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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 17:15 Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Strasbourg
#16 · 7 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Toulouse
#11 · 10 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Strasbourg, result Toulouse wins
S. Amo-Ameyaw (ast. I. Doukoure) 27'
43' (ast. C. Casseres) D. Methalie
84' (ast. C. Casseres) Emersonn
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Strasbourg a 63% win probability (draw 20%, Toulouse 15%). The final result was Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse. In 1 previous meetings, Strasbourg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Toulouse.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
0.32
Actual xG
1.17
4
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
3
24
Tackles
24
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
Y. Dieme
20'
⚽S. Amo-Ameyaw · ast. I. Doukoure
27'
43'
ast. C. Casseres · D. Methalie⚽
↕ A. Ouattara / S. El Mourabet
46'
56'
D. Methalie
63'
Emersonn / J. Russell-Rowe ↕
↕ M. Amougou / D. Moreira
63'
↕ I. Doukoure / A. Omobamidele
71'
↕ Y. Dieme / J. Enciso
72'
75'
A. Vossah
78'
W. Kamanzi / D. Methalie ↕
78'
D. Sidibe / S. Hidalgo ↕
82'
I. Azizi / Y. Gboho ↕
82'
M. Sauer / A. Vossah ↕
↕ S. Nanasi / E. Emegha
82'
84'
ast. C. Casseres · Emersonn⚽
90'+7
A. Donnum
Pre-match prediction
63.79%
Strasbourg
20.46%
X
15.75%
Toulouse ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Toulouse) 15.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Strasbourg
2.67
0.32
-2.35
Toulouse
1.09
1.17
+0.08
Toulouse dominated by xG (1.17 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 8 17
2 Rennes Rennes 8 16
3 Lille Lille 8 15
4 Monaco Monaco 8 15
5 Lyon Lyon 8 14
6 Paris FC Paris FC 8 14
7 Lens Lens 8 13
8 Marseille Marseille 8 12
9 Lorient Lorient 8 12
10 Nice Nice 8 11
11 Toulouse Toulouse 8 10
12 Auxerre Auxerre 8 10
13 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 8 9
14 Angers Angers 8 8
15 Le Mans Le Mans 8 7
16 Strasbourg Strasbourg 8 7
17 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 8 5
18 Le Havre Le Havre 8 2
Lineups
Strasbourg Strasbourg 4-4-1-1
39
G 5.90
42 A. Ouattara A. Ouattara 45' D 6.50
24 L. Høgsberg L. Høgsberg D 7.20
6 I. Doukouré I. Doukouré 1 👟 71' D 7.20
8 Maxi Oyedele Maxi Oyedele D 6.90
80 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine M 6.50
83
M 6.70
17 M. Amougou M. Amougou 63' M 6.20
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw S. Amo-Ameyaw 1 ⚽ M 7.90
11 S. Nanasi S. Nanasi 82' F 6.90
34 Yaya Diémé Yaya Diémé 72' F 6.20
Bench
2 A. Omobamidele A. Omobamidele 19' D 6.50
7 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira 27' F 6.60
10 Emmanuel Emegha Emmanuel Emegha 8' F 6.30
19 J. Enciso J. Enciso 18' M 6.50
18 J. Mwanga J. Mwanga M
29 S. El Mourabet S. El Mourabet 45' M 7.20
Toulouse Toulouse 3-4-2-1
1 G. Restes G. Restes G 6.90
2 R. Nicolaisen R. Nicolaisen D 7.20
4 C. Cresswell C. Cresswell D 6.60
3 M. McKenzie M. McKenzie D 6.60
24 D. Methalie D. Methalie 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.70
23 C. Cásseres C. Cásseres 2 👟 M 8.00
45 A. Vossah A. Vossah 82' M 6.30
15 A. Dønnum A. Dønnum M 6.90
10 Y. Gboho Y. Gboho 82' F 7.20
11 S. Hidalgo S. Hidalgo 78' F 6.60
13 J. Russell-Rowe J. Russell-Rowe 63' F 6.50
Bench
19 D. Sidibé D. Sidibé 12' D 6.60
20 Emersonn Emersonn 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.50
7 Julián Vignolo Julián Vignolo F
77 M. Sauer M. Sauer 8' M 6.70
35 S. Koumbassa S. Koumbassa D
12 Waren Kamanzi Waren Kamanzi 12' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
C. Cásseres
C. Cásseres
M · Toulouse
8.00
2 👟
· 46 pass
S. Amo-Ameyaw
S. Amo-Ameyaw
M · Strasbourg
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
D. Methalie
D. Methalie
M · Toulouse
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Emersonn
Emersonn
F · Toulouse
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 3 pass
Y. Gboho
Y. Gboho
F · Toulouse
7.20
2 shots · 26 pass
L. Høgsberg
L. Høgsberg
D · Strasbourg
7.20
· 64 pass
Strasbourg Strasbourg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.90 — — — 45 41% — — —
A. Ouattara D 45 6.50 — — — 25 22% — — —
L. Høgsberg D 90 7.20 — — — 64 59% 3 — —
I. Doukouré D 71 7.20 — 1 — 63 60% — — —
Maxi Oyedele D 90 6.90 — — — 57 50% 6 — —
Gessime Yassine M 90 6.50 — — 1 23 15% 1 — —
M 90 6.70 — — — 43 37% 3 — —
M. Amougou M 63 6.20 — — 1 29 23% 3 — —
S. Amo-Ameyaw M 90 7.90 1 — 2 22 21% 2 — —
S. Nanasi F 82 6.90 — — — 19 14% 2 — —
Yaya Diémé F 72 6.20 — — 1 9 8% — 1 —
A. Omobamidele D 19 6.50 — — — 18 17% — — —
Diego Moreira F 27 6.60 — — — 13 11% — — —
Emmanuel Emegha F 8 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
J. Enciso M 18 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
S. El Mourabet M 45 7.20 — — — 33 28% 4 — —
Toulouse Toulouse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Restes G 90 6.90 — — — 31 23% — — —
R. Nicolaisen D 90 7.20 — — — 33 29% 3 — —
C. Cresswell D 90 6.60 — — 1 51 42% — — —
M. McKenzie D 90 6.60 — — — 52 50% 1 — —
D. Methalie M 78 7.70 1 — 1 19 17% 3 1 —
C. Cásseres M 90 8.00 — 2 — 46 39% 5 — —
A. Vossah M 82 6.30 — — — 29 29% — 1 —
A. Dønnum M 90 6.90 — — — 50 41% 2 1 —
Y. Gboho F 82 7.20 — — 2 26 22% 2 — —
S. Hidalgo F 78 6.60 — — 2 21 18% 7 — —
J. Russell-Rowe F 63 6.50 — — 2 15 12% 1 — —
D. Sidibé D 12 6.60 — — — 3 3% — — —
Emersonn F 27 7.50 1 — 3 3 3% — — —
M. Sauer M 8 6.70 — — 1 6 6% — — —
Waren Kamanzi D 12 6.60 — — — 5 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
The final score was Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse.
What did the model predict before Strasbourg vs Toulouse?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Strasbourg win, 20% to a draw, and 15% to an Toulouse win.