✓Model correct — prediction Southampton
C. Larin
(ast. C. Archer)
24'
R. Manning
43'
C. Archer
(ast. L. Scienza)
86'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 71% win probability (draw 19%, Blackburn 9%). The final result was Southampton 3–0 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Blackburn.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
2.52
Actual xG
0.23
3
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
S. McLoughlin
7'
T. Gardner-Hickman
⚽C. Larin
· ast. C. Archer
24'
⚽R. Manning
43'
J. Bree
/ N. Wood
46'
46'
R. Morishita
/
R. Alebiosu
46'
Y. Ohashi
/
N. Redmond
R. Manning
/ Welington
71'
K. Matsuki
/ L. Scienza
71'
C. Bragg
/ F. Downes
71'
73'
R. Hedges
/
M. Baradji
73'
O. Afolayan
/
M. Jorgensen
78'
E. Cashin
/
H. Pickering
⚽C. Archer
· ast. L. Scienza
86'
C. Archer
/ J. Robinson
87'
Pre-match prediction
71.08%
Southampton ←
19.54%
X
9.38%
Blackburn
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton)
71.08%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.07
2.52
+0.45
0.60
0.23
-0.37
Southampton dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
41
G
3
R. Manning
1 ⚽
71'
D
R. Manning
1 ⚽
71'
D
5
Jack Stephens
D
Jack Stephens
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
James Bree
45'
D
James Bree
45'
D
27
Kuryu Matsuki
71'
M
Kuryu Matsuki
71'
M
24
Shea Charles
M
Shea Charles
M
19
Cameron Archer
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
Cameron Archer
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
48
Cameron Bragg
71'
M
Cameron Bragg
71'
M
18
Tom Fellows
M
Tom Fellows
M
9
C. Larin
1 ⚽
F
C. Larin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
4
Flynn Downes
23'
M
Flynn Downes
23'
M
13
Leo Scienza
1 👟
23'
M
Leo Scienza
1 👟
23'
M
11
Ross Stewart
F
Ross Stewart
F
23
Samuel Edozie
M
Samuel Edozie
M
34
Welington
23'
D
Welington
23'
D
22
G
3
Harry Pickering
78'
D
Harry Pickering
78'
D
15
Sean McLoughlin
D
Sean McLoughlin
D
38
D
4
Yuri Ribeiro
M
Yuri Ribeiro
M
31
Kristi Montgomery
M
Kristi Montgomery
M
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
M
2
Ryan Alebiosu
45'
M
Ryan Alebiosu
45'
M
24
M. Baradji
73'
F
27
N. Redmond
45'
F
29
M. Jorgensen
73'
F
Bench
20
Eiran Cashin
16'
D
Eiran Cashin
16'
D
25
Ryoya Morishita
49'
M
Ryoya Morishita
49'
M
23
Yuki Ohashi
49'
F
Yuki Ohashi
49'
F
Best on the pitch
Shea Charles
M · Southampton
8.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
R. Manning
D · Southampton
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
Cameron Archer
M · Southampton
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
Jack Stephens
D · Southampton
8.00
1 shots
· 102 pass
G · Blackburn
7.90
· 30 pass
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
7.70
· 97 pass
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 71 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Jack Stephens | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 102 | 100% | 3 | — | — |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 97 | 86% | 1 | — | — |
| James Bree | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Kuryu Matsuki | M | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Cameron Archer | M | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Tom Fellows | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Flynn Downes | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Leo Scienza | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Welington | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Harry Pickering | D | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Sean McLoughlin | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 28% | 1 | — | — | |
| Yuri Ribeiro | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ryan Alebiosu | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Baradji | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| N. Redmond | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Jorgensen | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Eiran Cashin | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ryoya Morishita | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Yuki Ohashi | F | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Blackburn?
The final score was Southampton 3–0 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Southampton win, 19% to a draw, and 9% to an Blackburn win.