Championship · Regular Season - 36 March 18, 2026 20:45 St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Southampton

#24 · 0 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Norwich

#12 · 0 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Southampton

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Southampton a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Norwich 22%). The final result was Southampton 1–0 Norwich. In 2 previous meetings, Southampton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Norwich.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

7

0.58

Actual xG

1.12

43%

Possession

57%

5

Corners

6

Pre-match prediction

51.95%

Southampton ←

25.98%

X

22.07%

Norwich

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Southampton) 51.95% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Southampton

1.59

0.58

-1.01

Norwich

1.20

1.12

-0.08

Norwich dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0
3	Bolton	0	0
4	Derby	0	0
5	Middlesbrough	0	0
6	Portsmouth	0	0
7	West Ham	0	0
8	Bristol City	0	0
9	Burnley	0	0
10	Cardiff	0	0
11	Charlton	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0
13	Preston	0	0
14	QPR	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0
16	Stoke City	0	0
17	Watford	0	0
18	West Brom	0	0
19	Wolves	0	0
20	Millwall	0	0
21	Swansea	0	0
22	Lincoln	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0
24	Southampton	0	0