 6.50 — — — 20 20% — — —
C. Larin F 94 7.70 1 — 2 19 13% 1 — —
F. Downes M 23 6.70 — — — 8 7% — — —
Léo Scienza M 23 7.00 — 1 1 7 5% — — —
Welington D 23 6.90 — — — 16 14% — — —
Blackburn Blackburn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 7.90 — — — 30 23% — — —
H. Pickering D 78 6.50 — — — 54 42% 2 — —
S. McLoughlin D 94 6.30 — — 1 55 50% 1 1 —
D 94 5.90 — — 1 42 28% 1 — —
Y. Ribeiro M 94 6.90 — — — 46 37% — — —
K. Montgomery M 94 6.30 — — — 39 29% 1 — —
Taylor Gardner-Hickman M 94 7.20 — — — 51 45% 2 1 —
R. Alebiosu M 45 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
M. Baradji F 73 6.90 — — — 23 21% — — —
N. Redmond F 45 6.30 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
M. Jorgensen F 73 6.20 — — — 7 5% — — —
E. Cashin D 16 6.20 — — — 12 9% — — —
R. Morishita M 49 6.70 — — 1 16 15% — — —
Y. Ohashi F 49 6.20 — — 2 16 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Blackburn?
The final score was Southampton 3–0 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Southampton win, 19% to a draw, and 9% to an Blackburn win.