Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 09, 2026 04:00
F. Vizeu
(ast. Y. Yotun)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting Cristal a 42% win probability (draw 31%, Cerro Porteno 26%). The final result was Sporting Cristal 1–0 Cerro Porteno. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Cristal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cerro Porteno.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
1
1.89
Actual xG
0.09
1
Saves
3
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
0
10
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
14'
M. Klimowicz
/
A. Sonora
43'
C. Dominguez
M. Castro
43'
46'
A. G. Benitez
/
M. Klimowicz
46'
L. J. Servin
/
C. Paredes
G. Cazonatti
52'
G. Cazonatti
/ Y. Yotun
61'
I. Avila
/ F. Vizeu
72'
J. Gonzalez
/ S. Gonzalez
72'
⚽F. Vizeu
· ast. Y. Yotun
82'
86'
E. Paez
/
P. Vegetti
86'
J. Iturbe
/
M. Chaparro
M. Tavara
90'+2
M. Castro
/ C. Cabellos
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.25%
Sporting ←
31.68%
X
26.06%
Cerro
we assigned to the actual result (Sporting Cristal)
42.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
1.89
+0.75
0.66
0.09
-0.58
Sporting Cristal dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.09).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Diego Enríquez
G
Diego Enríquez
G
8
Leandro Sosa
D
Leandro Sosa
D
20
Miguel Araujo
D
Miguel Araujo
D
5
Rafael Lutiger
D
Rafael Lutiger
D
90
Cristiano
D
Cristiano
D
18
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
72'
M
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
72'
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
61'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
61'
M
25
Martín Távara
M
Martín Távara
M
23
Maxloren Castro
89'
M
Maxloren Castro
89'
M
11
Irven Ávila
72'
F
Irven Ávila
72'
F
16
Luis Iberico
F
Luis Iberico
F
Bench
15
Alejandro Pósito
D
Alejandro Pósito
D
21
Catriel Cabellos
1'
M
Catriel Cabellos
1'
M
14
Cristian Benavente
F
Cristian Benavente
F
9
Felipe Vizeu
1 ⚽
18'
F
Felipe Vizeu
1 ⚽
18'
F
26
Ian Wisdom
M
Ian Wisdom
M
96
Luis Abram
D
Luis Abram
D
7
Santiago González
18'
F
Santiago González
18'
F
19
Yoshimar Yotún
1 👟
29'
M
Yoshimar Yotún
1 👟
29'
M
1
Alexis Martín Arias
G
Alexis Martín Arias
G
23
Gustavo Velázquez
D
Gustavo Velázquez
D
14
Lucas Quintana
D
Lucas Quintana
D
5
J. Morel
D
J. Morel
D
35
Marcelo Chaparro
86'
D
Marcelo Chaparro
86'
D
26
Piris da Motta
M
Piris da Motta
M
8
Cristhian Paredes
45'
M
Cristhian Paredes
45'
M
10
C. Domínguez
43'
M
C. Domínguez
43'
M
7
Alan Soñora
14'
M
Alan Soñora
14'
M
27
Jonatan Torres
M
Jonatan Torres
M
19
P. Vegetti
86'
F
P. Vegetti
86'
F
Bench
6
Abel Luciatti
D
Abel Luciatti
D
32
Cesar Bobadilla
M
Cesar Bobadilla
M
24
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
10'
F
Edgar Raul Paez Torales
10'
F
16
Fabrizio Peralta
M
Fabrizio Peralta
M
13
Guillermo Benitez
45'
D
Guillermo Benitez
45'
D
11
J. Iturbe
10'
F
J. Iturbe
10'
F
39
Josué Servín
45'
D
Josué Servín
45'
D
40
Mateo Klimowicz
31'
M
Mateo Klimowicz
31'
M
33
Rodrigo Gómez
D
Rodrigo Gómez
D
42
Víctor Sánchez
D
Víctor Sánchez
D
Best on the pitch
Rafael Lutiger
D · Sporting
7.50
1 shots
· 52 pass
Martín Távara
M · Sporting
7.50
1 shots
· 65 pass
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
M · Sporting
7.30
2 shots
· 31 pass
Miguel Araujo
D · Sporting
7.20
· 44 pass
Cristhian Paredes
M · Cerro
7.20
· 14 pass
Yoshimar Yotún
M · Sporting
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Enríquez | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Sosa | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Araujo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Lutiger | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Cristiano | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Juan Cruz Gonzalez | M | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Martín Távara | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Maxloren Castro | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 23 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Irven Ávila | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Luis Iberico | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Catriel Cabellos | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vizeu | F | 18 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Santiago González | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Yoshimar Yotún | M | 29 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Cerro Porteno — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Martín Arias | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Velázquez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Quintana | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Morel | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcelo Chaparro | D | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Piris da Motta | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristhian Paredes | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Domínguez | M | 43 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | 1 |
| Alan Soñora | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Jonatan Torres | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 15% | — | — | — |
| P. Vegetti | F | 86 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Edgar Raul Paez Torales | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Guillermo Benitez | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Iturbe | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Josué Servín | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Klimowicz | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno?
The final score was Sporting Cristal 1–0 Cerro Porteno.
What did the model predict before Sporting Cristal vs Cerro Porteno?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Sporting Cristal win, 31% to a draw, and 26% to an Cerro Porteno win.