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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26 April 29, 2026 21:15
Sporting CP
#2 · 79 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Tondela
#17 · 28 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Pareggio
L. Suarez (ast. S. Blopa) 62'
J. Silva (ast. G. Catamo) 78' (og)
(og) 90'+2 S. Blopa
90'+4 (ast. H. Felix) Cicero

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 79% win probability (draw 13%, Tondela 6%). The final result was Sporting CP 2–2 Tondela. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tondela.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
2
1.67
Actual xG
1.35
1
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
16'
Pedro Maranhao
19'
Rony Lopes
43'
T. Manso
E. Quaresma
45'+1
↕ G. Quenda / Trincao
57'
↕ G. Vagiannidis / S. Blopa
57'
57'
A. van der Heide / M. Ouattara ↕
⚽L. Suarez · ast. S. Blopa
62'
66'
J. Hodge / Pedro Maranhao ↕
66'
M. Aiko / H. Tavares ↕
↕ Pote / Luis Guilherme
75'
75'
Cicero / Rony Lopes ↕
75'
H. Felix / S. Sithole ↕
S. Blopa
78'
⚽J. Silva (og) · ast. G. Catamo
78'
↕ D. Braganca / G. Kochorashvili
86'
↕ G. Catamo / N. Santos
87'
90'+2
(missed pen.) M. Aiko⚽
90'+2
(og) S. Blopa⚽
90'+4
ast. H. Felix · Cicero⚽
Pre-match prediction
79.78%
Sporting
13.78%
X ←
6.44%
Tondela
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 13.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
2.48
1.67
-0.81
Tondela
0.58
1.35
+0.77
Sporting CP dominated by xG (1.67 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 7.20
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo D 7.20
6
Z. Debast D 7.00
72 Quaresma Quaresma D 6.60
13
Giorgos Vagiannidis 57' D 6.30
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 86' M 6.90
5 Hidemasa Morita Hidemasa Morita M 7.20
7 Geovany Quenda Geovany Quenda 57' M 6.90
8 Pote Pote 75' M 7.00
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 1 👟 87' M 6.30
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
14 Giorgi Kochorashvili Giorgi Kochorashvili 11' M 6.30
31 Luís Guilherme Luís Guilherme 15' F 6.60
26 Ousmane Diomande Ousmane Diomande D
90 Rafael Nel Rafael Nel F
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas D
70 Salvador Blopa Salvador Blopa 1 ⚽ 1 👟 33' D 5.60
17 Trincão Trincão 33' F 6.60
Tondela Tondela 4-3-3
31
G 6.20
27 Rodrigo Conceição Rodrigo Conceição D 6.90
4 Christian Marques Christian Marques D 6.70
44 João Silva João Silva 1 ⚽ D 5.90
48 Tiago Manso Tiago Manso D 5.70
32
M 7.20
15 Siphephelo Sithole Siphephelo Sithole 75' M 7.20
8 Hélder Tavares Hélder Tavares 66' M 6.60
70
57' F 6.50
16 Rony Lopes Rony Lopes 75' F 6.70
7 Maranhão Maranhão 66' F 6.30
Bench
26 Arjen Van Der Heide Arjen Van Der Heide 33' F 6.70
2 Bebeto Bebeto D
23 Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka F
97 Cicero Cicero 1 ⚽ 15' M 7.90
79 Hugo Félix Hugo Félix 1 👟 15' M 7.20
10 Joe Hodge Joe Hodge 24' M 6.70
90 Makan Aïko Makan Aïko 24' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Cicero
Cicero
M · Tondela
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
Rui Silva
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
7.20
· 32 pass
M. Araújo
M. Araújo
D · Sporting
7.20
1 shots · 59 pass
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita
M · Sporting
7.20
· 72 pass
Siphephelo Sithole
Siphephelo Sithole
M · Tondela
7.20
· 46 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 90 7.20 — — — 32 30% — — —
M. Araújo D 90 7.20 — — 1 59 54% 2 — —
Z. Debast D 90 7.00 — — — 75 70% — — —
Quaresma D 90 6.60 — — — 104 100% 1 1 —
Giorgos Vagiannidis D 57 6.30 — — — 38 36% 2 — —
Daniel Bragança M 86 6.90 — — 1 80 72% 1 — —
Hidemasa Morita M 90 7.20 — — — 72 63% 2 — —
Geovany Quenda M 57 6.90 — — — 24 19% — — —
Pote M 75 7.00 — — 2 51 46% — — —
Geny Catamo M 87 6.30 — 1 3 65 56% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 90 7.70 1 — 3 27 21% — — —
Giorgi Kochorashvili M 11 6.30 — — — 5 4% 2 — —
Luís Guilherme F 15 6.60 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Salvador Blopa D 33 5.60 1 1 1 35 30% 3 1 —
Trincão F 33 6.60 — — — 26 26% — — —
Tondela Tondela — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 30 17% — — —
Rodrigo Conceição D 90 6.90 — — — 24 21% 5 — —
Christian Marques D 90 6.70 — — — 31 25% 4 — —
João Silva D 90 5.90 1 — — 39 34% — — —
Tiago Manso D 90 5.70 — — 2 33 27% — 1 —
M 90 7.20 — — — 36 30% 4 — —
Siphephelo Sithole M 75 7.20 — — — 46 36% 4 — —
Hélder Tavares M 66 6.60 — — — 22 19% 1 — —
F 57 6.50 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
Rony Lopes F 75 6.70 — — 1 29 25% 3 1 —
Maranhão F 66 6.30 — — 1 15 10% — 1 —
Arjen Van Der Heide F 33 6.70 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Cicero M 15 7.90 1 — 2 18 15% 1 — —
Hugo Félix M 15 7.20 — 1 — 13 12% 1 — —
Joe Hodge M 24 6.70 — — — 15 13% — — —
Makan Aïko F 24 6.20 — — 2 8 7% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Tondela?
The final score was Sporting CP 2–2 Tondela.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Tondela?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Sporting CP win, 13% to a draw, and 6% to an Tondela win.