Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn — pre-match prediction — Championship — April 11, 2026

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Championship · Regular Season - 42 April 11, 2026 16:00

Stoke City

#9 · 20 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Blackburn

#10 · 18 pts

J. Rak-Sakyi (ast. M. Manhoef) 56'

21' (ast. R. Alebiosu) A. Forshaw

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Blackburn 25%). The final result was Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Blackburn.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.83

Actual xG

0.54

Saves

59%

Possession

41%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

21'

ast. R. Alebiosu · A. Forshaw⚽

↕ B. Gibson / A. Cresswell

24'

31'

M. Baradji

33'

Y. Ohashi

45'

R. Alebiosu

A. Phillips

47'

⚽J. Rak-Sakyi · ast. M. Manhoef

56'

J. Rak-Sakyi

62'

63'

T. Gardner-Hickman / M. Baradji ↕

↕ S. Gallagher / L. Cisse

72'

77'

M. Jorgensen / T. Cantwell ↕

77'

K. Montgomery / A. Forshaw ↕

↕ J. Rak-Sakyi / J. Bae

86'

A. Phillips

87'

A. Phillips

87'

L. Baker

88'

B. Pearson

88'

89'

D. De Neve / R. Morishita ↕

90'

N. Redmond / Y. Ribeiro ↕

Pre-match prediction

45.53%

Stoke

29.32%

X ←

25.16%

Blackburn

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 29.32% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Stoke

1.33

1.83

+0.5

Blackburn

0.88

0.54

-0.35

Stoke City dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	25
2	Swansea	12	23
3	West Ham	12	22
4	Wolves	12	21
5	West Brom	12	21
6	Southampton	12	20
7	Birmingham	12	20
8	QPR	12	20
9	Stoke City	12	20
10	Blackburn	12	18
11	Portsmouth	12	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	16
13	Millwall	12	15
14	Bristol City	12	15
15	Lincoln	12	15
16	Cardiff	12	14
17	Wrexham	12	14
18	Bolton	12	14
19	Charlton	12	14
20	Norwich	12	12
21	Watford	12	11
22	Burnley	12	8
23	Derby	12	7
24	Preston	12	5

Lineups

Stoke City 4-2-3-1

G 6.30

E. Bocat D 6.90

B. Gibson 24' D 6.50

A. Phillips 87' D 6.50

D 7.70

L. Baker M 6.70

B. Pearson M 7.20

S. Thomas M 6.30

M. Manhoef 1 👟 M 7.90

Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.20

S. Gallagher 72' F 6.90

Bench

A. Cresswell 66' D 7.30

Bae Jun-Ho 10' M 6.30

L. Cissé 18' F 6.50

S. Nzonzi M

Sydney Agina M

Blackburn 3-4-2-1

G 6.30

E. Cashin D 7.30

S. McLoughlin D 6.90

D 6.30

Yuri Ribeiro 89' M 6.90

M. Baradji 63' M 6.30

A. Forshaw 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20

R. Alebiosu 1 👟 M 6.90

T. Cantwell 77' F 7.20

R. Morishita 89' F 6.70

Yuki Ohashi F 6.30

Bench

H. Pickering D

Kristi Montgomery 13' M 6.60

M. Jørgensen 13' F 6.70

N. Redmond 1' M

T. Gardner-Hickman 27' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

A. Forshaw

M · Blackburn

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 32 pass

M. Manhoef

M · Stoke

7.90

1 👟

1 shots · 28 pass

D · Stoke

7.70

· 55 pass

A. Cresswell

D · Stoke

7.30

· 57 pass

E. Cashin

D · Blackburn

7.30

1 shots · 39 pass

T. Cantwell

F · Blackburn

7.20

2 shots · 25 pass

Stoke City — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	43	35%	—	—	—
E. Bocat	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	48	39%	—	—	—
B. Gibson	D	24	6.50	—	—	1	20	20%	—	—	—
A. Phillips	D	87	6.50	—	—	—	74	65%	1	2	1
	D	90	7.70	—	—	—	55	45%	2	—	—
L. Baker	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	35	29%	—	1	—
B. Pearson	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	45	41%	3	1	—
S. Thomas	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	32	25%	1	—	—
M. Manhoef	M	90	7.90	—	1	1	28	22%	—	—	—
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi	M	86	7.20	1	—	2	25	17%	1	1	—
S. Gallagher	F	72	6.90	—	—	1	7	4%	—	—	—
A. Cresswell	D	66	7.30	—	—	—	57	50%	2	—	—
Bae Jun-Ho	M	10	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
L. Cissé	F	18	6.50	—	—	1	7	5%	—	—	—

Blackburn — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	26	9%	—	—	—
E. Cashin	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	39	28%	3	—	—
S. McLoughlin	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	34	26%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	32	23%	1	—	—
Yuri Ribeiro	M	89	6.90	—	—	—	24	17%	—	—	—
M. Baradji	M	63	6.30	—	—	1	15	12%	—	1	—
A. Forshaw	M	77	8.20	1	—	1	32	26%	2	—	—
R. Alebiosu	M	90	6.90	—	1	—	25	14%	2	1	—
T. Cantwell	F	77	7.20	—	—	2	25	20%	3	—	—
R. Morishita	F	89	6.70	—	—	2	22	17%	3	—	—
Yuki Ohashi	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	19	11%	3	1	—
Kristi Montgomery	M	13	6.60	—	—	—	11	9%	1	—	—
M. Jørgensen	F	13	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
N. Redmond	M	1	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
T. Gardner-Hickman	M	27	6.90	—	—	—	16	14%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Blackburn?

The final score was Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn.

What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Blackburn?

The model assigned 45% probability to a Stoke City win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Blackburn win.