← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 42 April 11, 2026 16:00
Stoke City
#17 · 55 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Blackburn
#20 · 52 pts
J. Rak-Sakyi (ast. M. Manhoef) 56'
21' (ast. R. Alebiosu) A. Forshaw

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Blackburn 25%). The final result was Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Blackburn.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.83
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
3
10
Tackles
22
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
21'
ast. R. Alebiosu · A. Forshaw⚽
↕ B. Gibson / A. Cresswell
24'
31'
M. Baradji
33'
Y. Ohashi
45'
R. Alebiosu
A. Phillips
47'
⚽J. Rak-Sakyi · ast. M. Manhoef
56'
J. Rak-Sakyi
62'
63'
T. Gardner-Hickman / M. Baradji ↕
↕ S. Gallagher / L. Cisse
72'
77'
M. Jorgensen / T. Cantwell ↕
77'
K. Montgomery / A. Forshaw ↕
↕ J. Rak-Sakyi / J. Bae
86'
A. Phillips
87'
A. Phillips
87'
L. Baker
88'
B. Pearson
88'
89'
D. De Neve / R. Morishita ↕
90'
N. Redmond / Y. Ribeiro ↕
Pre-match prediction
45.53%
Stoke
29.32%
X ←
25.16%
Blackburn
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stoke
1.33
1.83
+0.5
Blackburn
0.88
0.54
-0.35
Stoke City dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Stoke City Stoke City 4-2-3-1
31
G 6.30
17
E. Bocat D 6.90
23
B. Gibson 24' D 6.50
26
A. Phillips 87' D 6.50
18
D 7.70
8
L. Baker M 6.70
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson M 7.20
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas M 6.30
42
M. Manhoef 1 👟 M 7.90
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.20
20
S. Gallagher 72' F 6.90
Bench
3
A. Cresswell 66' D 7.30
10
J. Bae 10' M 6.30
29
L. Cisse 18' F 6.50
50
S. Agina M
15
S. N'Zonzi M
Blackburn Blackburn 3-4-2-1
22
G 6.30
20
E. Cashin D 7.30
15 S. McLoughlin S. McLoughlin D 6.90
38
D 6.30
4
Y. Ribeiro 89' M 6.90
24
M. Baradji 63' M 6.30
28
Adam Forshaw 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
2
R. Alebiosu 1 👟 M 6.90
10
T. Cantwell 77' F 7.20
25 R. Morishita R. Morishita 89' F 6.70
23
Y. Ohashi F 6.30
Bench
3
H. Pickering D
31
K. Montgomery 13' M 6.60
29
M. Jorgensen 13' F 6.70
27
N. Redmond 1' M
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman 27' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Adam Forshaw
M · Blackburn
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
M. Manhoef
M · Stoke
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
D · Stoke
7.70
· 55 pass
A. Cresswell
D · Stoke
7.30
· 57 pass
E. Cashin
D · Blackburn
7.30
1 shots · 39 pass
T. Cantwell
F · Blackburn
7.20
2 shots · 25 pass
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 43 35% — — —
E. Bocat D 90 6.90 — — — 48 39% — — —
B. Gibson D 24 6.50 — — 1 20 20% — — —
A. Phillips D 87 6.50 — — — 74 65% 1 2 1
D 90 7.70 — — — 55 45% 2 — —
L. Baker M 90 6.70 — — 1 35 29% — 1 —
B. Pearson M 90 7.20 — — — 45 41% 3 1 —
S. Thomas M 90 6.30 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
M. Manhoef M 90 7.90 — 1 1 28 22% — — —
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi M 86 7.20 1 — 2 25 17% 1 1 —
S. Gallagher F 72 6.90 — — 1 7 4% — — —
A. Cresswell D 66 7.30 — — — 57 50% 2 — —
J. Bae M 10 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
L. Cisse F 18 6.50 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Blackburn Blackburn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 26 9% — — —
E. Cashin D 90 7.30 — — 1 39 28% 3 — —
S. McLoughlin D 90 6.90 — — — 34 26% 2 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 32 23% 1 — —
Y. Ribeiro M 89 6.90 — — — 24 17% — — —
M. Baradji M 63 6.30 — — 1 15 12% — 1 —
Adam Forshaw M 77 8.20 1 — 1 32 26% 2 — —
R. Alebiosu M 90 6.90 — 1 — 25 14% 2 1 —
T. Cantwell F 77 7.20 — — 2 25 20% 3 — —
R. Morishita F 89 6.70 — — 2 22 17% 3 — —
Y. Ohashi F 90 6.30 — — 1 19 11% 3 1 —
K. Montgomery M 13 6.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
M. Jorgensen F 13 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
N. Redmond M 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Taylor Gardner-Hickman M 27 6.90 — — — 16 14% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Blackburn?
The final score was Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Stoke City win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Blackburn win.