← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 36 April 25, 2026 15:00
Sudtirol
#16 · 41 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Mantova
#9 · 46 pts
35' (ast. F. Benaissa-Yahia) S. Trimboli
41' (ast. A. Castellini) T. Marras
83' D. Wieser

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sudtirol a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Mantova 31%). The final result was Sudtirol 0–3 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Sudtirol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
0
Shots on target
5
0.86
Actual xG
0.77
2
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
2
7
Tackles
4
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
ast. F. Benaissa-Yahia · S. Trimboli⚽
A. Masiello
41'
41'
ast. A. Castellini · T. Marras⚽
↕ R. Tonin / S. Merkaj
46'
↕ R. Odogwu / E. Pecorino
46'
↕ A. Masiello / H. El Kaouakibi
56'
↕ J. Martini / M. R. Frigerio
56'
63'
C. Falletti / F. Ruocco ↕
63'
N. Radaelli / F. Benaissa-Yahia ↕
S. Merkaj
70'
72'
D. Wieser / R. Kouda ↕
72'
F. Paoletti / A. Castellini ↕
↕ F. Tait / D. Crnigoj
72'
82'
N. Buso / L. Mancuso ↕
83'
D. Wieser⚽
84'
D. Wieser
Pre-match prediction
36.98%
Sudtirol
31.53%
X
31.49%
Mantova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 31.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sudtirol
1.20
0.86
-0.34
Mantova
1.21
0.77
-0.44
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.77). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Sudtirol Sudtirol 3-5-1-1
31
89' G 5.90
5
A. Masiello 56' D 5.90
19
N. Pietrangeli 89' D 6.00
34
F. Veseli 89' D 5.90
24
S. Davi 89' M 6.50
17 D. Casiraghi D. Casiraghi 89' M 6.60
6
J. Martini 56' M 6.50
21
F. Tait 72' M 6.50
79
S. Molina 89' M 7.50
11
R. Tonin 45' F 6.50
90
R. Odogwu 45' F 6.30
Bench
89
D. Crnigoj 17' M 6.30
9 E. Pecorino E. Pecorino 44' F 6.90
23
F. Davi D
94
H. El Kaouakibi 33' D 6.30
26
M. R. Frigerio 33' M 6.90
33 S. Merkaj S. Merkaj 44' F 6.30
18
S. Tronchin M
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
24
89' G 6.30
27
A. Castellini 1 👟 89' D 6.90
29
S. Cella 89' D 6.90
3
A. Dembele 89' D 6.90
50
F. Benaissa-Yahia 1 👟 63' M 6.60
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30
80
Rachid Kouda 72' M 6.90
96
T. Maggioni 89' M 6.70
19
F. Ruocco 63' F 6.50
23
T. Marras 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.30
9
L. Mancuso 82' F 6.30
Bench
30
D. Bragantini F
10
D. Wieser 1 ⚽ 17' M 7.60
36
F. Paoletti 17' M 6.50
77
N. Buso 7' F
17 N. Radaelli N. Radaelli 26' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
D. Wieser
M · Mantova
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
S. Molina
M · Sudtirol
7.50
· 29 pass
S. Trimboli
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 67 pass
T. Marras
F · Mantova
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
E. Pecorino
E. Pecorino
F · Sudtirol
6.90
· 10 pass
Rachid Kouda
M · Mantova
6.90
1 shots · 43 pass
Sudtirol Sudtirol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 5.90 — — — 36 26% — — —
A. Masiello D 56 5.90 — — — 17 10% — 1 —
N. Pietrangeli D 89 6.00 — — — 19 12% 1 — —
F. Veseli D 89 5.90 — — — 24 18% 1 — —
S. Davi M 89 6.50 — — 1 32 22% — — —
D. Casiraghi M 89 6.60 — — 1 32 24% — — —
J. Martini M 56 6.50 — — — 13 9% 2 — —
F. Tait M 72 6.50 — — 1 15 12% 1 — —
S. Molina M 89 7.50 — — — 29 19% 1 — —
R. Tonin F 45 6.50 — — — 11 4% — — —
R. Odogwu F 45 6.30 — — — 6 2% — — —
D. Crnigoj M 17 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
E. Pecorino F 44 6.90 — — — 10 6% — — —
H. El Kaouakibi D 33 6.30 — — — 28 22% — — —
M. R. Frigerio M 33 6.90 — — 1 14 13% 1 — —
S. Merkaj F 44 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — 1 —
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 6.30 — — — 46 26% — — —
A. Castellini D 89 6.90 — 1 — 64 50% 2 — —
S. Cella D 89 6.90 — — — 36 33% — — —
A. Dembele D 89 6.90 — — — 67 57% — — —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 63 6.60 — 1 — 28 23% — — —
S. Trimboli M 89 7.30 1 — 2 67 59% — — —
Rachid Kouda M 72 6.90 — — 1 43 34% 1 — —
T. Maggioni M 89 6.70 — — 1 56 48% — — —
F. Ruocco F 63 6.50 — — — 28 26% — — —
T. Marras F 72 7.30 1 — 3 19 15% 1 — —
L. Mancuso F 82 6.30 — — 1 20 18% — — —
D. Wieser M 17 7.60 1 — 1 3 2% — 1 —
F. Paoletti M 17 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
N. Buso F 7 — — — — — — — — —
N. Radaelli D 26 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudtirol vs Mantova?
The final score was Sudtirol 0–3 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Sudtirol vs Mantova?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sudtirol win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Mantova win.