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Sporting CP - GIL Vicente

Primeira Liga May 16, 2026 21:30
Sporting CP
#2 · 79 pts
vs
GIL Vicente
#6 · 50 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 15.4°C 💨 16 km/h · Lisbon
⚡ Pre-match analysis
69.44%
Win
Sporting CP
17.35%
Draw
13.21%
Win
GIL Vicente
2.25
Expected xG
0.86
Model prediction
Sporting CP
69.44%
Probability
55.9%
1X2 accuracy · 34 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Sporting CP a 69% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 13% for GIL Vicente. Expected goals are 2.3 for Sporting CP and 0.9 for GIL Vicente (total 3.1), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 11.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for GIL Vicente.

Score Matrix
↕ Sporting CP GIL Vicente →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 11.3% 9.7% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 8.5% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% —
4 4.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% — —
Recent form
Sporting CP Sporting CP
W Rio Ave 1–4
W Guimaraes 5–1
D Tondela 2–2
D AVS 1–1
L Benfica 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 35%
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
L Arouca 1–3
D Rio Ave 0–0
W Casa Pia 2–1
L Guimaraes 0–1
D Tondela 2–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 20%
Playing profile
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Attack
63
Defence
67
Form
65
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Attack
36
Defence
66
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Sporting CP
1
Draw
0
GIL Vicente
D 2 Jan 2026 Primeira Liga 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?
The model gives Sporting CP a 69% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 13% for an GIL Vicente win.
How many goals are expected in Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?
Expected goals: Sporting CP 2.3, GIL Vicente 0.9 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.