Pro League
· Conference League Group - 37
May 08, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Standard Liege
H. Lawrence
47'
C. Nielsen
(ast. J. Homawoo)
69'
40'
R. Nyakossi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Standard Liege a 60% win probability (draw 19%, OH Leuven 20%). The final result was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven. In 4 previous meetings, Standard Liege have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for OH Leuven.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.18
Actual xG
1.23
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
7
9
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
34'
K. Vaesen
40'
R. Nyakossi⚽
45'
R. Nyakossi
I. Karamoko
/ M. Ilaimaharitra
46'
⚽H. Lawrence
47'
T. Nkada
/ D. Eckert Ayensa
63'
⚽C. Nielsen
· ast. J. Homawoo
69'
73'
C. Ikwuemesi
/
S. Kaba
73'
W. Balikwisha
/
A. K. Traore
A. Abid
/ T. Mohr
75'
C. Nielsen
/ T. Teuma
75'
79'
M. Maertens
/
K. Vaesen
79'
S. Schrijvers
/
W. George
87'
B. Kayo
/
H. Teklab
R. Said
/ B. Nguene
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.06%
Standard ←
19.92%
X
20.01%
OH
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Standard Liege)
60.06%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.31
1.18
-1.13
1.14
1.23
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 1.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
24
J. Homawoo
1 👟
D
4
David Robert Bates
D
David Robert Bates
D
25
D
3
G. Mortensen
M
G. Mortensen
M
20
I. Karamoko
45'
M
I. Karamoko
45'
M
94
C. Nielsen
1 ⚽
75'
M
C. Nielsen
1 ⚽
75'
M
18
H. Lawrence
1 ⚽
M
H. Lawrence
1 ⚽
M
17
Rafiki Saïd
F
Rafiki Saïd
F
11
A. Abid
75'
F
A. Abid
75'
F
59
T. Nkada
63'
F
T. Nkada
63'
F
Bench
26
Bernard Nguene
F
Bernard Nguene
F
29
D. Dierckx
D
D. Dierckx
D
10
D. Eckert Ayensa
30'
F
D. Eckert Ayensa
30'
F
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
48'
M
Marco Ilaimaharitra
48'
M
53
Steeven Assengue
M
Steeven Assengue
M
7
T. Mohr
18'
M
T. Mohr
18'
M
1
G
30
D
34
R. Nyakossi
1 ⚽
D
R. Nyakossi
1 ⚽
D
28
E. Pletinckx
D
E. Pletinckx
D
14
H. Teklab
87'
M
H. Teklab
87'
M
24
Ł. Łakomy
M
Ł. Łakomy
M
6
79'
M
99
M
9
A. Traoré
73'
F
A. Traoré
73'
F
17
K. Vaesen
79'
F
K. Vaesen
79'
F
39
Sory Kaba
73'
F
Sory Kaba
73'
F
Bench
48
B. Kayo
6'
M
B. Kayo
6'
M
19
C. Ikwuemesi
20'
F
C. Ikwuemesi
20'
F
33
M. Maertens
14'
M
M. Maertens
14'
M
16
M. Prévot
G
M. Prévot
G
8
S. Schrijvers
14'
M
S. Schrijvers
14'
M
Best on the pitch
H. Lawrence
M · Standard
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
Rafiki Saïd
F · Standard
8.20
4 shots
· 34 pass
J. Homawoo
D · Standard
7.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
David Robert Bates
D · Standard
7.20
· 50 pass
Ł. Łakomy
M · OH
7.20
· 56 pass
R. Nyakossi
D · OH
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 48 pass
Standard Liege — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| J. Homawoo | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| David Robert Bates | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| G. Mortensen | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Karamoko | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| C. Nielsen | M | 75 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 27% | — | — | — |
| H. Lawrence | M | 93 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Rafiki Saïd | F | 93 | 8.20 | — | — | 4 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Abid | F | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Nkada | F | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Eckert Ayensa | F | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Marco Ilaimaharitra | M | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Mohr | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
OH Leuven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Nyakossi | D | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. Pletinckx | D | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| H. Teklab | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Ł. Łakomy | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | — | — | — |
| M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 5 | — | — | |
| M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. Traoré | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Vaesen | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Sory Kaba | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Kayo | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Ikwuemesi | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Maertens | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Schrijvers | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The final score was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven.
What did the model predict before Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Standard Liege win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an OH Leuven win.