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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 28, 2026 20:45 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Southampton
#14 · 7 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Ipswich
R. Manning 58'
C. Larin (ast. R. Manning) 80'
48' (ast. I. Azon) W. Burns
87' J. Clarke
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 54% win probability (draw 22%, Ipswich 23%). The final result was Southampton 2–2 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ipswich.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
9
1.01
Actual xG
1.77
7
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
11
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
48'
ast. I. Azon · W. Burns⚽
57'
J. Greaves
⚽R. Manning
58'
67'
J. Clarke / J. Philogene ↕
67'
K. McAteer / W. Burns ↕
↕ T. Fellows / S. Edozie
69'
75'
I. Azon
75'
G. Hirst / I. Azon ↕
75'
J. Cajuste / M. Nunez ↕
⚽C. Larin · ast. R. Manning
80'
↕ C. Larin / R. Stewart
81'
82'
C. Akpom / A. Matusiwa ↕
87'
J. Clarke⚽
Pre-match prediction
54.98%
Southampton
22.0%
X ←
23.02%
Ipswich
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Southampton
2.15
1.01
-1.14
Ipswich
1.32
1.77
+0.46
Ipswich dominated by xG (1.77 vs 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
41
G 7.90
3 R. Manning R. Manning 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.50
15
D 6.60
6 Taylor Harwood-Bellis Taylor Harwood-Bellis D 6.50
14 J. Bree J. Bree D 6.70
20 Caspar Jander Caspar Jander M 7.20
24 S. Charles S. Charles M 7.20
13 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza M 7.30
10 F. Azaz F. Azaz M 6.60
18 T. Fellows T. Fellows 69' M 6.90
9 C. Larin C. Larin 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.60
Bench
48 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg M
19 C. Archer C. Archer F
11 Ross Stewart Ross Stewart 9' F 6.20
23 S. Edozie S. Edozie 21' M 6.50
34 Welington Welington D
Ipswich Ipswich 4-2-3-1
28
G 6.30
3 L. Davis L. Davis D 7.30
24 J. Greaves J. Greaves D 7.30
26
D 7.30
19 D. Furlong D. Furlong D 7.20
6 D. Neil D. Neil M 6.90
5
A. Matusiwa 82' M 7.30
11 J. Philogene J. Philogene 67' M 6.70
32 M. Núñez M. Núñez 75' M 6.30
7 W. Burns W. Burns 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.30
31 Iván Azón Iván Azón 1 👟 75' F 7.30
Bench
33 Anis Mehmeti Anis Mehmeti M
18 B. Johnson B. Johnson D
4 C. Kipré C. Kipré D
9 G. Hirst G. Hirst 15' F 6.70
47 J. Clarke J. Clarke 1 ⚽ 23' F 8.50
20 K. McAteer K. McAteer 23' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
R. Manning
R. Manning
D · Southampton
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
J. Clarke
J. Clarke
F · Ipswich
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 11 pass
G · Southampton
7.90
· 40 pass
C. Larin
C. Larin
F · Southampton
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
Iván Azón
Iván Azón
F · Ipswich
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
W. Burns
W. Burns
M · Ipswich
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
Southampton Southampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 40 21% — — —
R. Manning D 90 8.50 1 1 2 34 29% 1 — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 40 40% — — —
Taylor Harwood-Bellis D 90 6.50 — — — 57 41% — — —
J. Bree D 90 6.70 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
Caspar Jander M 90 7.20 — — — 37 29% 5 — —
S. Charles M 90 7.20 — — 1 42 36% 1 — —
Léo Scienza M 90 7.30 — — 1 25 19% — — —
F. Azaz M 90 6.60 — — 1 31 20% — — —
T. Fellows M 69 6.90 — — — 20 16% 2 — —
C. Larin F 81 7.60 1 — 4 10 7% 1 — —
Ross Stewart F 9 6.20 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
S. Edozie M 21 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Ipswich Ipswich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 24 16% — — —
L. Davis D 90 7.30 — — — 27 23% — — —
J. Greaves D 90 7.30 — — — 52 43% 3 1 —
D 90 7.30 — — — 61 44% — — —
D. Furlong D 90 7.20 — — 2 17 12% — — —
D. Neil M 90 6.90 — — — 38 30% 4 — —
A. Matusiwa M 82 7.30 — — — 35 27% 1 — —
J. Philogene M 67 6.70 — — 3 19 11% 2 — —
M. Núñez M 75 6.30 — — — 24 20% 3 — —
W. Burns M 67 7.30 1 — 4 10 8% — — —
Iván Azón F 75 7.30 — 1 2 14 9% — 1 —
G. Hirst F 15 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
J. Clarke F 23 8.50 1 — 4 11 10% 1 — —
K. McAteer M 23 6.60 — — 2 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Ipswich?
The final score was Southampton 2–2 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Southampton win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Ipswich win.