✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Draw
L. Suarez
(ast. S. Blopa)
62'
J. Silva
(ast. G. Catamo)
78'
(og)
(og)
90'+2
S. Blopa
90'+4
(ast. H. Felix)
Cicero
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 79% win probability (draw 13%, Tondela 6%). The final result was Sporting CP 2–2 Tondela. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting CP have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Tondela.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
2
1.67
Actual xG
1.35
1
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
16'
Pedro Maranhao
19'
Rony Lopes
43'
T. Manso
E. Quaresma
45'+1
G. Quenda
/ Trincao
57'
G. Vagiannidis
/ S. Blopa
57'
57'
A. van der Heide
/
M. Ouattara
⚽L. Suarez
· ast. S. Blopa
62'
66'
J. Hodge
/
Pedro Maranhao
66'
M. Aiko
/
H. Tavares
Pote
/ Luis Guilherme
75'
75'
Cicero
/
Rony Lopes
75'
H. Felix
/
S. Sithole
S. Blopa
78'
⚽J. Silva
(og)
· ast. G. Catamo
78'
D. Braganca
/ G. Kochorashvili
86'
G. Catamo
/ N. Santos
87'
90'+2
(missed pen.)
M. Aiko⚽
90'+2
(og)
S. Blopa⚽
90'+4
ast. H. Felix ·
Cicero⚽
Pre-match prediction
79.78%
Sporting
13.78%
X ←
6.44%
Tondela
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
13.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.48
1.67
-0.81
0.58
1.35
+0.77
Sporting CP dominated by xG (1.67 vs 1.35).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
20
M. Araújo
D
M. Araújo
D
6
Z. Debast
D
Z. Debast
D
72
Eduardo Quaresma
D
Eduardo Quaresma
D
13
G. Vagiannidis
57'
D
G. Vagiannidis
57'
D
23
Daniel Bragança
86'
M
Daniel Bragança
86'
M
5
H. Morita
M
H. Morita
M
7
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
57'
M
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
57'
M
8
Pedro Gonçalves
75'
M
Pedro Gonçalves
75'
M
10
Geny Catamo
1 👟
87'
M
Geny Catamo
1 👟
87'
M
97
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
F
L. Suárez
1 ⚽
F
Bench
14
G. Kochorashvili
11'
M
G. Kochorashvili
11'
M
31
Luis Guilherme
15'
F
Luis Guilherme
15'
F
26
O. Diomande
D
O. Diomande
D
90
Rafael Ferreira Nel
F
Rafael Ferreira Nel
F
91
Ricardo Mangas
D
Ricardo Mangas
D
70
Salvador Blopa
1 ⚽
1 👟
33'
D
Salvador Blopa
1 ⚽
1 👟
33'
D
17
Trincão
33'
F
Trincão
33'
F
31
G
27
Rodrigo Conceição
D
Rodrigo Conceição
D
4
Christian Marques
D
44
João Silva
1 ⚽
D
João Silva
1 ⚽
D
48
Tiago Manso
D
Tiago Manso
D
32
M
15
S. Sithole
75'
M
8
Hélder Tavares
66'
M
70
57'
F
16
Rony Lopes
75'
F
Rony Lopes
75'
F
7
Pedro Maranhão
66'
F
Pedro Maranhão
66'
F
Bench
26
A. van der Heide
33'
F
2
Bebeto
D
23
B. Mbunga Kimpioka
F
B. Mbunga Kimpioka
F
97
Cícero
1 ⚽
15'
M
79
Hugo Félix
1 👟
15'
M
10
J. Hodge
24'
M
J. Hodge
24'
M
90
M. Aïko
24'
F
M. Aïko
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Cícero
M · Tondela
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
L. Suárez
F · Sporting
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 27 pass
Rui Silva
G · Sporting
7.20
· 32 pass
M. Araújo
D · Sporting
7.20
1 shots
· 59 pass
H. Morita
M · Sporting
7.20
· 72 pass
S. Sithole
M · Tondela
7.20
· 46 pass
Sporting CP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Araújo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Z. Debast | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 75 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 104 | 100% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Vagiannidis | D | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Bragança | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Morita | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| Geovany Tcherno Quenda | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Gonçalves | M | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Geny Catamo | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| G. Kochorashvili | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Guilherme | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Salvador Blopa | D | 33 | 5.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Trincão | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 26% | — | — | — |
Tondela — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Conceição | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| Christian Marques | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| João Silva | D | 90 | 5.90 | 1 | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Manso | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 4 | — | — | |
| S. Sithole | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Hélder Tavares | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — | |
| Rony Lopes | F | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Maranhão | F | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| A. van der Heide | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Cícero | M | 15 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Félix | M | 15 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hodge | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Aïko | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Tondela?
The final score was Sporting CP 2–2 Tondela.
What did the model predict before Sporting CP vs Tondela?
The model assigned 79% probability to a Sporting CP win, 13% to a draw, and 6% to an Tondela win.