Serie B
· Regular Season - 36
April 25, 2026 15:00
35'
(ast. F. Benaissa-Yahia)
S. Trimboli
41'
(ast. A. Castellini)
T. Marras
83'
D. Wieser
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sudtirol a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Mantova 31%). The final result was Sudtirol 0–3 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Sudtirol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
0
Shots on target
5
0.86
Actual xG
0.77
2
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
2
7
Tackles
4
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
ast. F. Benaissa-Yahia ·
S. Trimboli⚽
A. Masiello
41'
41'
ast. A. Castellini ·
T. Marras⚽
R. Tonin
/ S. Merkaj
46'
R. Odogwu
/ E. Pecorino
46'
A. Masiello
/ H. El Kaouakibi
56'
J. Martini
/ M. R. Frigerio
56'
63'
C. Falletti
/
F. Ruocco
63'
N. Radaelli
/
F. Benaissa-Yahia
S. Merkaj
70'
72'
D. Wieser
/
R. Kouda
72'
F. Paoletti
/
A. Castellini
F. Tait
/ D. Crnigoj
72'
82'
N. Buso
/
L. Mancuso
83'
D. Wieser⚽
84'
D. Wieser
Pre-match prediction
36.98%
Sudtirol
31.53%
X
31.49%
Mantova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova)
31.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.20
0.86
-0.34
1.21
0.77
-0.44
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.77).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
89'
G
5
A. Masiello
56'
D
19
Nicola Pietrangeli
89'
D
Nicola Pietrangeli
89'
D
34
Frédéric Veseli
89'
D
Frédéric Veseli
89'
D
24
Simone Davì
89'
M
Simone Davì
89'
M
17
D. Casiraghi
89'
M
D. Casiraghi
89'
M
6
Jacopo Martini
56'
M
Jacopo Martini
56'
M
21
Fabien Tait
72'
M
Fabien Tait
72'
M
79
Salvatore Molina
89'
M
Salvatore Molina
89'
M
11
Riccardo Tonin
45'
F
Riccardo Tonin
45'
F
90
Raphael Odogwu
45'
F
Raphael Odogwu
45'
F
Bench
89
Domen Črnigoj
17'
M
Domen Črnigoj
17'
M
9
E. Pecorino
44'
F
E. Pecorino
44'
F
23
Federico Davi
D
Federico Davi
D
94
Hamza El Kaouakibi
33'
D
Hamza El Kaouakibi
33'
D
26
Marco Romano Frigerio
33'
M
Marco Romano Frigerio
33'
M
33
S. Merkaj
44'
F
S. Merkaj
44'
F
18
S. Tronchin
M
S. Tronchin
M
24
89'
G
27
A. Castellini
1 👟
89'
D
29
S. Cella
89'
D
3
A. Dembele
89'
D
50
F. Benaissa-Yahia
1 👟
63'
M
21
S. Trimboli
1 ⚽
89'
M
S. Trimboli
1 ⚽
89'
M
80
R. Kouda
72'
M
R. Kouda
72'
M
96
T. Maggioni
89'
M
19
F. Ruocco
63'
F
23
T. Marras
1 ⚽
72'
F
9
L. Mancuso
82'
F
Bench
30
D. Bragantini
F
10
D. Wieser
1 ⚽
17'
M
36
F. Paoletti
17'
M
77
N. Buso
7'
F
17
N. Radaelli
26'
D
N. Radaelli
26'
D
Best on the pitch
D. Wieser
M · Mantova
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Salvatore Molina
M · Sudtirol
7.50
· 29 pass
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 67 pass
T. Marras
F · Mantova
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
E. Pecorino
F · Sudtirol
6.90
· 10 pass
R. Kouda
M · Mantova
6.90
1 shots
· 43 pass
Sudtirol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| A. Masiello | D | 56 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicola Pietrangeli | D | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Frédéric Veseli | D | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Simone Davì | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D. Casiraghi | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Jacopo Martini | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Fabien Tait | M | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Salvatore Molina | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Riccardo Tonin | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Raphael Odogwu | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Domen Črnigoj | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| E. Pecorino | F | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Hamza El Kaouakibi | D | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Marco Romano Frigerio | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Merkaj | F | 44 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Mantova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| A. Castellini | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 64 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Cella | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| A. Dembele | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | — | — | — |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| S. Trimboli | M | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 67 | 59% | — | — | — |
| R. Kouda | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Maggioni | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 48% | — | — | — |
| F. Ruocco | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| T. Marras | F | 72 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Mancuso | F | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. Wieser | M | 17 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Paoletti | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Buso | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Radaelli | D | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudtirol vs Mantova?
The final score was Sudtirol 0–3 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Sudtirol vs Mantova?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sudtirol win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Mantova win.