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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26 April 29, 2026 21:15 Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Sporting CP
#2 · 82 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Tondela
#17 · 28 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Draw
L. Suarez (ast. S. Blopa) 62'
J. Silva (ast. G. Catamo) 78' (og)
(og) 90'+2 S. Blopa
90'+4 (ast. H. Felix) Cicero
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 79% win probability (draw 13%, Tondela 6%). The final result was Sporting CP 2–2 Tondela. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tondela.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
2
1.67
Actual xG
1.35
1
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
16'
Pedro Maranhao
19'
Rony Lopes
43'
T. Manso
E. Quaresma
45'+1
↕ G. Quenda / Trincao
57'
↕ G. Vagiannidis / S. Blopa
57'
57'
A. van der Heide / M. Ouattara ↕
⚽L. Suarez · ast. S. Blopa
62'
66'
J. Hodge / Pedro Maranhao ↕
66'
M. Aiko / H. Tavares ↕
↕ Pote / Luis Guilherme
75'
75'
Cicero / Rony Lopes ↕
75'
H. Felix / S. Sithole ↕
S. Blopa
78'
⚽J. Silva (og) · ast. G. Catamo
78'
↕ D. Braganca / G. Kochorashvili
86'
↕ G. Catamo / N. Santos
87'
90'+2
(missed pen.) M. Aiko⚽
90'+2
(og) S. Blopa⚽
90'+4
ast. H. Felix · Cicero⚽
Pre-match prediction
79.78%
Sporting
13.78%
X ←
6.44%
Tondela
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 13.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
2.48
1.67
-0.81
Tondela
0.58
1.35
+0.77
Sporting CP dominated by xG (1.67 vs 1.35). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 34 82
3 Benfica Benfica 34 80
4 SC Braga SC Braga 34 59
5 Famalicao Famalicao 34 56
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 34 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 34 43
8 Arouca Arouca 34 42
9 Guimaraes Guimaraes 34 42
10 Estoril Estoril 34 39
11 Alverca Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave 34 36
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara 34 36
14 Nacional Nacional 34 34
15 Estrela Estrela 34 30
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 34 30
17 Tondela Tondela 34 28
18 AVS AVS 34 21
Lineups
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 7.20
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo D 7.20
6
Z. Debast D 7.00
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D 6.60
13 Georgios Vagiannidis Georgios Vagiannidis 57' D 6.30
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 86' M 6.90
5 Hidemasa Morita Hidemasa Morita M 7.20
7 Geovany Quenda Geovany Quenda 57' M 6.90
8 Pote Pote 75' M 7.00
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 1 👟 87' M 6.30
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
17 Francisco Trincão Francisco Trincão 33' F 6.60
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili 11' M 6.30
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme 15' F 6.60
26 O. Diomande O. Diomande D
90 Rafael Nel Rafael Nel F
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas D
70 Salvador Blopa Salvador Blopa 1 ⚽ 1 👟 33' D 5.60
Tondela Tondela 4-3-3
31
G 6.20
27 Rodrigo Conceição Rodrigo Conceição D 6.90
4 Christian Marques Christian Marques D 6.70
44 João Silva João Silva 1 ⚽ D 5.90
48 Tiago Manso Tiago Manso D 5.70
32
M 7.20
15 S. Sithole S. Sithole 75' M 7.20
8 Hélder Tavares Hélder Tavares 66' M 6.60
70
57' F 6.50
16 Rony Lopes Rony Lopes 75' F 6.70
7 Maranhão Maranhão 66' F 6.30
Bench
26 Arjen Van Der Heide Arjen Van Der Heide 33' F 6.70
2 Bebeto Bebeto D
23 Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka F
97 Cicero Cicero 1 ⚽ 15' M 7.90
79 Hugo Félix Hugo Félix 1 👟 15' M 7.20
10 Joe Hodge Joe Hodge 24' M 6.70
90 Makan Aïko Makan Aïko 24' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Cicero
Cicero
M · Tondela
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
L. Suárez
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
Rui Silva
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
7.20
· 32 pass
M. Araújo
M. Araújo
D · Sporting
7.20
1 shots · 59 pass
Hidemasa Morita
Hidemasa Morita
M · Sporting
7.20
· 72 pass
S. Sithole
S. Sithole
M · Tondela
7.20
· 46 pass
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 90 7.20 — — — 32 30% — — —
M. Araújo D 90 7.20 — — 1 59 54% 2 — —
Z. Debast D 90 7.00 — — — 75 70% — — —
Eduardo Quaresma D 90 6.60 — — — 104 100% 1 1 —
Georgios Vagiannidis D 57 6.30 — — — 38 36% 2 — —
Daniel Bragança M 86 6.90 — — 1 80 72% 1 — —
Hidemasa Morita M 90 7.20 — — — 72 63% 2 — —
Geovany Quenda M 57 6.90 — — — 24 19% — — —
Pote M 75 7.00 — — 2 51 46% — — —
Geny Catamo M 87 6.30 — 1 3 65 56% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 90 7.70 1 — 3 27 21% — — —
Francisco Trincão F 33 6.60 — — — 26 26% — — —
Giorgi Kochorashvili M 11 6.30 — — — 5 4% 2 — —
Luis Guilherme F 15 6.60 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Salvador Blopa D 33 5.60 1 1 1 35 30% 3 1 —
Tondela Tondela — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 30 17% — — —
Rodrigo Conceição D 90 6.90 — — — 24 21% 5 — —
Christian Marques D 90 6.70 — — — 31 25% 4 — —
João Silva D 90 5.90 1 — — 39 34% — — —
Tiago Manso D 90 5.70 — — 2 33 27% — 1 —
M 90 7.20 — — — 36 30% 4 — —
S. Sithole M 75 7.20 — — — 46 36% 4 — —
Hélder Tavares M 66 6.60 — — — 22 19% 1 — —
F 57 6.50 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
Rony Lopes F 75 6.70 — — 1 29 25% 3 1 —
Maranhão F 66 6.30 — — 1 15 10% — 1 —
Arjen Van Der Heide F 33 6.70 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Cicero M 15 7.90 1 — 2 18 15% 1 — —
Hugo Félix M 15 7.20 — 1 — 13 12% 1 — —
Joe Hodge M 24 6.70 — — — 15 13% — — —
Makan Aïko F 24 6.20 — — 2 8 7% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Tondela?
The final score was Sporting CP 2–2 Tondela.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Tondela?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Sporting CP win, 13% to a draw, and 6% to an Tondela win.