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Championship · Regular Season - 42 April 11, 2026 16:00
Stoke City
#9 · 10 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Blackburn
#15 · 8 pts
J. Rak-Sakyi (ast. M. Manhoef) 56'
21' (ast. R. Alebiosu) A. Forshaw
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Blackburn 25%). The final result was Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Blackburn.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.83
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
3
10
Tackles
22
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
21'
ast. R. Alebiosu · A. Forshaw⚽
↕ B. Gibson / A. Cresswell
24'
31'
M. Baradji
33'
Y. Ohashi
45'
R. Alebiosu
A. Phillips
47'
⚽J. Rak-Sakyi · ast. M. Manhoef
56'
J. Rak-Sakyi
62'
63'
T. Gardner-Hickman / M. Baradji ↕
↕ S. Gallagher / L. Cisse
72'
77'
M. Jorgensen / T. Cantwell ↕
77'
K. Montgomery / A. Forshaw ↕
↕ J. Rak-Sakyi / J. Bae
86'
A. Phillips
87'
A. Phillips
87'
L. Baker
88'
B. Pearson
88'
89'
D. De Neve / R. Morishita ↕
90'
N. Redmond / Y. Ribeiro ↕
Pre-match prediction
45.53%
Stoke
29.32%
X ←
25.16%
Blackburn
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.32% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stoke
1.33
1.83
+0.5
Blackburn
0.88
0.54
-0.35
Stoke City dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 Swansea Swansea 7 14
3 West Brom West Brom 7 14
4 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 6 13
5 QPR QPR 7 12
6 Charlton Charlton 7 12
7 Southampton Southampton 7 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Stoke City Stoke City 7 10
10 Bristol City Bristol City 6 10
11 Norwich Norwich 7 9
12 Millwall Millwall 6 9
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
14 Wolves Wolves 5 8
15 Blackburn Blackburn 7 8
16 Lincoln Lincoln 6 8
17 Watford Watford 7 8
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 6 7
19 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
20 Bolton Bolton 7 7
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Preston Preston 7 3
24 Burnley Burnley 7 3
Lineups
Stoke City Stoke City 4-2-3-1
31
G 6.30
17 E. Bocat E. Bocat D 6.90
23 B. Gibson B. Gibson 24' D 6.50
26 A. Phillips A. Phillips 87' D 6.50
18
D 7.70
8
L. Baker M 6.70
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson M 7.20
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas M 6.30
42 M. Manhoef M. Manhoef 1 👟 M 7.90
21 Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.20
20 S. Gallagher S. Gallagher 72' F 6.90
Bench
3
A. Cresswell 66' D 7.30
10 Bae Jun-Ho Bae Jun-Ho 10' M 6.30
29 L. Cissé L. Cissé 18' F 6.50
15 S. Nzonzi S. Nzonzi M
50
Sydney Agina M
Blackburn Blackburn 3-4-2-1
22
G 6.30
20 E. Cashin E. Cashin D 7.30
15 S. McLoughlin S. McLoughlin D 6.90
38
D 6.30
4 Yuri Ribeiro Yuri Ribeiro 89' M 6.90
24 M. Baradji M. Baradji 63' M 6.30
28 A. Forshaw A. Forshaw 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
2 R. Alebiosu R. Alebiosu 1 👟 M 6.90
10 T. Cantwell T. Cantwell 77' F 7.20
25 R. Morishita R. Morishita 89' F 6.70
23 Yuki Ohashi Yuki Ohashi F 6.30
Bench
3 H. Pickering H. Pickering D
31 Kristi Montgomery Kristi Montgomery 13' M 6.60
29 Mathias Jørgensen Mathias Jørgensen 13' F 6.70
27
N. Redmond 1' M
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman 27' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
A. Forshaw
A. Forshaw
M · Blackburn
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 32 pass
M. Manhoef
M. Manhoef
M · Stoke
7.90
1 👟
1 shots · 28 pass
D · Stoke
7.70
· 55 pass
A. Cresswell
D · Stoke
7.30
· 57 pass
E. Cashin
E. Cashin
D · Blackburn
7.30
1 shots · 39 pass
T. Cantwell
T. Cantwell
F · Blackburn
7.20
2 shots · 25 pass
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 43 35% — — —
E. Bocat D 90 6.90 — — — 48 39% — — —
B. Gibson D 24 6.50 — — 1 20 20% — — —
A. Phillips D 87 6.50 — — — 74 65% 1 2 1
D 90 7.70 — — — 55 45% 2 — —
L. Baker M 90 6.70 — — 1 35 29% — 1 —
B. Pearson M 90 7.20 — — — 45 41% 3 1 —
S. Thomas M 90 6.30 — — — 32 25% 1 — —
M. Manhoef M 90 7.90 — 1 1 28 22% — — —
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi M 86 7.20 1 — 2 25 17% 1 1 —
S. Gallagher F 72 6.90 — — 1 7 4% — — —
A. Cresswell D 66 7.30 — — — 57 50% 2 — —
Bae Jun-Ho M 10 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
L. Cissé F 18 6.50 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Blackburn Blackburn — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 26 9% — — —
E. Cashin D 90 7.30 — — 1 39 28% 3 — —
S. McLoughlin D 90 6.90 — — — 34 26% 2 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 32 23% 1 — —
Yuri Ribeiro M 89 6.90 — — — 24 17% — — —
M. Baradji M 63 6.30 — — 1 15 12% — 1 —
A. Forshaw M 77 8.20 1 — 1 32 26% 2 — —
R. Alebiosu M 90 6.90 — 1 — 25 14% 2 1 —
T. Cantwell F 77 7.20 — — 2 25 20% 3 — —
R. Morishita F 89 6.70 — — 2 22 17% 3 — —
Yuki Ohashi F 90 6.30 — — 1 19 11% 3 1 —
Kristi Montgomery M 13 6.60 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Mathias Jørgensen F 13 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
N. Redmond M 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
Taylor Gardner-Hickman M 27 6.90 — — — 16 14% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Blackburn?
The final score was Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Stoke City win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Blackburn win.