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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 26, 2026 04:30
St. Louis City
#14 · 12 pts
2 – 3
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes
#2 · 29 pts
S. Cordova 51'
M. Hartel (ast. S. Becher) 54'
8' P. Judd
(pen.) 69' T. Werner
83' (ast. O. Bouda) T. Werner

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 40% win probability (draw 27%, St. Louis City 32%). The final result was St. Louis City 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
2.33
Actual xG
1.50
0
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
11
Corners
3
13
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
P. Judd⚽
24'
Daniel / E. Edwards ↕
46'
R. Vieira / J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza ↕
46'
N. Tsakiris / J. Skahan ↕
⚽S. Cordova
51'
⚽M. Hartel · ast. S. Becher
54'
59'
P. Judd
61'
O. Bouda / N. Fernandez ↕
69'
(pen.) T. Werner⚽
70'
J. Ricketts / M. Floriani ↕
75'
Daniel
↕ S. Cordova / B. McSorley
75'
↕ S. Becher / C. Teuchert
81'
83'
ast. O. Bouda · T. Werner⚽
84'
J. Ricketts
C. Durkin
84'
↕ T. Totland / Rafael Santos
85'
↕ D. Edelman / E. Lowen
85'
D. Polvara
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
32.18%
St.
27.76%
X
40.07%
San ←
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes) 40.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.30
2.33
+1.03
San
1.78
1.50
-0.28
St. Louis City dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
1
G 5.90
21 Dante Polvara Dante Polvara D 6.00
32 Timo Baumgartl Timo Baumgartl D 6.50
5 Lukas MacNaughton Lukas MacNaughton D 5.90
6 Conrad Wallem Conrad Wallem M 6.70
24 Daniel Edelman Daniel Edelman 85' M 7.00
8 Christopher Durkin Christopher Durkin M 9.00
14 Tomas Totland Tomas Totland 86' M 6.90
17 Marcel Hartel Marcel Hartel 1 ⚽ F 8.90
16 Sergio Córdova Sergio Córdova 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.60
11 Simon Becher Simon Becher 1 👟 81' F 6.60
Bench
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 24' F 6.70
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert 18' F 6.30
10 Eduard Löwen Eduard Löwen 14' M 7.30
28 Miguel Perez Miguel Perez M
59 Mykhi Joyner Mykhi Joyner M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos 13' D 6.70
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
36
E. Edwards 24' G 7.20
4 Dave Romney Dave Romney D 7.20
25 Max Floriani Max Floriani 70' D 7.20
5
D 6.70
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski D 6.30
40 Jonathan Gonzalez Jonathan Gonzalez 45' M 6.70
6 Ian Harkes Ian Harkes M 6.90
11
T. Werner 2 ⚽ M 7.90
20 Nick Fernandez Nick Fernandez 61' M 6.50
16 Jack Skahan Jack Skahan 45' M 6.00
19 Preston Judd Preston Judd 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux M
42 Daniel Daniel 75' G 6.30
2 Jamar Ricketts Jamar Ricketts 29' D 6.90
21 Noel Buck Noel Buck M
10
N. Tsakiris 54' M 7.20
7 Ousseni Bouda Ousseni Bouda 1 👟 38' F 7.20
3 Paul Marie Paul Marie D
18 Reid Roberts Reid Roberts D
14 Ronaldo Vieira Ronaldo Vieira 54' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
Christopher Durkin
Christopher Durkin
M · St.
9.00
· 52 pass
Marcel Hartel
Marcel Hartel
F · St.
8.90
1 ⚽
6 shots · 45 pass
T. Werner
M · San
7.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
Sergio Córdova
Sergio Córdova
F · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Eduard Löwen
Eduard Löwen
M · St.
7.30
· 12 pass
Preston Judd
Preston Judd
F · San
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 5.90 — — — 27 21% — — —
Dante Polvara D 99 6.00 — — — 46 40% 2 1 —
Timo Baumgartl D 99 6.50 — — — 58 53% 2 — —
Lukas MacNaughton D 99 5.90 — — 3 42 34% — — —
Conrad Wallem M 99 6.70 — — 1 41 35% 2 — —
Daniel Edelman M 85 7.00 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
Christopher Durkin M 99 9.00 — — — 52 43% 5 1 —
Tomas Totland M 86 6.90 — — 1 24 20% — — —
Marcel Hartel F 99 8.90 1 — 6 45 34% 1 — —
Sergio Córdova F 75 7.60 1 — 1 20 17% — — —
Simon Becher F 81 6.60 — 1 4 16 14% — — —
Brendan McSorley F 24 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Cedric Teuchert F 18 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Eduard Löwen M 14 7.30 — — — 12 12% — — —
Rafael Santos D 13 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Edwards G 24 7.20 — — — 9 7% — — —
Dave Romney D 99 7.20 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
Max Floriani D 70 7.20 — — — 18 17% 2 — —
D 99 6.70 — — — 46 39% — — —
Jack Jasinski D 99 6.30 — — — 36 23% 1 — —
Jonathan Gonzalez M 45 6.70 — — — 15 12% 1 — —
Ian Harkes M 99 6.90 — — — 38 33% 2 — —
T. Werner M 99 7.90 2 — 2 36 26% — — —
Nick Fernandez M 61 6.50 — — 2 25 20% — — —
Jack Skahan M 45 6.00 — — — 11 7% — — —
Preston Judd F 99 7.30 1 — 1 13 2% — 1 —
Daniel G 75 6.30 — — — 30 25% — 1 —
Jamar Ricketts D 29 6.90 — — — 9 6% — 1 —
N. Tsakiris M 54 7.20 — — — 11 9% — — —
Ousseni Bouda F 38 7.20 — 1 — 7 5% — — —
Ronaldo Vieira M 54 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was St. Louis City 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 32% probability to a St. Louis City win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.