✓Model correct — prediction Southampton
C. Larin
(ast. C. Archer)
24'
R. Manning
43'
C. Archer
(ast. L. Scienza)
86'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 71% win probability (draw 19%, Blackburn 9%). The final result was Southampton 3–0 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Blackburn.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
2.52
Actual xG
0.23
3
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
S. McLoughlin
7'
T. Gardner-Hickman
⚽C. Larin
· ast. C. Archer
24'
⚽R. Manning
43'
J. Bree
/ N. Wood
46'
46'
R. Morishita
/
R. Alebiosu
46'
Y. Ohashi
/
N. Redmond
R. Manning
/ Welington
71'
K. Matsuki
/ L. Scienza
71'
C. Bragg
/ F. Downes
71'
73'
R. Hedges
/
M. Baradji
73'
O. Afolayan
/
M. Jorgensen
78'
E. Cashin
/
H. Pickering
⚽C. Archer
· ast. L. Scienza
86'
C. Archer
/ J. Robinson
87'
Pre-match prediction
71.08%
Southampton ←
19.54%
X
9.38%
Blackburn
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton)
71.08%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.07
2.52
+0.45
0.60
0.23
-0.37
Southampton dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
41
G
3
R. Manning
1 ⚽
71'
D
R. Manning
1 ⚽
71'
D
5
J. Stephens
D
J. Stephens
D
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
14
J. Bree
45'
D
J. Bree
45'
D
27
Kuryu Matsuki
71'
M
Kuryu Matsuki
71'
M
24
S. Charles
M
S. Charles
M
19
C. Archer
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
C. Archer
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
48
Cameron Bragg
71'
M
Cameron Bragg
71'
M
18
T. Fellows
M
T. Fellows
M
9
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
F
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
4
F. Downes
23'
M
F. Downes
23'
M
13
Léo Scienza
1 👟
23'
M
Léo Scienza
1 👟
23'
M
11
Ross Stewart
F
Ross Stewart
F
23
S. Edozie
M
S. Edozie
M
34
Welington
23'
D
Welington
23'
D
22
G
3
H. Pickering
78'
D
H. Pickering
78'
D
15
S. McLoughlin
D
S. McLoughlin
D
38
D
4
Yuri Ribeiro
M
Yuri Ribeiro
M
31
Kristi Montgomery
M
Kristi Montgomery
M
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
M
2
R. Alebiosu
45'
M
R. Alebiosu
45'
M
24
M. Baradji
73'
F
M. Baradji
73'
F
27
N. Redmond
45'
F
29
Mathias Jørgensen
73'
F
Mathias Jørgensen
73'
F
Bench
20
E. Cashin
16'
D
E. Cashin
16'
D
25
R. Morishita
49'
M
R. Morishita
49'
M
23
Yuki Ohashi
49'
F
Yuki Ohashi
49'
F
Best on the pitch
S. Charles
M · Southampton
8.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
R. Manning
D · Southampton
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
C. Archer
M · Southampton
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
J. Stephens
D · Southampton
8.00
1 shots
· 102 pass
G · Blackburn
7.90
· 30 pass
T. Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
7.70
· 97 pass
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 71 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stephens | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 102 | 100% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Harwood-Bellis | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 97 | 86% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bree | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Kuryu Matsuki | M | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| S. Charles | M | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Archer | M | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Fellows | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Cyle Larin | F | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Downes | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Welington | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| H. Pickering | D | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 28% | 1 | — | — | |
| Yuri Ribeiro | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Alebiosu | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Baradji | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| N. Redmond | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathias Jørgensen | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| E. Cashin | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Morishita | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Yuki Ohashi | F | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Blackburn?
The final score was Southampton 3–0 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Southampton win, 19% to a draw, and 9% to an Blackburn win.