Pro League
· Conference League Group - 37
May 08, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Standard Liege
H. Lawrence
47'
C. Nielsen
(ast. J. Homawoo)
69'
40'
R. Nyakossi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Standard Liege a 60% win probability (draw 19%, OH Leuven 20%). The final result was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven. In 3 previous meetings, Standard Liege have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for OH Leuven.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.18
Actual xG
1.23
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
7
9
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
34'
K. Vaesen
40'
R. Nyakossi⚽
45'
R. Nyakossi
I. Karamoko
/ M. Ilaimaharitra
46'
⚽H. Lawrence
47'
T. Nkada
/ D. Eckert Ayensa
63'
⚽C. Nielsen
· ast. J. Homawoo
69'
73'
C. Ikwuemesi
/
S. Kaba
73'
W. Balikwisha
/
A. K. Traore
A. Abid
/ T. Mohr
75'
C. Nielsen
/ T. Teuma
75'
79'
M. Maertens
/
K. Vaesen
79'
S. Schrijvers
/
W. George
87'
B. Kayo
/
H. Teklab
R. Said
/ B. Nguene
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.06%
Standard ←
19.92%
X
20.01%
OH
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Standard Liege)
60.06%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.31
1.18
-1.13
1.14
1.23
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 1.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
24
J. Homawoo
1 👟
D
4
David Robert Bates
D
David Robert Bates
D
25
D
3
Gustav Mortensen
M
Gustav Mortensen
M
20
I. Karamoko
45'
M
I. Karamoko
45'
M
94
Casper Nielsen
1 ⚽
75'
M
Casper Nielsen
1 ⚽
75'
M
18
Henry Lawrence
1 ⚽
M
Henry Lawrence
1 ⚽
M
17
Rafiki Saïd
F
Rafiki Saïd
F
11
A. Abid
75'
F
A. Abid
75'
F
59
Timothee Nkada
63'
F
Timothee Nkada
63'
F
Bench
26
Bernard Nguene
F
Bernard Nguene
F
29
Daan Dierckx
D
Daan Dierckx
D
10
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
30'
F
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
30'
F
23
M. Ilaimaharitra
48'
M
M. Ilaimaharitra
48'
M
53
Steeven Assengue
M
Steeven Assengue
M
7
Tobias Mohr
18'
M
Tobias Mohr
18'
M
1
G
30
D
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
1 ⚽
D
Roggerio Nyakossi
1 ⚽
D
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
D
Ewoud Pletinckx
D
14
Henok Teklab
87'
M
Henok Teklab
87'
M
24
Łukasz Łakomy
M
Łukasz Łakomy
M
6
79'
M
99
M
9
Abdoul Karim Traoré
73'
F
Abdoul Karim Traoré
73'
F
17
Kyan Vaesen
79'
F
Kyan Vaesen
79'
F
39
Sory Kaba
73'
F
Sory Kaba
73'
F
Bench
48
Bryang Kayo
6'
M
Bryang Kayo
6'
M
19
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
20'
F
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
20'
F
33
Mathieu Maertens
14'
M
Mathieu Maertens
14'
M
16
Maxence Prévot
G
Maxence Prévot
G
8
Siebe Schrijvers
14'
M
Siebe Schrijvers
14'
M
Best on the pitch
Henry Lawrence
M · Standard
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
Rafiki Saïd
F · Standard
8.20
4 shots
· 34 pass
J. Homawoo
D · Standard
7.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
David Robert Bates
D · Standard
7.20
· 50 pass
Łukasz Łakomy
M · OH
7.20
· 56 pass
Roggerio Nyakossi
D · OH
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 48 pass
Standard Liege — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| J. Homawoo | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| David Robert Bates | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| Gustav Mortensen | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Karamoko | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Casper Nielsen | M | 75 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Henry Lawrence | M | 93 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Rafiki Saïd | F | 93 | 8.20 | — | — | 4 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Abid | F | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Timothee Nkada | F | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Dennis Eckert Ayensa | F | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Ilaimaharitra | M | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Tobias Mohr | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
OH Leuven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| Roggerio Nyakossi | D | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Ewoud Pletinckx | D | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Henok Teklab | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Łukasz Łakomy | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | — | — | — |
| M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 5 | — | — | |
| M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| Abdoul Karim Traoré | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Kyan Vaesen | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Sory Kaba | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Bryang Kayo | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mathieu Maertens | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Siebe Schrijvers | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The final score was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven.
What did the model predict before Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Standard Liege win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an OH Leuven win.