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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 26, 2026 02:30
St. Louis City
#2 · 47 pts
2 – 3
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes
#4 · 45 pts
S. Cordova 51'
M. Hartel (ast. S. Becher) 54'
8' P. Judd
(pen.) 69' T. Werner
83' (ast. O. Bouda) T. Werner
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 40% win probability (draw 27%, St. Louis City 32%). The final result was St. Louis City 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes. In 1 previous meetings, St. Louis City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
2.33
Actual xG
1.50
0
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
11
Corners
3
13
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
P. Judd⚽
24'
Daniel / E. Edwards ↕
46'
R. Vieira / J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza ↕
46'
N. Tsakiris / J. Skahan ↕
⚽S. Cordova
51'
⚽M. Hartel · ast. S. Becher
54'
59'
P. Judd
61'
O. Bouda / N. Fernandez ↕
69'
(pen.) T. Werner⚽
70'
J. Ricketts / M. Floriani ↕
75'
Daniel
↕ S. Cordova / B. McSorley
75'
↕ S. Becher / C. Teuchert
81'
83'
ast. O. Bouda · T. Werner⚽
84'
J. Ricketts
C. Durkin
84'
↕ T. Totland / Rafael Santos
85'
↕ D. Edelman / E. Lowen
85'
D. Polvara
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
32.18%
St.
27.76%
X
40.07%
San ←
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes) 40.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.30
2.33
+1.03
San
1.78
1.50
-0.28
St. Louis City dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 26 50
2 St. Louis City St. Louis City 27 47
3 FC Dallas FC Dallas 27 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 27 44
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 28 41
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 27 38
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 27 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
10 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 27 32
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 27 32
12 San Diego San Diego 27 32
13 Austin Austin 27 31
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 27 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 27 21
Lineups
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
1
G 5.90
21 D. Polvara D. Polvara D 6.00
32 T. Baumgartl T. Baumgartl D 6.50
5 L. MacNaughton L. MacNaughton D 5.90
6 C. Wallem C. Wallem M 6.70
24 D. Edelman D. Edelman 85' M 7.00
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin M 9.00
14 T. Totland T. Totland 86' M 6.90
17 M. Hartel M. Hartel 1 ⚽ F 8.90
16 S. Córdova S. Córdova 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.60
11 S. Becher S. Becher 1 👟 81' F 6.60
Bench
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 24' F 6.70
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert 18' F 6.30
10 E. Löwen E. Löwen 14' M 7.30
59 M. Joyner M. Joyner M
28 M. Perez M. Perez M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos 13' D 6.70
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
36 E. Edwards E. Edwards 24' G 7.20
4 D. Romney D. Romney D 7.20
25 M. Floriani M. Floriani 70' D 7.20
5
D 6.70
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski D 6.30
40 J. Gónzalez J. Gónzalez 45' M 6.70
6 I. Harkes I. Harkes M 6.90
11 T. Werner T. Werner 2 ⚽ M 7.90
20 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 61' M 6.50
16 J. Skahan J. Skahan 45' M 6.00
19 P. Judd P. Judd 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux M
42 Daniel Daniel 75' G 6.30
2 J. Ricketts J. Ricketts 29' D 6.90
21 N. Buck N. Buck M
10 N. Tsakiris N. Tsakiris 54' M 7.20
7 O. Bouda O. Bouda 1 👟 38' F 7.20
3 P. Marie P. Marie D
18 R. Roberts R. Roberts D
14 R. Vieira R. Vieira 54' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
C. Durkin
C. Durkin
M · St.
9.00
· 52 pass
M. Hartel
M. Hartel
F · St.
8.90
1 ⚽
6 shots · 45 pass
T. Werner
T. Werner
M · San
7.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
S. Córdova
S. Córdova
F · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
E. Löwen
E. Löwen
M · St.
7.30
· 12 pass
P. Judd
P. Judd
F · San
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 5.90 — — — 27 21% — — —
D. Polvara D 99 6.00 — — — 46 40% 2 1 —
T. Baumgartl D 99 6.50 — — — 58 53% 2 — —
L. MacNaughton D 99 5.90 — — 3 42 34% — — —
C. Wallem M 99 6.70 — — 1 41 35% 2 — —
D. Edelman M 85 7.00 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
C. Durkin M 99 9.00 — — — 52 43% 5 1 —
T. Totland M 86 6.90 — — 1 24 20% — — —
M. Hartel F 99 8.90 1 — 6 45 34% 1 — —
S. Córdova F 75 7.60 1 — 1 20 17% — — —
S. Becher F 81 6.60 — 1 4 16 14% — — —
Brendan McSorley F 24 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Cedric Teuchert F 18 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
E. Löwen M 14 7.30 — — — 12 12% — — —
Rafael Santos D 13 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Edwards G 24 7.20 — — — 9 7% — — —
D. Romney D 99 7.20 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
M. Floriani D 70 7.20 — — — 18 17% 2 — —
D 99 6.70 — — — 46 39% — — —
Jack Jasinski D 99 6.30 — — — 36 23% 1 — —
J. Gónzalez M 45 6.70 — — — 15 12% 1 — —
I. Harkes M 99 6.90 — — — 38 33% 2 — —
T. Werner M 99 7.90 2 — 2 36 26% — — —
N. Fernandez M 61 6.50 — — 2 25 20% — — —
J. Skahan M 45 6.00 — — — 11 7% — — —
P. Judd F 99 7.30 1 — 1 13 2% — 1 —
Daniel G 75 6.30 — — — 30 25% — 1 —
J. Ricketts D 29 6.90 — — — 9 6% — 1 —
N. Tsakiris M 54 7.20 — — — 11 9% — — —
O. Bouda F 38 7.20 — 1 — 7 5% — — —
R. Vieira M 54 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was St. Louis City 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 32% probability to a St. Louis City win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.