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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 17:15 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Strasbourg
#16 · 0 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Toulouse
#17 · 0 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Strasbourg, result Toulouse wins
S. Amo-Ameyaw (ast. I. Doukoure) 27'
43' (ast. C. Casseres) D. Methalie
84' (ast. C. Casseres) Emersonn
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Toulouse 15%). The final result was Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse. In 1 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
0.32
Actual xG
1.17
4
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
3
24
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Y. Dieme
20'
⚽S. Amo-Ameyaw · ast. I. Doukoure
27'
43'
ast. C. Casseres · D. Methalie⚽
↕ A. Ouattara / S. El Mourabet
46'
56'
D. Methalie
63'
Emersonn / J. Russell-Rowe ↕
↕ M. Amougou / D. Moreira
63'
↕ I. Doukoure / A. Omobamidele
71'
↕ Y. Dieme / J. Enciso
72'
75'
A. Vossah
78'
W. Kamanzi / D. Methalie ↕
78'
D. Sidibe / S. Hidalgo ↕
82'
I. Azizi / Y. Gboho ↕
82'
M. Sauer / A. Vossah ↕
↕ S. Nanasi / E. Emegha
82'
84'
ast. C. Casseres · Emersonn⚽
90'+7
A. Donnum
Pre-match prediction
63.79%
Strasbourg
20.46%
X
15.75%
Toulouse ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Toulouse) 15.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Strasbourg
2.67
0.32
-2.35
Toulouse
1.09
1.17
+0.08
Toulouse dominated by xG (1.17 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Auxerre Auxerre 0 0
2 Angers Angers 0 0
3 Monaco Monaco 0 0
4 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
5 Lorient Lorient 0 0
6 Le Havre Le Havre 0 0
7 Le Mans Le Mans 0 0
8 Lille Lille 0 0
9 Nice Nice 0 0
10 Lyon Lyon 0 0
11 Marseille Marseille 0 0
12 Paris FC Paris FC 0 0
13 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0 0
14 Lens Lens 0 0
15 Rennes Rennes 0 0
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 0 0
17 Toulouse Toulouse 0 0
18 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 0 0
Lineups
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-4-1-1
39
G 5.90
42 Abdoul Ouattara Abdoul Ouattara 45' D 6.50
24 Lucas Høgsberg Lucas Høgsberg D 7.20
6 I. Doukouré I. Doukouré 1 👟 71' D 7.20
8 Maxi Oyedele Maxi Oyedele D 6.90
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine M 6.50
83
M 6.70
17 Mathis Amougou Mathis Amougou 63' M 6.20
27 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 1 ⚽ M 7.90
11 S. Nanasi S. Nanasi 82' F 6.90
34 Yaya Diémé Yaya Diémé 72' F 6.20
Bench
2 Andrew Omobamidele Andrew Omobamidele 19' D 6.50
7 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira 27' F 6.60
10
E. Emegha 8' F 6.30
19 J. Enciso J. Enciso 18' M 6.50
18 Junior Mwanga Junior Mwanga M
29 Samir El Mourabet Samir El Mourabet 45' M 7.20
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 Guillaume Restes Guillaume Restes G 6.90
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen Rasmus Nicolaisen D 7.20
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell D 6.60
3 Mark McKenzie Mark McKenzie D 6.60
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.70
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 2 👟 M 8.00
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 82' M 6.30
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum M 6.90
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 82' F 7.20
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 78' F 6.60
13 Jacen Russell Rowe Jacen Russell Rowe 63' F 6.50
Bench
19 Djibril Sidibé Djibril Sidibé 12' D 6.60
20 Emersonn Emersonn 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.50
7 Julian Vignolo Julian Vignolo F
77
Mario Sauer 8' M 6.70
35 Seny Koumbassa Seny Koumbassa D
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 12' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
C. Cásseres
C. Cásseres
M · Toulouse
8.00
2 👟
· 46 pass
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
M · Strasbourg
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
D. Methalie
D. Methalie
M · Toulouse
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Emersonn
Emersonn
F · Toulouse
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 3 pass
Y. Gboho
Y. Gboho
F · Toulouse
7.20
2 shots · 26 pass
Lucas Høgsberg
Lucas Høgsberg
D · Strasbourg
7.20
· 64 pass
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.90 — — — 45 41% — — —
Abdoul Ouattara D 45 6.50 — — — 25 22% — — —
Lucas Høgsberg D 90 7.20 — — — 64 59% 3 — —
I. Doukouré D 71 7.20 — 1 — 63 60% — — —
Maxi Oyedele D 90 6.90 — — — 57 50% 6 — —
Gessime Yassine M 90 6.50 — — 1 23 15% 1 — —
M 90 6.70 — — — 43 37% 3 — —
Mathis Amougou M 63 6.20 — — 1 29 23% 3 — —
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw M 90 7.90 1 — 2 22 21% 2 — —
S. Nanasi F 82 6.90 — — — 19 14% 2 — —
Yaya Diémé F 72 6.20 — — 1 9 8% — 1 —
Andrew Omobamidele D 19 6.50 — — — 18 17% — — —
Diego Moreira F 27 6.60 — — — 13 11% — — —
E. Emegha F 8 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
J. Enciso M 18 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Samir El Mourabet M 45 7.20 — — — 33 28% 4 — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Guillaume Restes G 90 6.90 — — — 31 23% — — —
Rasmus Nicolaisen D 90 7.20 — — — 33 29% 3 — —
C. Cresswell D 90 6.60 — — 1 51 42% — — —
Mark McKenzie D 90 6.60 — — — 52 50% 1 — —
D. Methalie M 78 7.70 1 — 1 19 17% 3 1 —
C. Cásseres M 90 8.00 — 2 — 46 39% 5 — —
A. Vossah M 82 6.30 — — — 29 29% — 1 —
A. Dønnum M 90 6.90 — — — 50 41% 2 1 —
Y. Gboho F 82 7.20 — — 2 26 22% 2 — —
S. Hidalgo F 78 6.60 — — 2 21 18% 7 — —
Jacen Russell Rowe F 63 6.50 — — 2 15 12% 1 — —
Djibril Sidibé D 12 6.60 — — — 3 3% — — —
Emersonn F 27 7.50 1 — 3 3 3% — — —
Mario Sauer M 8 6.70 — — 1 6 6% — — —
Waren Kamanzi D 12 6.60 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
The final score was Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Strasbourg win, 20% to a draw, and 15% to an Toulouse win.