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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 28, 2026 20:45
Southampton
#4 · 80 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Ipswich
#2 · 84 pts
R. Manning 58'
C. Larin (ast. R. Manning) 80'
48' (ast. I. Azon) W. Burns
87' J. Clarke

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 54% win probability (draw 22%, Ipswich 23%). The final result was Southampton 2–2 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ipswich.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
9
1.01
Actual xG
1.77
7
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
11
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
48'
ast. I. Azon · W. Burns⚽
57'
J. Greaves
⚽R. Manning
58'
67'
J. Clarke / J. Philogene ↕
67'
K. McAteer / W. Burns ↕
↕ T. Fellows / S. Edozie
69'
75'
I. Azon
75'
G. Hirst / I. Azon ↕
75'
J. Cajuste / M. Nunez ↕
⚽C. Larin · ast. R. Manning
80'
↕ C. Larin / R. Stewart
81'
82'
C. Akpom / A. Matusiwa ↕
87'
J. Clarke⚽
Pre-match prediction
54.98%
Southampton
22.0%
X ←
23.02%
Ipswich
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Southampton
2.15
1.01
-1.14
Ipswich
1.32
1.77
+0.46
Ipswich dominated by xG (1.77 vs 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
41
G 7.90
3 Ryan Manning Ryan Manning 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.50
15
D 6.60
6 Taylor Harwood-Bellis Taylor Harwood-Bellis D 6.50
14 James Bree James Bree D 6.70
20 Caspar Jander Caspar Jander M 7.20
24 Shea Charles Shea Charles M 7.20
13 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza M 7.30
10 F. Azaz F. Azaz M 6.60
18 Tom Fellows Tom Fellows 69' M 6.90
9 C. Larin C. Larin 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.60
Bench
19 Cameron Archer Cameron Archer F
48 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg M
11 Ross Stewart Ross Stewart 9' F 6.20
23 Samuel Edozie Samuel Edozie 21' M 6.50
34 Welington Welington D
Ipswich Ipswich 4-2-3-1
28
G 6.30
3
L. Davis D 7.30
24
J. Greaves D 7.30
26
D 7.30
19 D. Furlong D. Furlong D 7.20
6
D. Neil M 6.90
5
A. Matusiwa 82' M 7.30
11 J. Philogene J. Philogene 67' M 6.70
32 M. Núñez M. Núñez 75' M 6.30
7
W. Burns 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.30
31
I. Azon 1 👟 75' F 7.30
Bench
33
A. Mehmeti M
18
B. Johnson D
4
C. Kipre D
9 G. Hirst G. Hirst 15' F 6.70
47 J. Clarke J. Clarke 1 ⚽ 23' F 8.50
20
K. McAteer 23' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
Ryan Manning
Ryan Manning
D · Southampton
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
J. Clarke
J. Clarke
F · Ipswich
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 11 pass
G · Southampton
7.90
· 40 pass
C. Larin
C. Larin
F · Southampton
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
I. Azon
F · Ipswich
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
W. Burns
M · Ipswich
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
Southampton Southampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 40 21% — — —
Ryan Manning D 90 8.50 1 1 2 34 29% 1 — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 40 40% — — —
Taylor Harwood-Bellis D 90 6.50 — — — 57 41% — — —
James Bree D 90 6.70 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
Caspar Jander M 90 7.20 — — — 37 29% 5 — —
Shea Charles M 90 7.20 — — 1 42 36% 1 — —
Léo Scienza M 90 7.30 — — 1 25 19% — — —
F. Azaz M 90 6.60 — — 1 31 20% — — —
Tom Fellows M 69 6.90 — — — 20 16% 2 — —
C. Larin F 81 7.60 1 — 4 10 7% 1 — —
Ross Stewart F 9 6.20 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
Samuel Edozie M 21 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Ipswich Ipswich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 24 16% — — —
L. Davis D 90 7.30 — — — 27 23% — — —
J. Greaves D 90 7.30 — — — 52 43% 3 1 —
D 90 7.30 — — — 61 44% — — —
D. Furlong D 90 7.20 — — 2 17 12% — — —
D. Neil M 90 6.90 — — — 38 30% 4 — —
A. Matusiwa M 82 7.30 — — — 35 27% 1 — —
J. Philogene M 67 6.70 — — 3 19 11% 2 — —
M. Núñez M 75 6.30 — — — 24 20% 3 — —
W. Burns M 67 7.30 1 — 4 10 8% — — —
I. Azon F 75 7.30 — 1 2 14 9% — 1 —
G. Hirst F 15 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
J. Clarke F 23 8.50 1 — 4 11 10% 1 — —
K. McAteer M 23 6.60 — — 2 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Ipswich?
The final score was Southampton 2–2 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Southampton win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Ipswich win.