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#9 · 11 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#16 · 6 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Standard Liege
H. Lawrence 47'
C. Nielsen (ast. J. Homawoo) 69'
40' R. Nyakossi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Standard Liege a 60% win probability (draw 19%, OH Leuven 20%). The final result was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven. In 4 previous meetings, Standard Liege have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for OH Leuven.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.18
Actual xG
1.23
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
7
9
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
34'
K. Vaesen
40'
R. Nyakossi⚽
45'
R. Nyakossi
↕ I. Karamoko / M. Ilaimaharitra
46'
⚽H. Lawrence
47'
↕ T. Nkada / D. Eckert Ayensa
63'
⚽C. Nielsen · ast. J. Homawoo
69'
73'
C. Ikwuemesi / S. Kaba ↕
73'
W. Balikwisha / A. K. Traore ↕
↕ A. Abid / T. Mohr
75'
↕ C. Nielsen / T. Teuma
75'
79'
M. Maertens / K. Vaesen ↕
79'
S. Schrijvers / W. George ↕
87'
B. Kayo / H. Teklab ↕
↕ R. Said / B. Nguene
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.06%
Standard ←
19.92%
X
20.01%
OH
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Standard Liege) 60.06% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Standard
2.31
1.18
-1.13
OH
1.14
1.23
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 1.23). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 10 27
2 Gent Gent 9 25
3 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 9 23
4 Charleroi Charleroi 9 21
5 Anderlecht Anderlecht 9 16
6 Genk Genk 9 15
7 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 9 14
8 Lommel United Lommel United 9 12
9 Standard Liege Standard Liege 9 11
10 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 10 11
11 Antwerp Antwerp 9 10
12 SK Beveren SK Beveren 9 10
13 St. Truiden St. Truiden 9 8
14 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 9 7
15 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 8 6
16 OH Leuven OH Leuven 9 6
17 Kortrijk Kortrijk 8 3
18 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 9 3
Lineups
Standard Liege Standard Liege 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.30
24
J. Homawoo 1 👟 D 7.30
4 David Robert Bates David Robert Bates D 7.20
25
D 6.90
3 G. Mortensen G. Mortensen M 6.30
20 Ibrahim Karamoko Ibrahim Karamoko 45' M 6.60
94 C. Nielsen C. Nielsen 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.20
18 Henry Lawrence Henry Lawrence 1 ⚽ M 8.30
17 R. Saïd R. Saïd F 8.20
11 A. Abid A. Abid 75' F 6.90
59 T. Nkada T. Nkada 63' F 5.90
Bench
26 Bernard Nguene Bernard Nguene F
29 Daan Dierckx Daan Dierckx D
10 D. Eckert Ayensa D. Eckert Ayensa 30' F 7.00
23 Marco Ilaimaharitra Marco Ilaimaharitra 48' M 6.60
53 Steeven Assengue Steeven Assengue M
7 Tobias Mohr Tobias Mohr 18' M 6.60
OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.30
30
D 6.30
34 Roggerio Nyakossi Roggerio Nyakossi 1 ⚽ D 7.20
28 Ewoud Pletinckx Ewoud Pletinckx D 5.60
14 H. Teklab H. Teklab 87' M 6.50
24 Łukasz Łakomy Łukasz Łakomy M 7.20
6
79' M 6.90
99
M 6.50
9 A. Traoré A. Traoré 73' F 6.20
17 Kyan Vaesen Kyan Vaesen 79' F 6.50
39 Sory Kaba Sory Kaba 73' F 6.20
Bench
48 Bryang Kayo Bryang Kayo 6' M
19 Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi 20' F 6.30
33 M. Maertens M. Maertens 14' M 6.70
16 M. Prévot M. Prévot G
8 Siebe Schrijvers Siebe Schrijvers 14' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Henry Lawrence
Henry Lawrence
M · Standard
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
R. Saïd
R. Saïd
F · Standard
8.20
4 shots · 34 pass
J. Homawoo
D · Standard
7.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
David Robert Bates
David Robert Bates
D · Standard
7.20
· 50 pass
Łukasz Łakomy
Łukasz Łakomy
M · OH
7.20
· 56 pass
Roggerio Nyakossi
Roggerio Nyakossi
D · OH
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 48 pass
Standard Liege Standard Liege — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 6.30 — — — 25 19% — — —
J. Homawoo D 93 7.30 — 1 — 63 55% 3 — —
David Robert Bates D 93 7.20 — — — 50 42% — — —
D 93 6.90 — — — 42 39% 2 — —
G. Mortensen M 93 6.30 — — — 36 33% 1 — —
Ibrahim Karamoko M 45 6.60 — — — 34 30% — — —
C. Nielsen M 75 7.20 1 — 1 40 27% — — —
Henry Lawrence M 93 8.30 1 — 2 31 26% — — —
R. Saïd F 93 8.20 — — 4 34 30% — — —
A. Abid F 75 6.90 — — — 29 25% 1 — —
T. Nkada F 63 5.90 — — 2 13 8% — — —
D. Eckert Ayensa F 30 7.00 — — 2 11 10% — — —
Marco Ilaimaharitra M 48 6.60 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
Tobias Mohr M 18 6.60 — — — 12 12% 1 — —
OH Leuven OH Leuven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 93 6.30 — — — 36 18% — — —
D 93 6.30 — — 1 40 39% 1 — —
Roggerio Nyakossi D 93 7.20 1 — 1 48 42% 4 1 —
Ewoud Pletinckx D 93 5.60 — — — 36 26% — — —
H. Teklab M 87 6.50 — — — 32 26% 1 — —
Łukasz Łakomy M 93 7.20 — — — 56 47% — — —
M 79 6.90 — — 1 33 26% 5 — —
M 93 6.50 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
A. Traoré F 73 6.20 — — — 12 9% — — —
Kyan Vaesen F 79 6.50 — — 1 15 9% — 1 —
Sory Kaba F 73 6.20 — — 2 12 8% — — —
Bryang Kayo M 6 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi F 20 6.30 — — — 3 1% — — —
M. Maertens M 14 6.70 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Siebe Schrijvers M 14 6.70 — — — 14 12% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The final score was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven.
What did the model predict before Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Standard Liege win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an OH Leuven win.