Championship
· Regular Season - 42
April 11, 2026 16:00
J. Rak-Sakyi
(ast. M. Manhoef)
56'
21'
(ast. R. Alebiosu)
A. Forshaw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Blackburn 25%). The final result was Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn. In 1 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Blackburn.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
1.83
Actual xG
0.54
2
Saves
1
59%
Possession
41%
4
Corners
3
10
Tackles
22
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
21'
ast. R. Alebiosu ·
A. Forshaw⚽
B. Gibson
/ A. Cresswell
24'
31'
M. Baradji
33'
Y. Ohashi
45'
R. Alebiosu
A. Phillips
47'
⚽J. Rak-Sakyi
· ast. M. Manhoef
56'
J. Rak-Sakyi
62'
63'
T. Gardner-Hickman
/
M. Baradji
S. Gallagher
/ L. Cisse
72'
77'
M. Jorgensen
/
T. Cantwell
77'
K. Montgomery
/
A. Forshaw
J. Rak-Sakyi
/ J. Bae
86'
A. Phillips
87'
A. Phillips
87'
L. Baker
88'
B. Pearson
88'
89'
D. De Neve
/
R. Morishita
90'
N. Redmond
/
Y. Ribeiro
Pre-match prediction
45.53%
Stoke
29.32%
X ←
25.16%
Blackburn
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
1.83
+0.5
0.88
0.54
-0.35
Stoke City dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
G
17
E. Bocat
D
23
B. Gibson
24'
D
26
A. Phillips
87'
D
18
D
8
L. Baker
M
4
B. Pearson
M
B. Pearson
M
7
S. Thomas
M
S. Thomas
M
42
M. Manhoef
1 👟
M
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
1 ⚽
86'
M
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
1 ⚽
86'
M
20
S. Gallagher
72'
F
Bench
3
A. Cresswell
66'
D
10
Jun-Ho Bae
10'
M
Jun-Ho Bae
10'
M
29
L. Cisse
18'
F
15
S. N'Zonzi
M
50
Sydney Agina
M
22
G
20
Eiran Cashin
D
Eiran Cashin
D
15
S. McLoughlin
D
S. McLoughlin
D
38
D
4
Y. Ribeiro
89'
M
24
M. Baradji
63'
M
28
Adam Forshaw
1 ⚽
77'
M
2
R. Alebiosu
1 👟
M
10
T. Cantwell
77'
F
25
R. Morishita
89'
F
R. Morishita
89'
F
23
Y. Ohashi
F
Bench
3
H. Pickering
D
31
K. Montgomery
13'
M
29
M. Jorgensen
13'
F
27
N. Redmond
1'
M
5
Taylor Gardner-Hickman
27'
M
Best on the pitch
Adam Forshaw
M · Blackburn
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 32 pass
M. Manhoef
M · Stoke
7.90
1 👟
1 shots
· 28 pass
D · Stoke
7.70
· 55 pass
A. Cresswell
D · Stoke
7.30
· 57 pass
Eiran Cashin
D · Blackburn
7.30
1 shots
· 39 pass
T. Cantwell
F · Blackburn
7.20
2 shots
· 25 pass
Stoke City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | — | — | — | |
| E. Bocat | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| B. Gibson | D | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Phillips | D | 87 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 74 | 65% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | 2 | — | — | |
| L. Baker | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| B. Pearson | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Manhoef | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | M | 86 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Gallagher | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Cresswell | D | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Jun-Ho Bae | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Cisse | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Blackburn — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| Eiran Cashin | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| Y. Ribeiro | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Baradji | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Adam Forshaw | M | 77 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Alebiosu | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| T. Cantwell | F | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Morishita | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Ohashi | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| K. Montgomery | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Jorgensen | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| N. Redmond | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Blackburn?
The final score was Stoke City 1–1 Blackburn.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Blackburn?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Stoke City win, 29% to a draw, and 25% to an Blackburn win.