Pro League
· Conference League Group - 37
May 08, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Standard Liege
H. Lawrence
47'
C. Nielsen
(ast. J. Homawoo)
69'
40'
R. Nyakossi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Standard Liege a 60% win probability (draw 19%, OH Leuven 20%). The final result was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven. In 3 previous meetings, Standard Liege have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for OH Leuven.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
1.18
Actual xG
1.23
1
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
7
9
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
32'
34'
K. Vaesen
40'
R. Nyakossi⚽
45'
R. Nyakossi
I. Karamoko
/ M. Ilaimaharitra
46'
⚽H. Lawrence
47'
T. Nkada
/ D. Eckert Ayensa
63'
⚽C. Nielsen
· ast. J. Homawoo
69'
73'
C. Ikwuemesi
/
S. Kaba
73'
W. Balikwisha
/
A. K. Traore
A. Abid
/ T. Mohr
75'
C. Nielsen
/ T. Teuma
75'
79'
M. Maertens
/
K. Vaesen
79'
S. Schrijvers
/
W. George
87'
B. Kayo
/
H. Teklab
R. Said
/ B. Nguene
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
60.06%
Standard ←
19.92%
X
20.01%
OH
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Standard Liege)
60.06%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.31
1.18
-1.13
1.14
1.23
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.18 – 1.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
24
J. Homawoo
1 👟
D
4
D. Bates
D
25
D
3
G. Mortensen
M
20
I. Karamoko
45'
M
94
C. Nielsen
1 ⚽
75'
M
18
H. Lawrence
1 ⚽
M
17
R. Said
F
11
A. Abid
75'
F
59
T. Nkada
63'
F
Bench
26
B. Nguene
F
29
D. Dierckx
D
10
D. Eckert Ayensa
30'
F
23
M. Ilaimaharitra
48'
M
53
S. Assengue
M
7
T. Mohr
18'
M
1
G
30
D
34
R. Nyakossi
1 ⚽
D
28
E. Pletinckx
D
14
H. Teklab
87'
M
24
L. Lakomy
M
6
79'
M
99
M
9
A. K. Traore
73'
F
17
K. Vaesen
79'
F
39
S. Kaba
73'
F
Bench
48
B. Kayo
6'
M
19
C. Ikwuemesi
20'
F
16
Maxence Prévot
G
33
M. Maertens
14'
M
8
S. Schrijvers
14'
M
Best on the pitch
H. Lawrence
M · Standard
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
R. Said
F · Standard
8.20
4 shots
· 34 pass
J. Homawoo
D · Standard
7.30
1 👟
· 63 pass
D. Bates
D · Standard
7.20
· 50 pass
L. Lakomy
M · OH
7.20
· 56 pass
R. Nyakossi
D · OH
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 48 pass
Standard Liege — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| J. Homawoo | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 63 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Bates | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | — | — | — |
| D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| G. Mortensen | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Karamoko | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| C. Nielsen | M | 75 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 27% | — | — | — |
| H. Lawrence | M | 93 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Said | F | 93 | 8.20 | — | — | 4 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| A. Abid | F | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Nkada | F | 63 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Eckert Ayensa | F | 30 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Ilaimaharitra | M | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Mohr | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
OH Leuven — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| R. Nyakossi | D | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 4 | 1 | — |
| E. Pletinckx | D | 93 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — |
| H. Teklab | M | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Lakomy | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | — | — | — |
| M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 5 | — | — | |
| M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — | |
| A. K. Traore | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Vaesen | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Kaba | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Kayo | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Ikwuemesi | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Maertens | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Schrijvers | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The final score was Standard Liege 2–1 OH Leuven.
What did the model predict before Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Standard Liege win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an OH Leuven win.