Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 06, 2026 00:00
32'
(ast. Jhon Arias)
José López
50'
Ramón Sosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 44% win probability (draw 24%, Sporting Cristal 30%). The final result was Sporting Cristal 0–2 Palmeiras. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Cristal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
5
0.99
Actual xG
1.61
3
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
8
Corners
7
12
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
Gustavo Gómez
Irven Ávila
30'
32'
ast. Jhon Arias ·
José López⚽
Martín Távara
47'
50'
Ramón Sosa⚽
Irven Ávila
/ Felipe Vizeu
57'
Luis Iberico
/ Gabriel Santana
58'
Santiago González
/ Juan Cruz Gonzalez
66'
73'
Jefté
/
Ramón Sosa
73'
Felipe Anderson
/
Jhon Arias
73'
Lucas Evangelista
/
Arthur Gabriel
76'
Agustín Giay
Leandro Sosa
/ Ian Wisdom
81'
Martín Távara
/ Catriel Cabellos
81'
81'
Emiliano Martínez
/
Andreas Pereira
89'
Paulinho
/
José López
Pre-match prediction
30.23%
Sporting
24.99%
X
44.78%
Palmeiras ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
44.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
0.99
-0.19
1.34
1.61
+0.27
Palmeiras dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.99).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Diego Enríquez
G
Diego Enríquez
G
90
Cristiano
D
Cristiano
D
5
Rafael Lutiger
D
Rafael Lutiger
D
20
Miguel Araujo
D
Miguel Araujo
D
8
Leandro Sosa
81'
D
Leandro Sosa
81'
D
19
Yoshimar Yotún
M
Yoshimar Yotún
M
25
G. Távara
81'
M
G. Távara
81'
M
23
Maxloren Castro
M
Maxloren Castro
M
16
Luis Iberico
58'
M
Luis Iberico
58'
M
7
S. González
66'
M
S. González
66'
M
11
Irven Ávila
57'
F
Irven Ávila
57'
F
Bench
15
Alejandro Pósito
D
21
Catriel Cabellos
14'
M
Catriel Cabellos
14'
M
14
Cristian Benavente
F
Cristian Benavente
F
9
Felipe Vizeu
38'
F
Felipe Vizeu
38'
F
27
Gabriel Santana
37'
M
Gabriel Santana
37'
M
26
Ian Wisdom
14'
M
Ian Wisdom
14'
M
18
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
29'
D
Juan Cruz Gonzalez
29'
D
96
Luis Abram
D
Luis Abram
D
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
56
Arthur Gabriel
73'
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
15
Gustavo Gómez
D
Gustavo Gómez
D
4
Agustín Giay
D
Agustín Giay
D
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
8
Andreas Pereira
81'
M
Andreas Pereira
81'
M
11
J. Arias
1 👟
73'
M
J. Arias
1 👟
73'
M
19
R. Sosa
1 ⚽
73'
M
R. Sosa
1 ⚽
73'
M
40
Allan
M
Allan
M
42
José López
1 ⚽
89'
F
José López
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
45
Erick Bele
M
7
Felipe Anderson
22'
M
Felipe Anderson
22'
M
6
Jefté
22'
D
Jefté
22'
D
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
30
Lucas Evangelista
22'
M
Lucas Evangelista
22'
M
50
Luis Pacheco
M
Luis Pacheco
M
18
Mauricio
M
Mauricio
M
Best on the pitch
R. Sosa
M · Palmeiras
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
José López
F · Palmeiras
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.70
2 shots
· 66 pass
Agustín Giay
D · Palmeiras
7.70
· 61 pass
Arthur Gabriel
D · Palmeiras
7.70
2 shots
· 31 pass
Gustavo Gómez
D · Palmeiras
7.60
1 shots
· 63 pass
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Enríquez | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Cristiano | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Lutiger | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Araujo | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Leandro Sosa | D | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Yoshimar Yotún | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Távara | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maxloren Castro | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Luis Iberico | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. González | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Irven Ávila | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Catriel Cabellos | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vizeu | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Santana | M | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ian Wisdom | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Cruz Gonzalez | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Gabriel | D | 73 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Gómez | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 60% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Agustín Giay | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 63% | — | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Arias | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sosa | M | 73 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| José López | F | 89 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jefté | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 22 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Sporting Cristal 0–2 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Sporting Cristal win, 24% to a draw, and 44% to an Palmeiras win.