✓Model correct — prediction Sporting CP
E. Quaresma
(ast. Pote)
15'
L. Suarez
34'
M. Hjulmand
(ast. G. Quenda)
90'+3
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 70% win probability (draw 16%, GIL Vicente 12%). The final result was Sporting CP 3–0 GIL Vicente. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for GIL Vicente.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
1
1.65
Actual xG
0.68
1
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
1
17
Tackles
22
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Quaresma
· ast. Pote
15'
⚽L. Suarez
34'
46'
A. Moreira
/
J. Fernandes
63'
Ze Carlos
73'
S. Hevertton
/
Ze Carlos
73'
H. Hernandez
/
G. Varela
H. Morita
/ D. Braganca
73'
Pote
/ Luis Guilherme
73'
G. Catamo
/ G. Quenda
73'
82'
Ze Carlos
/
F. Caseres
82'
Bermejo
/
Murilo de Souza
⚽M. Hjulmand
· ast. G. Quenda
90'+3
Trincao
/ S. Blopa
90'
G. Vagiannidis
/ R. Mangas
90'
Pre-match prediction
70.38%
Sporting ←
16.92%
X
12.7%
GIL
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting CP)
70.38%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.25
1.65
-0.6
0.86
0.68
-0.18
Sporting CP dominated by xG (1.65 vs 0.68).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
20
M. Araújo
D
M. Araújo
D
25
Gonçalo Inácio
D
Gonçalo Inácio
D
72
Eduardo Quaresma
1 ⚽
D
Eduardo Quaresma
1 ⚽
D
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
89'
D
Georgios Vagiannidis
89'
D
5
Hidemasa Morita
73'
M
Hidemasa Morita
73'
M
42
M. Hjulmand
1 ⚽
M
M. Hjulmand
1 ⚽
M
8
Pote
1 👟
73'
M
Pote
1 👟
73'
M
17
Francisco Trincão
89'
M
Francisco Trincão
89'
M
10
Geny Catamo
73'
M
Geny Catamo
73'
M
97
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
F
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
F
Bench
23
Daniel Bragança
17'
M
Daniel Bragança
17'
M
73
Eduardo Felicíssimo
M
Eduardo Felicíssimo
M
7
Geovany Quenda
1 👟
17'
M
Geovany Quenda
1 👟
17'
M
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili
M
12
João Virgínia
G
João Virgínia
G
31
Luis Guilherme
17'
F
Luis Guilherme
17'
F
90
Rafael Nel
F
Rafael Nel
F
91
Ricardo Mangas
1'
D
Ricardo Mangas
1'
D
70
Salvador Blopa
1'
D
Salvador Blopa
1'
D
99
Dani Figueira
G
3
Ghislain Konan
D
Ghislain Konan
D
39
Jonathan Buatu
D
Jonathan Buatu
D
4
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert
D
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert
D
2
Zé Carlos
73'
D
Zé Carlos
73'
D
10
Luís Esteves
M
Luís Esteves
M
5
Facundo Cáseres
82'
M
Facundo Cáseres
82'
M
11
Joelson Fernandes
45'
M
Joelson Fernandes
45'
M
95
Santi García
M
Santi García
M
77
Murilo
82'
M
Murilo
82'
M
89
Gustavo Varela
73'
F
Gustavo Varela
73'
F
Bench
27
Agustín Moreira
45'
F
Agustín Moreira
45'
F
48
Antonio Espigares
D
Antonio Espigares
D
29
Carlos Eduardo
F
Carlos Eduardo
F
23
Héctor Hernández
17'
F
Héctor Hernández
17'
F
20
Hevertton Santos
17'
D
Hevertton Santos
17'
D
30
Lucão
G
Lucão
G
32
Martin Fernández
M
Martin Fernández
M
17
Sergio Bermejo
8'
F
Sergio Bermejo
8'
F
6
Zé Carlos
8'
M
Zé Carlos
8'
M
Best on the pitch
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
9.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
Eduardo Quaresma
D · Sporting
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 88 pass
Gonçalo Inácio
D · Sporting
7.90
· 112 pass
M. Hjulmand
M · Sporting
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 58 pass
Pote
M · Sporting
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
M. Araújo
D · Sporting
7.30
· 40 pass
Sporting CP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| M. Araújo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 7 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 112 | 105% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 88 | 83% | 2 | — | — |
| Georgios Vagiannidis | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| Hidemasa Morita | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 58 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Pote | M | 73 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Francisco Trincão | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Geny Catamo | M | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 90 | 9.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 30 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bragança | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Geovany Quenda | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Luis Guilherme | F | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Salvador Blopa | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
GIL Vicente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Figueira | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ghislain Konan | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Buatu | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Marvin Elimbi Gilbert | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | D | 73 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luís Esteves | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 48 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Cáseres | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Joelson Fernandes | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Santi García | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Murilo | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Varela | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Moreira | F | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Héctor Hernández | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hevertton Santos | D | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Bermejo | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Zé Carlos | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?
The final score was Sporting CP 3–0 GIL Vicente.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente?
The model assigned 70% probability to a Sporting CP win, 16% to a draw, and 12% to an GIL Vicente win.