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MLS · Regular Season - 10 April 26, 2026 04:30
St. Louis City
#12 · 16 pts
2 – 3
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes
#2 · 32 pts
S. Cordova 51'
M. Hartel (ast. S. Becher) 54'
8' P. Judd
(pen.) 69' T. Werner
83' (ast. O. Bouda) T. Werner
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 40% win probability (draw 27%, St. Louis City 32%). The final result was St. Louis City 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
2.33
Actual xG
1.50
0
Saves
3
57%
Possession
43%
11
Corners
3
13
Tackles
7
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
P. Judd⚽
24'
Daniel / E. Edwards ↕
46'
R. Vieira / J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza ↕
46'
N. Tsakiris / J. Skahan ↕
⚽S. Cordova
51'
⚽M. Hartel · ast. S. Becher
54'
59'
P. Judd
61'
O. Bouda / N. Fernandez ↕
69'
(pen.) T. Werner⚽
70'
J. Ricketts / M. Floriani ↕
75'
Daniel
↕ S. Cordova / B. McSorley
75'
↕ S. Becher / C. Teuchert
81'
83'
ast. O. Bouda · T. Werner⚽
84'
J. Ricketts
C. Durkin
84'
↕ T. Totland / Rafael Santos
85'
↕ D. Edelman / E. Lowen
85'
D. Polvara
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
32.18%
St.
27.76%
X
40.07%
San ←
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes) 40.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
St.
1.30
2.33
+1.03
San
1.78
1.50
-0.28
St. Louis City dominated by xG (2.33 vs 1.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 14 32
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
3 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 14 26
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 15 25
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 15 24
6 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 13 24
7 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 14 22
8 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 15 22
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
10 San Diego San Diego 15 17
11 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 15 16
12 St. Louis City St. Louis City 14 16
13 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 14 14
14 Austin Austin 15 14
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 14 11
Lineups
St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-4-3
1
G 5.90
21 Dante Polvara Dante Polvara D 6.00
32 Timo Baumgartl Timo Baumgartl D 6.50
5 Lukas MacNaughton Lukas MacNaughton D 5.90
6 Conrad Wallem Conrad Wallem M 6.70
24 Daniel Edelman Daniel Edelman 85' M 7.00
8 C. Durkin C. Durkin M 9.00
14 Tomas Totland Tomas Totland 86' M 6.90
17 Marcel Hartel Marcel Hartel 1 ⚽ F 8.90
16 Sergio Córdova Sergio Córdova 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.60
11 Simon Becher Simon Becher 1 👟 81' F 6.60
Bench
80 Brendan McSorley Brendan McSorley 24' F 6.70
36 Cedric Teuchert Cedric Teuchert 18' F 6.30
10 Eduard Löwen Eduard Löwen 14' M 7.30
28 Miguel Perez Miguel Perez M
59 Mykhi Joyner Mykhi Joyner M
20 Rafael Santos Rafael Santos 13' D 6.70
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
36
E. Edwards 24' G 7.20
4 Dave Romney Dave Romney D 7.20
25 Max Floriani Max Floriani 70' D 7.20
5
D 6.70
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski D 6.30
40 Jonathan Gonzalez Jonathan Gonzalez 45' M 6.70
6 Ian Harkes Ian Harkes M 6.90
11
T. Werner 2 ⚽ M 7.90
20 Nick Fernandez Nick Fernandez 61' M 6.50
16 Jack Skahan Jack Skahan 45' M 6.00
19 P. Judd P. Judd 1 ⚽ F 7.30
Bench
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux M
42 Daniel Daniel 75' G 6.30
2 Jamar Ricketts Jamar Ricketts 29' D 6.90
21 Noel Buck Noel Buck M
10 N. Tsakiris N. Tsakiris 54' M 7.20
7
Ousseni Bouda 1 👟 38' F 7.20
3 Paul Marie Paul Marie D
18 Reid Roberts Reid Roberts D
14 Ronaldo Vieira Ronaldo Vieira 54' M 6.20
Best on the pitch
C. Durkin
C. Durkin
M · St.
9.00
· 52 pass
Marcel Hartel
Marcel Hartel
F · St.
8.90
1 ⚽
6 shots · 45 pass
T. Werner
M · San
7.90
2 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
Sergio Córdova
Sergio Córdova
F · St.
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Eduard Löwen
Eduard Löwen
M · St.
7.30
· 12 pass
P. Judd
P. Judd
F · San
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
St. Louis City St. Louis City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 5.90 — — — 27 21% — — —
Dante Polvara D 99 6.00 — — — 46 40% 2 1 —
Timo Baumgartl D 99 6.50 — — — 58 53% 2 — —
Lukas MacNaughton D 99 5.90 — — 3 42 34% — — —
Conrad Wallem M 99 6.70 — — 1 41 35% 2 — —
Daniel Edelman M 85 7.00 — — — 42 38% 1 — —
C. Durkin M 99 9.00 — — — 52 43% 5 1 —
Tomas Totland M 86 6.90 — — 1 24 20% — — —
Marcel Hartel F 99 8.90 1 — 6 45 34% 1 — —
Sergio Córdova F 75 7.60 1 — 1 20 17% — — —
Simon Becher F 81 6.60 — 1 4 16 14% — — —
Brendan McSorley F 24 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
Cedric Teuchert F 18 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Eduard Löwen M 14 7.30 — — — 12 12% — — —
Rafael Santos D 13 6.70 — — — 4 4% — — —
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Edwards G 24 7.20 — — — 9 7% — — —
Dave Romney D 99 7.20 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
Max Floriani D 70 7.20 — — — 18 17% 2 — —
D 99 6.70 — — — 46 39% — — —
Jack Jasinski D 99 6.30 — — — 36 23% 1 — —
Jonathan Gonzalez M 45 6.70 — — — 15 12% 1 — —
Ian Harkes M 99 6.90 — — — 38 33% 2 — —
T. Werner M 99 7.90 2 — 2 36 26% — — —
Nick Fernandez M 61 6.50 — — 2 25 20% — — —
Jack Skahan M 45 6.00 — — — 11 7% — — —
P. Judd F 99 7.30 1 — 1 13 2% — 1 —
Daniel G 75 6.30 — — — 30 25% — 1 —
Jamar Ricketts D 29 6.90 — — — 9 6% — 1 —
N. Tsakiris M 54 7.20 — — — 11 9% — — —
Ousseni Bouda F 38 7.20 — 1 — 7 5% — — —
Ronaldo Vieira M 54 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was St. Louis City 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 32% probability to a St. Louis City win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.