Championship
· Regular Season - 45
April 25, 2026 16:00
L. Cisse
(ast. S. Thomas)
48'
32'
(ast. H. Blair)
A. Segecic
67'
(ast. J. Murphy)
A. Segecic
82'
A. Segecic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Stoke City a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Portsmouth 27%). The final result was Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth. In 1 previous meetings, Stoke City have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Portsmouth.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
4
1.57
Actual xG
1.26
1
Saves
0
46%
Possession
54%
8
Corners
1
13
Tackles
14
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
B. Killip
/
J. Bursik
32'
ast. H. Blair ·
A. Segecic⚽
S. Gallagher
/ J. Rak-Sakyi
46'
E. Bocat
/ B. Gibson
46'
⚽L. Cisse
· ast. S. Thomas
48'
61'
H. Matthews
61'
I. Bowat
/
H. Matthews
62'
J. Murphy
/
H. Blair
S. Agina
/ J. Tchamadeu
63'
67'
ast. J. Murphy ·
A. Segecic⚽
B. Pearson
/ S. N'Zonzi
71'
78'
J. Brown
/
J. Swift
79'
T. Waddingham
/
C. Bishop
R. Otegbayo
/ M. Manhoef
79'
82'
A. Segecic⚽
82'
A. Segecic
Pre-match prediction
42.94%
Stoke
29.95%
X
27.11%
Portsmouth ←
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth)
27.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.57
+0.3
0.88
1.26
+0.38
Stoke City dominated by xG (1.57 vs 1.26).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
25
G
17
Eric Bocat
45'
D
Eric Bocat
45'
D
54
R. Otegbayo
79'
D
26
A. Phillips
D
50
Sydney Agina
63'
D
12
M
4
Ben Pearson
71'
M
Ben Pearson
71'
M
7
S. Thomas
1 👟
M
S. Thomas
1 👟
M
20
Sam Gallagher
45'
M
Sam Gallagher
45'
M
29
Lamine Cissé
1 ⚽
M
Lamine Cissé
1 ⚽
M
11
Róbert Boženík
F
Róbert Boženík
F
Bench
10
Bae Jun-Ho
M
Bae Jun-Ho
M
23
Ben Gibson
49'
D
Ben Gibson
49'
D
21
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
49'
F
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
49'
F
22
J. Tchamadeu
31'
D
J. Tchamadeu
31'
D
8
L. Baker
M
42
Million Manhoef
15'
F
Million Manhoef
15'
F
15
S. N'Zonzi
23'
M
26
J. Bursik
4'
G
3
C. Ogilvie
D
C. Ogilvie
D
55
Madiodio Dia
D
Madiodio Dia
D
14
Hayden Matthews
61'
D
Hayden Matthews
61'
D
2
Jordan Lee Williams
D
Jordan Lee Williams
D
16
Luke Le Roux
M
Luke Le Roux
M
21
Andre Dozzell
M
Andre Dozzell
M
29
H. Blair
1 👟
62'
M
8
John Swift
78'
M
John Swift
78'
M
10
Adrian Segečić
3 ⚽
M
Adrian Segečić
3 ⚽
M
9
Colby Bishop
79'
F
Colby Bishop
79'
F
Bench
36
C. Chaplin
F
38
Ebou Adams
M
Ebou Adams
M
17
Ibane Bowat
33'
D
Ibane Bowat
33'
D
40
Jacob Brown
16'
F
Jacob Brown
16'
F
27
Millenic Alli
F
Millenic Alli
F
5
Regan Poole
D
Regan Poole
D
Best on the pitch
Adrian Segečić
M · Portsmouth
10.00
3 ⚽
4 shots
· 13 pass
S. Thomas
M · Stoke
8.20
1 👟
· 25 pass
Andre Dozzell
M · Portsmouth
7.20
· 55 pass
Madiodio Dia
D · Portsmouth
7.20
· 41 pass
Lamine Cissé
M · Stoke
7.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 25 pass
Ibane Bowat
D · Portsmouth
6.90
· 15 pass
Stoke City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Eric Bocat | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| R. Otegbayo | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Phillips | D | 94 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Sydney Agina | D | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| Ben Pearson | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | M | 94 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Sam Gallagher | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Lamine Cissé | M | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Róbert Boženík | F | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ben Gibson | D | 49 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesurun Rak-Sakyi | F | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Tchamadeu | D | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Million Manhoef | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. N'Zonzi | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Portsmouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bursik | G | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ogilvie | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Madiodio Dia | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Hayden Matthews | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jordan Lee Williams | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Luke Le Roux | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| Andre Dozzell | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Blair | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| John Swift | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Adrian Segečić | M | 94 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 4 | 13 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Colby Bishop | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ibane Bowat | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Jacob Brown | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Stoke City vs Portsmouth?
The final score was Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth.
What did the model predict before Stoke City vs Portsmouth?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Stoke City win, 29% to a draw, and 27% to an Portsmouth win.