Canadian Premier League
· Group Stage
April 25, 2026 03:00
M. Chretien
(ast. C. Auguste)
26'
S. Mlah
(ast. S. Rea)
77'
(pen.)
12'
I. Johnston
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Supra du Quebec a 34% win probability (draw 32%, HFX Wanderers FC 33%). The final result was Supra du Quebec 2–1 HFX Wanderers FC.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
2
1.14
Actual xG
1.43
63%
Possession
37%
10
Corners
5
Match Events
12'
(pen.)
I. Johnston⚽
17'
S. Zitman
⚽M. Chretien
· ast. C. Auguste
26'
I. Yeo
/ K. Ferdinand
38'
45'+5
I. Johnston
D. Abzi
48'
55'
A. Biello
57'
A. Biello
/ S. Mlah
63'
C. Calaidjoglu
/ A. Sissoko
63'
65'
J. Bahamboula
/
M. Arilla
72'
A. Rampersad
/
I. Johnston
⚽S. Mlah
· ast. S. Rea
77'
84'
T. Ciccarelli
/
M. Godinho
84'
Y. Bai
/
L. Olguin
S. Mlah
86'
R. Bey
/ B. Kabore
90'
D. Choiniere
/ Y. W. Wandje Djomze
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.48%
Supra ←
32.27%
X
33.25%
HFX
we assigned to the actual result (Supra du Quebec)
34.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
1.14
-0.35
1.18
1.43
+0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 1.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The final score was Supra du Quebec 2–1 HFX Wanderers FC.
What did the model predict before Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Supra du Quebec win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an HFX Wanderers FC win.