R. Manning
58'
C. Larin
(ast. R. Manning)
80'
48'
(ast. I. Azon)
W. Burns
87'
J. Clarke
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 54% win probability (draw 22%, Ipswich 23%). The final result was Southampton 2–2 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ipswich.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
9
1.01
Actual xG
1.77
7
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
11
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
48'
ast. I. Azon ·
W. Burns⚽
57'
J. Greaves
⚽R. Manning
58'
67'
J. Clarke
/
J. Philogene
67'
K. McAteer
/
W. Burns
T. Fellows
/ S. Edozie
69'
75'
I. Azon
75'
G. Hirst
/
I. Azon
75'
J. Cajuste
/
M. Nunez
⚽C. Larin
· ast. R. Manning
80'
C. Larin
/ R. Stewart
81'
82'
C. Akpom
/
A. Matusiwa
87'
J. Clarke⚽
Pre-match prediction
54.98%
Southampton
22.0%
X ←
23.02%
Ipswich
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.15
1.01
-1.14
1.32
1.77
+0.46
Ipswich dominated by xG (1.77 vs 1.01).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
G
3
R. Manning
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
R. Manning
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
15
D
6
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
D
14
James Bree
D
James Bree
D
20
Caspar Jander
M
Caspar Jander
M
24
Shea Charles
M
Shea Charles
M
13
Léo Scienza
M
Léo Scienza
M
10
F. Azaz
M
F. Azaz
M
18
T. Fellows
69'
M
T. Fellows
69'
M
9
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
81'
F
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
19
Cameron Archer
F
Cameron Archer
F
48
Cameron Bragg
M
Cameron Bragg
M
11
Ross Stewart
9'
F
Ross Stewart
9'
F
23
Samuel Edozie
21'
M
Samuel Edozie
21'
M
34
Welington
D
Welington
D
28
G
3
L. Davis
D
24
J. Greaves
D
26
D
19
D. Furlong
D
D. Furlong
D
6
D. Neil
M
5
A. Matusiwa
82'
M
11
J. Philogene
67'
M
J. Philogene
67'
M
32
M. Núñez
75'
M
M. Núñez
75'
M
7
W. Burns
1 ⚽
67'
M
31
I. Azon
1 👟
75'
F
Bench
33
Anis Mehmeti
M
Anis Mehmeti
M
18
B. Johnson
D
4
C. Kipre
D
9
George Hirst
15'
F
George Hirst
15'
F
47
J. Clarke
1 ⚽
23'
F
J. Clarke
1 ⚽
23'
F
20
K. McAteer
23'
M
Best on the pitch
R. Manning
D · Southampton
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 34 pass
J. Clarke
F · Ipswich
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 11 pass
G · Southampton
7.90
· 40 pass
Cyle Larin
F · Southampton
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 10 pass
I. Azon
F · Ipswich
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 14 pass
W. Burns
M · Ipswich
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 10 pass
Southampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| R. Manning | D | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 41% | — | — | — |
| James Bree | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Caspar Jander | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 29% | 5 | — | — |
| Shea Charles | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Scienza | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| F. Azaz | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| T. Fellows | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Cyle Larin | F | 81 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Ross Stewart | F | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Edozie | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Ipswich — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| L. Davis | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| J. Greaves | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 44% | — | — | — | |
| D. Furlong | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Neil | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Matusiwa | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Philogene | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Núñez | M | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| W. Burns | M | 67 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| I. Azon | F | 75 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| George Hirst | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Clarke | F | 23 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| K. McAteer | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Ipswich?
The final score was Southampton 2–2 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Southampton win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Ipswich win.