Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 06, 2026 00:00
32'
(ast. Jhon Arias)
José López
50'
Ramón Sosa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 44% win probability (draw 24%, Sporting Cristal 30%). The final result was Sporting Cristal 0–2 Palmeiras. In 1 previous meetings, Sporting Cristal have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
5
0.99
Actual xG
1.61
3
Saves
5
42%
Possession
58%
8
Corners
7
12
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
Gustavo Gómez
Irven Ávila
30'
32'
ast. Jhon Arias ·
José López⚽
Martín Távara
47'
50'
Ramón Sosa⚽
Irven Ávila
/ Felipe Vizeu
57'
Luis Iberico
/ Gabriel Santana
58'
Santiago González
/ Juan Cruz Gonzalez
66'
73'
Jefté
/
Ramón Sosa
73'
Felipe Anderson
/
Jhon Arias
73'
Lucas Evangelista
/
Arthur Gabriel
76'
Agustín Giay
Leandro Sosa
/ Ian Wisdom
81'
Martín Távara
/ Catriel Cabellos
81'
81'
Emiliano Martínez
/
Andreas Pereira
89'
Paulinho
/
José López
Pre-match prediction
30.23%
Sporting
24.99%
X
44.78%
Palmeiras ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
44.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
0.99
-0.19
1.34
1.61
+0.27
Palmeiras dominated by xG (1.61 vs 0.99).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
D. Enríquez
G
D. Enríquez
G
90
Cris Silva
D
Cris Silva
D
5
R. Lutiger
D
R. Lutiger
D
20
Miguel Araujo
D
Miguel Araujo
D
8
L. Sosa
81'
D
L. Sosa
81'
D
19
Yoshimar Yotún
M
Yoshimar Yotún
M
25
G. Távara
81'
M
G. Távara
81'
M
23
M. Castro
M
M. Castro
M
16
L. Iberico
58'
M
L. Iberico
58'
M
7
S. González
66'
M
S. González
66'
M
11
I. Ávila
57'
F
I. Ávila
57'
F
Bench
15
A. Pósito
D
A. Pósito
D
21
C. Cabellos
14'
M
C. Cabellos
14'
M
14
Cristian Benavente
F
Cristian Benavente
F
9
Felipe Vizeu
38'
F
Felipe Vizeu
38'
F
27
Gabriel
37'
M
Gabriel
37'
M
26
Ian Wisdom
14'
M
Ian Wisdom
14'
M
18
J. González
29'
D
J. González
29'
D
96
L. Abram
D
L. Abram
D
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
56
Arthur
73'
D
Arthur
73'
D
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
15
Gustavo Gómez
D
Gustavo Gómez
D
4
A. Giay
D
A. Giay
D
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
8
Andreas Pereira
81'
M
Andreas Pereira
81'
M
11
Jhon Arias
1 👟
73'
M
Jhon Arias
1 👟
73'
M
19
Ramón Sosa
1 ⚽
73'
M
Ramón Sosa
1 ⚽
73'
M
40
Allan
M
Allan
M
42
J. López
1 ⚽
89'
F
J. López
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
45
Erick Machado
M
Erick Machado
M
7
Felipe Anderson
22'
M
Felipe Anderson
22'
M
6
Jefté
22'
D
Jefté
22'
D
12
Khellven
D
Khellven
D
30
Lucas Evangelista
22'
M
Lucas Evangelista
22'
M
50
Luis Felipe
M
Luis Felipe
M
18
Mauricio
M
Mauricio
M
Best on the pitch
Ramón Sosa
M · Palmeiras
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
J. López
F · Palmeiras
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Marlon Freitas
M · Palmeiras
7.70
2 shots
· 66 pass
A. Giay
D · Palmeiras
7.70
· 61 pass
Arthur
D · Palmeiras
7.70
2 shots
· 31 pass
Gustavo Gómez
D · Palmeiras
7.60
1 shots
· 63 pass
Sporting Cristal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Enríquez | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Cris Silva | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| R. Lutiger | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Araujo | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| L. Sosa | D | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Yoshimar Yotún | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Távara | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Castro | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Iberico | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| S. González | M | 66 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Ávila | F | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Cabellos | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vizeu | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel | M | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Ian Wisdom | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. González | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Arthur | D | 73 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Gómez | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 60% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Giay | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 66 | 63% | — | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhon Arias | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Ramón Sosa | M | 73 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 89 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Jefté | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 22 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Sporting Cristal 0–2 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Sporting Cristal win, 24% to a draw, and 44% to an Palmeiras win.