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Championship · Regular Season - 40 April 28, 2026 20:45 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Southampton
#6 · 20 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Ipswich
R. Manning 58'
C. Larin (ast. R. Manning) 80'
48' (ast. I. Azon) W. Burns
87' J. Clarke
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 54% win probability (draw 22%, Ipswich 23%). The final result was Southampton 2–2 Ipswich. In 1 previous meetings, Southampton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ipswich.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
9
1.01
Actual xG
1.77
7
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
11
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
48'
ast. I. Azon · W. Burns⚽
57'
J. Greaves
⚽R. Manning
58'
67'
J. Clarke / J. Philogene ↕
67'
K. McAteer / W. Burns ↕
↕ T. Fellows / S. Edozie
69'
75'
I. Azon
75'
G. Hirst / I. Azon ↕
75'
J. Cajuste / M. Nunez ↕
⚽C. Larin · ast. R. Manning
80'
↕ C. Larin / R. Stewart
81'
82'
C. Akpom / A. Matusiwa ↕
87'
J. Clarke⚽
Pre-match prediction
54.98%
Southampton
22.0%
X ←
23.02%
Ipswich
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.0% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Southampton
2.15
1.01
-1.14
Ipswich
1.32
1.77
+0.46
Ipswich dominated by xG (1.77 vs 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Southampton Southampton 4-2-3-1
41
G 7.90
3 R. Manning R. Manning 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.50
15
D 6.60
6 T. Harwood-Bellis T. Harwood-Bellis D 6.50
14 J. Bree J. Bree D 6.70
20 C. Jander C. Jander M 7.20
24 S. Charles S. Charles M 7.20
13 Léo Scienza Léo Scienza M 7.30
10 F. Azaz F. Azaz M 6.60
18 T. Fellows T. Fellows 69' M 6.90
9 C. Larin C. Larin 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.60
Bench
48 Cameron Bragg Cameron Bragg M
19 C. Archer C. Archer F
11 R. Stewart R. Stewart 9' F 6.20
23 S. Edozie S. Edozie 21' M 6.50
34 Welington Welington D
Ipswich Ipswich 4-2-3-1
28
G 6.30
3 L. Davis L. Davis D 7.30
24 J. Greaves J. Greaves D 7.30
26
D 7.30
19 D. Furlong D. Furlong D 7.20
6 D. Neil D. Neil M 6.90
5 A. Matusiwa A. Matusiwa 82' M 7.30
11 J. Philogene J. Philogene 67' M 6.70
32 M. Núñez M. Núñez 75' M 6.30
7 W. Burns W. Burns 1 ⚽ 67' M 7.30
31 Iván Azón Iván Azón 1 👟 75' F 7.30
Bench
33 A. Mehmeti A. Mehmeti M
18 B. Johnson B. Johnson D
4 C. Kipré C. Kipré D
9 G. Hirst G. Hirst 15' F 6.70
47 J. Clarke J. Clarke 1 ⚽ 23' F 8.50
20 K. McAteer K. McAteer 23' M 6.60
Best on the pitch
R. Manning
R. Manning
D · Southampton
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 34 pass
J. Clarke
J. Clarke
F · Ipswich
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots · 11 pass
G · Southampton
7.90
· 40 pass
C. Larin
C. Larin
F · Southampton
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
Iván Azón
Iván Azón
F · Ipswich
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
W. Burns
W. Burns
M · Ipswich
7.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
Southampton Southampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.90 — — — 40 21% — — —
R. Manning D 90 8.50 1 1 2 34 29% 1 — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 40 40% — — —
T. Harwood-Bellis D 90 6.50 — — — 57 41% — — —
J. Bree D 90 6.70 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
C. Jander M 90 7.20 — — — 37 29% 5 — —
S. Charles M 90 7.20 — — 1 42 36% 1 — —
Léo Scienza M 90 7.30 — — 1 25 19% — — —
F. Azaz M 90 6.60 — — 1 31 20% — — —
T. Fellows M 69 6.90 — — — 20 16% 2 — —
C. Larin F 81 7.60 1 — 4 10 7% 1 — —
R. Stewart F 9 6.20 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
S. Edozie M 21 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Ipswich Ipswich — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 24 16% — — —
L. Davis D 90 7.30 — — — 27 23% — — —
J. Greaves D 90 7.30 — — — 52 43% 3 1 —
D 90 7.30 — — — 61 44% — — —
D. Furlong D 90 7.20 — — 2 17 12% — — —
D. Neil M 90 6.90 — — — 38 30% 4 — —
A. Matusiwa M 82 7.30 — — — 35 27% 1 — —
J. Philogene M 67 6.70 — — 3 19 11% 2 — —
M. Núñez M 75 6.30 — — — 24 20% 3 — —
W. Burns M 67 7.30 1 — 4 10 8% — — —
Iván Azón F 75 7.30 — 1 2 14 9% — 1 —
G. Hirst F 15 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
J. Clarke F 23 8.50 1 — 4 11 10% 1 — —
K. McAteer M 23 6.60 — — 2 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Southampton vs Ipswich?
The final score was Southampton 2–2 Ipswich.
What did the model predict before Southampton vs Ipswich?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Southampton win, 22% to a draw, and 23% to an Ipswich win.