← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 17:15
Strasbourg
#8 · 50 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Toulouse
#10 · 44 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Strasbourg, result Toulouse vince
S. Amo-Ameyaw (ast. I. Doukoure) 27'
43' (ast. C. Casseres) D. Methalie
84' (ast. C. Casseres) Emersonn

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Toulouse 15%). The final result was Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse. In 1 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
0.32
Actual xG
1.17
4
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
3
24
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Y. Dieme
20'
⚽S. Amo-Ameyaw · ast. I. Doukoure
27'
43'
ast. C. Casseres · D. Methalie⚽
↕ A. Ouattara / S. El Mourabet
46'
56'
D. Methalie
63'
Emersonn / J. Russell-Rowe ↕
↕ M. Amougou / D. Moreira
63'
↕ I. Doukoure / A. Omobamidele
71'
↕ Y. Dieme / J. Enciso
72'
75'
A. Vossah
78'
W. Kamanzi / D. Methalie ↕
78'
D. Sidibe / S. Hidalgo ↕
82'
I. Azizi / Y. Gboho ↕
82'
M. Sauer / A. Vossah ↕
↕ S. Nanasi / E. Emegha
82'
84'
ast. C. Casseres · Emersonn⚽
90'+7
A. Donnum
Pre-match prediction
63.79%
Strasbourg
20.46%
X
15.75%
Toulouse ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Toulouse) 15.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Strasbourg
2.67
0.32
-2.35
Toulouse
1.09
1.17
+0.08
Toulouse dominated by xG (1.17 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-4-1-1
39
G 5.90
42 Abdoul Ouattara Abdoul Ouattara 45' D 6.50
24 Lucas Høgsberg Lucas Høgsberg D 7.20
6 Ismael Doukouré Ismael Doukouré 1 👟 71' D 7.20
8 Maxi Oyedele Maxi Oyedele D 6.90
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine M 6.50
83
M 6.70
17 Mathis Amougou Mathis Amougou 63' M 6.20
27 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 1 ⚽ M 7.90
11 Sebastian Nanasi Sebastian Nanasi 82' F 6.90
34 Yaya Diémé Yaya Diémé 72' F 6.20
Bench
2 Andrew Omobamidele Andrew Omobamidele 19' D 6.50
7 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira 27' F 6.60
10
E. Emegha 8' F 6.30
19 Julio Enciso Julio Enciso 18' M 6.50
18 Junior Mwanga Junior Mwanga M
29 Samir El Mourabet Samir El Mourabet 45' M 7.20
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 Guillaume Restes Guillaume Restes G 6.90
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen Rasmus Nicolaisen D 7.20
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell D 6.60
3 Mark McKenzie Mark McKenzie D 6.60
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.70
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 2 👟 M 8.00
45 Alexis Vossah Alexis Vossah 82' M 6.30
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum M 6.90
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 82' F 7.20
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 78' F 6.60
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 63' F 6.50
Bench
19 Djibril Sidibé Djibril Sidibé 12' D 6.60
20 Emersonn Emersonn 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.50
7 Julian Vignolo Julian Vignolo F
77
Mario Sauer 8' M 6.70
35 Seny Koumbassa Seny Koumbassa D
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 12' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
C. Cásseres
C. Cásseres
M · Toulouse
8.00
2 👟
· 46 pass
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
M · Strasbourg
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
D. Methalie
D. Methalie
M · Toulouse
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Emersonn
Emersonn
F · Toulouse
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 3 pass
Y. Gboho
Y. Gboho
F · Toulouse
7.20
2 shots · 26 pass
Lucas Høgsberg
Lucas Høgsberg
D · Strasbourg
7.20
· 64 pass
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.90 — — — 45 41% — — —
Abdoul Ouattara D 45 6.50 — — — 25 22% — — —
Lucas Høgsberg D 90 7.20 — — — 64 59% 3 — —
Ismael Doukouré D 71 7.20 — 1 — 63 60% — — —
Maxi Oyedele D 90 6.90 — — — 57 50% 6 — —
Gessime Yassine M 90 6.50 — — 1 23 15% 1 — —
M 90 6.70 — — — 43 37% 3 — —
Mathis Amougou M 63 6.20 — — 1 29 23% 3 — —
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw M 90 7.90 1 — 2 22 21% 2 — —
Sebastian Nanasi F 82 6.90 — — — 19 14% 2 — —
Yaya Diémé F 72 6.20 — — 1 9 8% — 1 —
Andrew Omobamidele D 19 6.50 — — — 18 17% — — —
Diego Moreira F 27 6.60 — — — 13 11% — — —
E. Emegha F 8 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Julio Enciso M 18 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Samir El Mourabet M 45 7.20 — — — 33 28% 4 — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Guillaume Restes G 90 6.90 — — — 31 23% — — —
Rasmus Nicolaisen D 90 7.20 — — — 33 29% 3 — —
C. Cresswell D 90 6.60 — — 1 51 42% — — —
Mark McKenzie D 90 6.60 — — — 52 50% 1 — —
D. Methalie M 78 7.70 1 — 1 19 17% 3 1 —
C. Cásseres M 90 8.00 — 2 — 46 39% 5 — —
Alexis Vossah M 82 6.30 — — — 29 29% — 1 —
A. Dønnum M 90 6.90 — — — 50 41% 2 1 —
Y. Gboho F 82 7.20 — — 2 26 22% 2 — —
S. Hidalgo F 78 6.60 — — 2 21 18% 7 — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 63 6.50 — — 2 15 12% 1 — —
Djibril Sidibé D 12 6.60 — — — 3 3% — — —
Emersonn F 27 7.50 1 — 3 3 3% — — —
Mario Sauer M 8 6.70 — — 1 6 6% — — —
Waren Kamanzi D 12 6.60 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
The final score was Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Strasbourg win, 20% to a draw, and 15% to an Toulouse win.