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#2 · 33 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#6 · 19 pts
Model correct — prediction Standard Liege
H. Lawrence 47'
C. Nielsen (ast. J. Homawoo) 69'
40' R. Nyakossi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Standard Liege a 60% win probability (draw 19%, OH Leuven 20%). The final result was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven. In 3 previous meetings, Standard Liege have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for OH Leuven.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.18
Actual xG
1.23
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
7
9
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
34'
K. Vaesen
40'
R. Nyakossi
45'
R. Nyakossi
I. Karamoko / M. Ilaimaharitra
46'
H. Lawrence
47'
T. Nkada / D. Eckert Ayensa
63'
C. Nielsen · ast. J. Homawoo
69'
73'
C. Ikwuemesi / S. Kaba
73'
W. Balikwisha / A. K. Traore
A. Abid / T. Mohr
75'
C. Nielsen / T. Teuma
75'
79'
M. Maertens / K. Vaesen
79'
S. Schrijvers / W. George
87'
B. Kayo / H. Teklab
R. Said / B. Nguene
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.06%
Standard ←
19.92%
X
20.01%
OH
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Standard Liege) 60.06% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Standard
2.31
1.18
-1.13
OH
1.14
1.23
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 1.23). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Lineups
Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.30
24
J. Homawoo 1 👟 D 7.30
4
D. Bates D 7.20
25
D 6.90
3
G. Mortensen M 6.30
20
I. Karamoko 45' M 6.60
94
C. Nielsen 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.20
18
H. Lawrence 1 ⚽ M 8.30
17
R. Said F 8.20
11
A. Abid 75' F 6.90
59
T. Nkada 63' F 5.90
Bench
26
B. Nguene F
29
D. Dierckx D
10
D. Eckert Ayensa 30' F 7.00
23
M. Ilaimaharitra 48' M 6.60
53
S. Assengue M
7
T. Mohr 18' M 6.60
OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.30
30
D 6.30
34
R. Nyakossi 1 ⚽ D 7.20
28
E. Pletinckx D 5.60
14
H. Teklab 87' M 6.50
24
L. Lakomy M 7.20
6
79' M 6.90
99
M 6.50
9
A. K. Traore 73' F 6.20
17
K. Vaesen 79' F 6.50
39
S. Kaba 73' F 6.20
Bench
48
B. Kayo 6' M
19
C. Ikwuemesi 20' F 6.30
16
Maxence Prévot G
33
M. Maertens 14' M 6.70
8
S. Schrijvers 14' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
H. Lawrence
M · Standard
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
R. Said
F · Standard
8.20
4 shots · 34 pass
J. Homawoo
D · Standard
7.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
D. Bates
D · Standard
7.20
· 50 pass
L. Lakomy
M · OH
7.20
· 56 pass
R. Nyakossi
D · OH
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 48 pass
Standard Liege Standard Liege — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 6.30 25 19%
J. Homawoo D 93 7.30 1 63 55% 3
D. Bates D 93 7.20 50 42%
D 93 6.90 42 39% 2
G. Mortensen M 93 6.30 36 33% 1
I. Karamoko M 45 6.60 34 30%
C. Nielsen M 75 7.20 1 1 40 27%
H. Lawrence M 93 8.30 1 2 31 26%
R. Said F 93 8.20 4 34 30%
A. Abid F 75 6.90 29 25% 1
T. Nkada F 63 5.90 2 13 8%
D. Eckert Ayensa F 30 7.00 2 11 10%
M. Ilaimaharitra M 48 6.60 32 25% 1
T. Mohr M 18 6.60 12 12% 1
OH Leuven OH Leuven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 6.30 36 18%
D 93 6.30 1 40 39% 1
R. Nyakossi D 93 7.20 1 1 48 42% 4 1
E. Pletinckx D 93 5.60 36 26%
H. Teklab M 87 6.50 32 26% 1
L. Lakomy M 93 7.20 56 47%
M 79 6.90 1 33 26% 5
M 93 6.50 32 25% 1
A. K. Traore F 73 6.20 12 9%
K. Vaesen F 79 6.50 1 15 9% 1
S. Kaba F 73 6.20 2 12 8%
B. Kayo M 6 2 1%
C. Ikwuemesi F 20 6.30 3 1%
M. Maertens M 14 6.70 3 3% 1
S. Schrijvers M 14 6.70 14 12% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The final score was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven.
What did the model predict before Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Standard Liege win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an OH Leuven win.