Championship · Regular Season - 36 March 18, 2026 20:45

Southampton

#4 · 80 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Norwich

#9 · 65 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Southampton

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Norwich 22%). The final result was Southampton 1–0 Norwich. In 2 previous meetings, Southampton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Norwich.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

7

0.58

Actual xG

1.12

43%

Possession

57%

5

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

51.95%

Southampton ←

25.98%

X

22.07%

Norwich

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 51.95% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Southampton

1.59

0.58

-1.01

Norwich

1.20

1.12

-0.08

Norwich dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Coventry	46	95
2	Ipswich	46	84
3	Millwall	46	83
4	Southampton	46	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	80
6	Hull City	46	73
7	Wrexham	46	71
8	Derby	46	69
9	Norwich	46	65
10	Birmingham	46	64
11	Swansea	46	64
12	Bristol City	46	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	60
14	Preston	46	60
15	QPR	46	58
16	Watford	46	57
17	Stoke City	46	55
18	Portsmouth	46	55
19	Charlton	46	53
20	Blackburn	46	52
21	West Brom	46	51
22	Oxford United	46	47
23	Leicester	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	0