Championship · Regular Season - 36 March 18, 2026 20:45 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Southampton

#7 · 10 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Norwich

#11 · 9 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Southampton

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Norwich 22%). The final result was Southampton 1–0 Norwich. In 2 previous meetings, Southampton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Norwich.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

7

0.58

Actual xG

1.12

43%

Possession

57%

5

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

51.95%

Southampton ←

25.98%

X

22.07%

Norwich

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 51.95% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Southampton

1.59

0.58

-1.01

Norwich

1.20

1.12

-0.08

Norwich dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	West Ham	7	14
2	Swansea	7	14
3	West Brom	7	14
4	Middlesbrough	6	13
5	QPR	7	12
6	Charlton	7	12
7	Southampton	7	10
8	Birmingham	7	10
9	Stoke City	7	10
10	Bristol City	6	10
11	Norwich	7	9
12	Millwall	6	9
13	Sheffield Utd	6	9
14	Wolves	5	8
15	Blackburn	7	8
16	Lincoln	6	8
17	Watford	7	8
18	Portsmouth	6	7
19	Wrexham	7	7
20	Bolton	7	7
21	Cardiff	7	4
22	Derby	7	4
23	Preston	7	3
24	Burnley	7	3