← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 1 April 09, 2026 04:00
Sporting Cristal
#3 · 6 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Cerro Porteno
#2 · 7 pts
F. Vizeu (ast. Y. Yotun) 82'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting Cristal a 42% win probability (draw 31%, Cerro Porteno 26%). The final result was Sporting Cristal 1–0 Cerro Porteno.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
1
1.89
Actual xG
0.09
1
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
0
10
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
14'
M. Klimowicz / A. Sonora ↕
43'
C. Dominguez
M. Castro
43'
46'
A. G. Benitez / M. Klimowicz ↕
46'
L. J. Servin / C. Paredes ↕
G. Cazonatti
52'
↕ G. Cazonatti / Y. Yotun
61'
↕ I. Avila / F. Vizeu
72'
↕ J. Gonzalez / S. Gonzalez
72'
⚽F. Vizeu · ast. Y. Yotun
82'
86'
E. Paez / P. Vegetti ↕
86'
J. Iturbe / M. Chaparro ↕
M. Tavara
90'+2
↕ M. Castro / C. Cabellos
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.25%
Sporting ←
31.68%
X
26.06%
Cerro
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Cristal) 42.25% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sporting
1.14
1.89
+0.75
Cerro
0.66
0.09
-0.58
Sporting Cristal dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.09). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
1 Diego Enríquez Diego Enríquez G 6.90
8 Leandro Sosa Leandro Sosa D 6.60
20 Miguel Araujo Miguel Araujo D 7.20
5 Rafael Lutiger Rafael Lutiger D 7.50
90 Cristiano Cristiano D 6.70
18 Juan Cruz Gonzalez Juan Cruz Gonzalez 72' M 7.30
55 Gustavo Cazonatti Gustavo Cazonatti 61' M 6.90
25 G. Távara G. Távara M 7.50
23 Maxloren Castro Maxloren Castro 89' M 6.90
11 Irven Ávila Irven Ávila 72' F 6.30
16 Luis Iberico Luis Iberico F 6.20
Bench
15
Alejandro Pósito D
21 Catriel Cabellos Catriel Cabellos 1' M
14 Cristian Benavente Cristian Benavente F
9 Felipe Vizeu Felipe Vizeu 1 ⚽ 18' F 7.20
26 Ian Wisdom Ian Wisdom M
96 Luis Abram Luis Abram D
7 S. González S. González 18' F 6.50
19 Yoshimar Yotún Yoshimar Yotún 1 👟 29' M 7.20
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno
1 Alexis Martín Arias Alexis Martín Arias G 6.90
23 Gustavo Velázquez Gustavo Velázquez D 6.90
14 Lucas Quintana Lucas Quintana D 6.90
5 J. Morel J. Morel D 7.00
35 Marcelo Chaparro Marcelo Chaparro 86' D 6.30
26 da Motta da Motta M 6.30
8 Cristhian Paredes Cristhian Paredes 45' M 7.20
10 C. Domínguez C. Domínguez 43' M 5.30
7
A. Sonora 14' M 6.70
27 Jonatan Torres Jonatan Torres M 6.70
19 Pablo Vegetti Pablo Vegetti 86' F 6.00
Bench
6
A. Luciatti D
32 Cesar Bobadilla Cesar Bobadilla M
24 Edgar Raul Paez Torales Edgar Raul Paez Torales 10' F 6.50
16 Fabrizio Peralta Fabrizio Peralta M
13
Guillermo Benitez 45' D 6.60
11 Juan Iturbe Juan Iturbe 10' F 6.70
39
L. J. Servin 45' D 6.70
40 Mateo Klimowicz Mateo Klimowicz 31' M 6.70
33
R. Gomez D
42 Víctor Sánchez Víctor Sánchez D
Best on the pitch
Rafael Lutiger
Rafael Lutiger
D · Sporting
7.50
1 shots · 52 pass
G. Távara
G. Távara
M · Sporting
7.50
1 shots · 65 pass
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
M · Sporting
7.30
2 shots · 31 pass
Miguel Araujo
Miguel Araujo
D · Sporting
7.20
· 44 pass
Cristhian Paredes
Cristhian Paredes
M · Cerro
7.20
· 14 pass
Yoshimar Yotún
Yoshimar Yotún
M · Sporting
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 14 pass
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diego Enríquez G 90 6.90 — — — 19 15% — — —
Leandro Sosa D 90 6.60 — — 1 45 39% 1 — —
Miguel Araujo D 90 7.20 — — — 44 39% — — —
Rafael Lutiger D 90 7.50 — — 1 52 45% — — —
Cristiano D 90 6.70 — — 1 52 36% — — —
Juan Cruz Gonzalez M 72 7.30 — — 2 31 27% 2 — —
Gustavo Cazonatti M 61 6.90 — — — 42 40% — 1 —
G. Távara M 90 7.50 — — 1 65 51% 2 1 —
Maxloren Castro M 89 6.90 — — 3 23 21% 2 1 —
Irven Ávila F 72 6.30 — — 1 24 16% — — —
Luis Iberico F 90 6.20 — — 1 35 25% 2 — —
Catriel Cabellos M 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Felipe Vizeu F 18 7.20 1 — 1 2 1% — — —
S. González F 18 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
Yoshimar Yotún M 29 7.20 — 1 1 14 10% 1 — —
Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alexis Martín Arias G 90 6.90 — — — 24 13% — — —
Gustavo Velázquez D 90 6.90 — — — 41 29% 3 — —
Lucas Quintana D 90 6.90 — — — 41 33% 1 — —
J. Morel D 90 7.00 — — — 46 34% 3 — —
Marcelo Chaparro D 86 6.30 — — — 18 15% — — —
da Motta M 90 6.30 — — — 26 18% 2 — —
Cristhian Paredes M 45 7.20 — — — 14 12% 2 — —
C. Domínguez M 43 5.30 — — 1 11 7% — — 1
A. Sonora M 14 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
Jonatan Torres M 90 6.70 — — 1 26 15% — — —
Pablo Vegetti F 86 6.00 — — — 18 15% — — —
Edgar Raul Paez Torales F 10 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Guillermo Benitez D 45 6.60 — — — 13 10% 3 — —
Juan Iturbe F 10 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
L. J. Servin D 45 6.70 — — — 9 8% 2 — —
Mateo Klimowicz M 31 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno?
The final score was Sporting Cristal 1–0 Cerro Porteno.
What did the model predict before Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Sporting Cristal win, 31% to a draw, and 26% to an Cerro Porteno win.