← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00
Stoke City
#17 · 55 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Portsmouth
#18 · 55 pts
L. Cisse (ast. S. Thomas) 48'
32' (ast. H. Blair) A. Segecic
67' (ast. J. Murphy) A. Segecic
82' A. Segecic

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Portsmouth 27%). The final result was Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
4
1.57
Actual xG
1.26
1
Saves
0
46%
Possession
54%
8
Corners
1
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
B. Killip / J. Bursik ↕
32'
ast. H. Blair · A. Segecic⚽
↕ S. Gallagher / J. Rak-Sakyi
46'
↕ E. Bocat / B. Gibson
46'
⚽L. Cisse · ast. S. Thomas
48'
61'
H. Matthews
61'
I. Bowat / H. Matthews ↕
62'
J. Murphy / H. Blair ↕
↕ S. Agina / J. Tchamadeu
63'
67'
ast. J. Murphy · A. Segecic⚽
↕ B. Pearson / S. N'Zonzi
71'
78'
J. Brown / J. Swift ↕
79'
T. Waddingham / C. Bishop ↕
↕ R. Otegbayo / M. Manhoef
79'
82'
A. Segecic⚽
82'
A. Segecic
Pre-match prediction
42.94%
Stoke
29.95%
X
27.11%
Portsmouth ←
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth) 27.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stoke
1.28
1.57
+0.3
Portsmouth
0.88
1.26
+0.38
Stoke City dominated by xG (1.57 vs 1.26). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Stoke City Stoke City 4-2-3-1
25
G 5.90
17
E. Bocat 45' D 6.20
54
R. Otegbayo 79' D 6.30
26
A. Phillips D 6.00
50
S. Agina 63' D 6.50
12
M 6.90
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson 71' M 6.50
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas 1 👟 M 8.20
20
S. Gallagher 45' M 6.50
29
L. Cisse 1 ⚽ M 7.00
11
R. Bozenik F 6.30
Bench
23
B. Gibson 49' D 6.00
10
J. Bae M
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 49' F 6.90
22 J. Tchamadeu J. Tchamadeu 31' D 6.30
8
L. Baker M
42
M. Manhoef 15' F 6.60
15
S. N'Zonzi 23' M 6.50
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
26
J. Bursik 4' G
3
C. Ogilvie D 6.30
55
M. Dia D 7.20
14
H. Matthews 61' D 6.60
2
J. Williams D 6.30
16
L. Le Roux M 6.60
21
A. Dozzell M 7.20
29
H. Blair 1 👟 62' M 6.60
8
J. Swift 78' M 6.60
10
A. Segecic 3 ⚽ M 10.00
9
C. Bishop 79' F 6.30
Bench
36
C. Chaplin F
38
E. Adams M
17
I. Bowat 33' D 6.90
40
Jacob Brown 16' F 6.20
27
M. Alli F
5
R. Poole D
Best on the pitch
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
S. Thomas
S. Thomas
M · Stoke
8.20
1 👟
· 25 pass
A. Dozzell
M · Portsmouth
7.20
· 55 pass
M. Dia
D · Portsmouth
7.20
· 41 pass
L. Cisse
M · Stoke
7.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
I. Bowat
D · Portsmouth
6.90
· 15 pass
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 5.90 — — — 31 14% — — —
E. Bocat D 45 6.20 — — — 21 16% — — —
R. Otegbayo D 79 6.30 — — — 28 19% 1 — —
A. Phillips D 94 6.00 — — — 29 20% — — —
S. Agina D 63 6.50 — — — 13 6% 2 — —
M 94 6.90 — — 1 29 23% 1 — —
B. Pearson M 71 6.50 — — — 20 14% 1 — —
S. Thomas M 94 8.20 — 1 — 25 15% 2 — —
S. Gallagher M 45 6.50 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
L. Cisse M 94 7.00 1 — 3 25 19% 2 — —
R. Bozenik F 94 6.30 — — 1 12 8% — — —
B. Gibson D 49 6.00 — — — 21 16% 1 — —
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi F 49 6.90 — — — 10 10% 2 — —
J. Tchamadeu D 31 6.30 — — 1 11 9% — — —
M. Manhoef F 15 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
S. N'Zonzi M 23 6.50 — — 1 9 7% — — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bursik G 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
C. Ogilvie D 94 6.30 — — — 34 27% 2 — —
M. Dia D 94 7.20 — — — 41 35% — — —
H. Matthews D 61 6.60 — — — 20 12% 2 1 —
J. Williams D 94 6.30 — — 1 22 18% 2 — —
L. Le Roux M 94 6.60 — — — 40 36% 3 — —
A. Dozzell M 94 7.20 — — — 55 45% 2 — —
H. Blair M 62 6.60 — 1 1 6 4% 1 — —
J. Swift M 78 6.60 — — — 48 42% — — —
A. Segecic M 94 10.00 3 — 4 13 9% 2 1 —
C. Bishop F 79 6.30 — — — 14 11% — — —
I. Bowat D 33 6.90 — — — 15 13% — — —
Jacob Brown F 16 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Stoke City win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an Portsmouth win.