✓Model correct — prediction Southampton
C. Larin
(ast. C. Archer)
24'
R. Manning
43'
C. Archer
(ast. L. Scienza)
86'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 71% win probability (draw 19%, Blackburn 9%). The final result was Southampton 3–0 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Blackburn.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
3
2.52
Actual xG
0.23
3
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
S. McLoughlin
7'
T. Gardner-Hickman
⚽C. Larin
· ast. C. Archer
24'
⚽R. Manning
43'
J. Bree
/ N. Wood
46'
46'
R. Morishita
/
R. Alebiosu
46'
Y. Ohashi
/
N. Redmond
R. Manning
/ Welington
71'
K. Matsuki
/ L. Scienza
71'
C. Bragg
/ F. Downes
71'
73'
R. Hedges
/
M. Baradji
73'
O. Afolayan
/
M. Jorgensen
78'
E. Cashin
/
H. Pickering
⚽C. Archer
· ast. L. Scienza
86'
C. Archer
/ J. Robinson
87'
Pre-match prediction
71.08%
Southampton ←
19.54%
X
9.38%
Blackburn
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Southampton)
71.08%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.07
2.52
+0.45
0.60
0.23
-0.37
Southampton dominated by xG (2.52 vs 0.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
41
G
3
R. Manning
1 ⚽
71'
D
R. Manning
1 ⚽
71'
D
5
Jack Stephens
D
Jack Stephens
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
James Bree
45'
D
James Bree
45'
D
27
K. Matsuki
71'
M
K. Matsuki
71'
M
24
Shea Charles
M
Shea Charles
M
19
Cameron Archer
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
Cameron Archer
1 ⚽
1 👟
87'
M
48
Cameron Bragg
71'
M
Cameron Bragg
71'
M
18
T. Fellows
M
T. Fellows
M
9
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
F
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
F
Bench
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
4
F. Downes
23'
M
F. Downes
23'
M
13
Léo Scienza
1 👟
23'
M
Léo Scienza
1 👟
23'
M
11
Ross Stewart
F
Ross Stewart
F
23
Samuel Edozie
M
Samuel Edozie
M
34
Welington
23'
D
Welington
23'
D
22
G
3
H. Pickering
78'
D
15
S. McLoughlin
D
S. McLoughlin
D
38
D
4
Y. Ribeiro
M
31
K. Montgomery
M
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
M
2
R. Alebiosu
45'
M
24
M. Baradji
73'
F
27
N. Redmond
45'
F
29
M. Jorgensen
73'
F
Bench
20
Eiran Cashin
16'
D
Eiran Cashin
16'
D
25
R. Morishita
49'
M
R. Morishita
49'
M
23
Y. Ohashi
49'
F
Best on the pitch
Shea Charles
M · Southampton
8.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
R. Manning
D · Southampton
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 57 pass
Cameron Archer
M · Southampton
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 28 pass
Jack Stephens
D · Southampton
8.00
1 shots
· 102 pass
G · Blackburn
7.90
· 30 pass
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D · Southampton
7.70
· 97 pass
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 71 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Jack Stephens | D | 94 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 102 | 100% | 3 | — | — |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 97 | 86% | 1 | — | — |
| James Bree | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Matsuki | M | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Cameron Archer | M | 87 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Cameron Bragg | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Fellows | M | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Cyle Larin | F | 94 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Downes | M | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Welington | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| H. Pickering | D | 78 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 54 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 28% | 1 | — | — | |
| Y. Ribeiro | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| K. Montgomery | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. Alebiosu | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Baradji | F | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| N. Redmond | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Jorgensen | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Eiran Cashin | D | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Morishita | M | 49 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Y. Ohashi | F | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Blackburn?
The final score was Southampton 3–0 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 71% probability to a Southampton win, 19% to a draw, and 9% to an Blackburn win.