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Championship · Regular Season - 45 April 25, 2026 16:00
Stoke City
#7 · 13 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Portsmouth
#19 · 8 pts
L. Cisse (ast. S. Thomas) 48'
32' (ast. H. Blair) A. Segecic
67' (ast. J. Murphy) A. Segecic
82' A. Segecic
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Portsmouth 27%). The final result was Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
4
1.57
Actual xG
1.26
1
Saves
0
46%
Possession
54%
8
Corners
1
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
B. Killip / J. Bursik ↕
32'
ast. H. Blair · A. Segecic⚽
↕ S. Gallagher / J. Rak-Sakyi
46'
↕ E. Bocat / B. Gibson
46'
⚽L. Cisse · ast. S. Thomas
48'
61'
H. Matthews
61'
I. Bowat / H. Matthews ↕
62'
J. Murphy / H. Blair ↕
↕ S. Agina / J. Tchamadeu
63'
67'
ast. J. Murphy · A. Segecic⚽
↕ B. Pearson / S. N'Zonzi
71'
78'
J. Brown / J. Swift ↕
79'
T. Waddingham / C. Bishop ↕
↕ R. Otegbayo / M. Manhoef
79'
82'
A. Segecic⚽
82'
A. Segecic
Pre-match prediction
42.94%
Stoke
29.95%
X
27.11%
Portsmouth ←
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth) 27.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Stoke
1.28
1.57
+0.3
Portsmouth
0.88
1.26
+0.38
Stoke City dominated by xG (1.57 vs 1.26). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Stoke City Stoke City 4-2-3-1
25
G 5.90
17 E. Bocat E. Bocat 45' D 6.20
54
R. Otegbayo 79' D 6.30
26 A. Phillips A. Phillips D 6.00
50
Sydney Agina 63' D 6.50
12
M 6.90
4 B. Pearson B. Pearson 71' M 6.50
7 S. Thomas S. Thomas 1 👟 M 8.20
20 S. Gallagher S. Gallagher 45' M 6.50
29 L. Cissé L. Cissé 1 ⚽ M 7.00
11 R. Boženík R. Boženík F 6.30
Bench
10 Bae Jun-Ho Bae Jun-Ho M
23 B. Gibson B. Gibson 49' D 6.00
21 Jesurun Rak-Sakyi Jesurun Rak-Sakyi 49' F 6.90
22 J. Tchamadeu J. Tchamadeu 31' D 6.30
8
L. Baker M
42 M. Manhoef M. Manhoef 15' F 6.60
15 S. Nzonzi S. Nzonzi 23' M 6.50
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
26 J. Bursik J. Bursik 4' G
3 C. Ogilvie C. Ogilvie D 6.30
55 M. Dia M. Dia D 7.20
14 H. Matthews H. Matthews 61' D 6.60
2 J. Williams J. Williams D 6.30
16 Luke Le Roux Luke Le Roux M 6.60
21 A. Dozzell A. Dozzell M 7.20
29 H. Blair H. Blair 1 👟 62' M 6.60
8 J. Swift J. Swift 78' M 6.60
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic 3 ⚽ M 10.00
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop 79' F 6.30
Bench
36 C. Chaplin C. Chaplin F
38 E. Adams E. Adams M
17 I. Bowat I. Bowat 33' D 6.90
40 J. Brown J. Brown 16' F 6.20
27 M. Alli M. Alli F
5 R. Poole R. Poole D
Best on the pitch
A. Segecic
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots · 13 pass
S. Thomas
S. Thomas
M · Stoke
8.20
1 👟
· 25 pass
A. Dozzell
A. Dozzell
M · Portsmouth
7.20
· 55 pass
M. Dia
M. Dia
D · Portsmouth
7.20
· 41 pass
L. Cissé
L. Cissé
M · Stoke
7.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
I. Bowat
I. Bowat
D · Portsmouth
6.90
· 15 pass
Stoke City Stoke City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 5.90 — — — 31 14% — — —
E. Bocat D 45 6.20 — — — 21 16% — — —
R. Otegbayo D 79 6.30 — — — 28 19% 1 — —
A. Phillips D 94 6.00 — — — 29 20% — — —
Sydney Agina D 63 6.50 — — — 13 6% 2 — —
M 94 6.90 — — 1 29 23% 1 — —
B. Pearson M 71 6.50 — — — 20 14% 1 — —
S. Thomas M 94 8.20 — 1 — 25 15% 2 — —
S. Gallagher M 45 6.50 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
L. Cissé M 94 7.00 1 — 3 25 19% 2 — —
R. Boženík F 94 6.30 — — 1 12 8% — — —
B. Gibson D 49 6.00 — — — 21 16% 1 — —
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi F 49 6.90 — — — 10 10% 2 — —
J. Tchamadeu D 31 6.30 — — 1 11 9% — — —
M. Manhoef F 15 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
S. Nzonzi M 23 6.50 — — 1 9 7% — — —
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Bursik G 4 — — — — 1 — — — —
C. Ogilvie D 94 6.30 — — — 34 27% 2 — —
M. Dia D 94 7.20 — — — 41 35% — — —
H. Matthews D 61 6.60 — — — 20 12% 2 1 —
J. Williams D 94 6.30 — — 1 22 18% 2 — —
Luke Le Roux M 94 6.60 — — — 40 36% 3 — —
A. Dozzell M 94 7.20 — — — 55 45% 2 — —
H. Blair M 62 6.60 — 1 1 6 4% 1 — —
J. Swift M 78 6.60 — — — 48 42% — — —
A. Segecic M 94 10.00 3 — 4 13 9% 2 1 —
C. Bishop F 79 6.30 — — — 14 11% — — —
I. Bowat D 33 6.90 — — — 15 13% — — —
J. Brown F 16 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Stoke City win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an Portsmouth win.