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← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 36 April 25, 2026 15:00
Sudtirol
#2 · 11 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Mantova
#3 · 11 pts
35' (ast. F. Benaissa-Yahia) S. Trimboli
41' (ast. A. Castellini) T. Marras
83' D. Wieser
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sudtirol a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Mantova 31%). The final result was Sudtirol 0–3 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Sudtirol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
9
0
Shots on target
5
0.86
Actual xG
0.77
2
Saves
0
39%
Possession
61%
2
Corners
2
7
Tackles
4
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
ast. F. Benaissa-Yahia · S. Trimboli⚽
A. Masiello
41'
41'
ast. A. Castellini · T. Marras⚽
↕ R. Tonin / S. Merkaj
46'
↕ R. Odogwu / E. Pecorino
46'
↕ A. Masiello / H. El Kaouakibi
56'
↕ J. Martini / M. R. Frigerio
56'
63'
C. Falletti / F. Ruocco ↕
63'
N. Radaelli / F. Benaissa-Yahia ↕
S. Merkaj
70'
72'
D. Wieser / R. Kouda ↕
72'
F. Paoletti / A. Castellini ↕
↕ F. Tait / D. Crnigoj
72'
82'
N. Buso / L. Mancuso ↕
83'
D. Wieser⚽
84'
D. Wieser
Pre-match prediction
36.98%
Sudtirol
31.53%
X
31.49%
Mantova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova) 31.49% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Sudtirol
1.20
0.86
-0.34
Mantova
1.21
0.77
-0.44
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.77). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 5 13
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 5 11
3 Mantova Mantova 5 11
4 Modena Modena 5 10
5 Ascoli Ascoli 5 10
6 Padova Padova 5 7
7 Benevento Benevento 5 7
8 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 5 7
9 Avellino Avellino 5 7
10 Cesena Cesena 5 7
11 Pisa Pisa 5 7
12 Arezzo Arezzo 5 6
13 Empoli Empoli 5 6
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 5 5
15 Cremonese Cremonese 5 5
16 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 5 5
17 Sampdoria Sampdoria 5 4
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 5 3
19 Catanzaro Catanzaro 5 3
20 Carrarese Carrarese 5 1
Lineups
Sudtirol Sudtirol 3-5-1-1
31
89' G 5.90
5
A. Masiello 56' D 5.90
19 N. Pietrangeli N. Pietrangeli 89' D 6.00
34 Frédéric Veseli Frédéric Veseli 89' D 5.90
24 S. Davì S. Davì 89' M 6.50
17 D. Casiraghi D. Casiraghi 89' M 6.60
6 J. Martini J. Martini 56' M 6.50
21 F. Tait F. Tait 72' M 6.50
79 S. Molina S. Molina 89' M 7.50
11 Riccardo Tonin Riccardo Tonin 45' F 6.50
90 Raphael Odogwu Raphael Odogwu 45' F 6.30
Bench
89 Domen Črnigoj Domen Črnigoj 17' M 6.30
9 E. Pecorino E. Pecorino 44' F 6.90
23 F. Davi F. Davi D
94 Hamza El Kaouakibi Hamza El Kaouakibi 33' D 6.30
26 Marco Romano Frigerio Marco Romano Frigerio 33' M 6.90
33 S. Merkaj S. Merkaj 44' F 6.30
18 S. Tronchin S. Tronchin M
Mantova Mantova 3-4-2-1
24
89' G 6.30
27 A. Castellini A. Castellini 1 👟 89' D 6.90
29 S. Cella S. Cella 89' D 6.90
3 Ali Dembélé Ali Dembélé 89' D 6.90
50 F. Benaissa-Yahia F. Benaissa-Yahia 1 👟 63' M 6.60
21 S. Trimboli S. Trimboli 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.30
80 R. Kouda R. Kouda 72' M 6.90
96 T. Maggioni T. Maggioni 89' M 6.70
19 F. Ruocco F. Ruocco 63' F 6.50
23 Tommaso Marras Tommaso Marras 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.30
9 L. Mancuso L. Mancuso 82' F 6.30
Bench
30 D. Bragantini D. Bragantini F
10 D. Wieser D. Wieser 1 ⚽ 17' M 7.60
36 F. Paoletti F. Paoletti 17' M 6.50
77 N. Buso N. Buso 7' F
17 N. Radaelli N. Radaelli 26' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
D. Wieser
D. Wieser
M · Mantova
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
S. Molina
S. Molina
M · Sudtirol
7.50
· 29 pass
S. Trimboli
S. Trimboli
M · Mantova
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 67 pass
Tommaso Marras
Tommaso Marras
F · Mantova
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 19 pass
E. Pecorino
E. Pecorino
F · Sudtirol
6.90
· 10 pass
R. Kouda
R. Kouda
M · Mantova
6.90
1 shots · 43 pass
Sudtirol Sudtirol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 5.90 — — — 36 26% — — —
A. Masiello D 56 5.90 — — — 17 10% — 1 —
N. Pietrangeli D 89 6.00 — — — 19 12% 1 — —
Frédéric Veseli D 89 5.90 — — — 24 18% 1 — —
S. Davì M 89 6.50 — — 1 32 22% — — —
D. Casiraghi M 89 6.60 — — 1 32 24% — — —
J. Martini M 56 6.50 — — — 13 9% 2 — —
F. Tait M 72 6.50 — — 1 15 12% 1 — —
S. Molina M 89 7.50 — — — 29 19% 1 — —
Riccardo Tonin F 45 6.50 — — — 11 4% — — —
Raphael Odogwu F 45 6.30 — — — 6 2% — — —
Domen Črnigoj M 17 6.30 — — — 4 2% — — —
E. Pecorino F 44 6.90 — — — 10 6% — — —
Hamza El Kaouakibi D 33 6.30 — — — 28 22% — — —
Marco Romano Frigerio M 33 6.90 — — 1 14 13% 1 — —
S. Merkaj F 44 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — 1 —
Mantova Mantova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 6.30 — — — 46 26% — — —
A. Castellini D 89 6.90 — 1 — 64 50% 2 — —
S. Cella D 89 6.90 — — — 36 33% — — —
Ali Dembélé D 89 6.90 — — — 67 57% — — —
F. Benaissa-Yahia M 63 6.60 — 1 — 28 23% — — —
S. Trimboli M 89 7.30 1 — 2 67 59% — — —
R. Kouda M 72 6.90 — — 1 43 34% 1 — —
T. Maggioni M 89 6.70 — — 1 56 48% — — —
F. Ruocco F 63 6.50 — — — 28 26% — — —
Tommaso Marras F 72 7.30 1 — 3 19 15% 1 — —
L. Mancuso F 82 6.30 — — 1 20 18% — — —
D. Wieser M 17 7.60 1 — 1 3 2% — 1 —
F. Paoletti M 17 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
N. Buso F 7 — — — — — — — — —
N. Radaelli D 26 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Sudtirol vs Mantova?
The final score was Sudtirol 0–3 Mantova.
What did the model predict before Sudtirol vs Mantova?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Sudtirol win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Mantova win.