Canadian Premier League · Group Stage April 25, 2026 01:00

Supra du Quebec

#6 · 25 pts

2 – 1

Final score

HFX Wanderers FC

#5 · 26 pts

M. Chretien (ast. C. Auguste) 26'

S. Mlah (ast. S. Rea) 77'

(pen.) 12' I. Johnston

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Supra du Quebec a 34% win probability (draw 32%, HFX Wanderers FC 33%). The final result was Supra du Quebec 2–1 HFX Wanderers FC. In 2 previous meetings, Supra du Quebec have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for HFX Wanderers FC.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

1.14

Actual xG

1.43

63%

Possession

37%

10

Corners

5

Match Events

12'

(pen.) I. Johnston⚽

17'

S. Zitman

⚽M. Chretien · ast. C. Auguste

26'

↕ I. Yeo / K. Ferdinand

38'

45'+5

I. Johnston

D. Abzi

48'

55'

A. Biello

57'

↕ A. Biello / S. Mlah

63'

↕ C. Calaidjoglu / A. Sissoko

63'

65'

J. Bahamboula / M. Arilla ↕

72'

A. Rampersad / I. Johnston ↕

⚽S. Mlah · ast. S. Rea

77'

84'

T. Ciccarelli / M. Godinho ↕

84'

Y. Bai / L. Olguin ↕

S. Mlah

86'

↕ R. Bey / B. Kabore

90'

↕ D. Choiniere / Y. W. Wandje Djomze

90'

Pre-match prediction

34.48%

Supra ←

32.27%

X

33.25%

HFX

we assigned to the actual result (Supra du Quebec) 34.48% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Supra

1.48

1.14

-0.35

HFX

1.18

1.43

+0.25

xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 1.43). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	24	53
2	Forge	23	47
3	Atlético Ottawa	25	40
4	Vancouver FC	25	33
5	HFX Wanderers FC	24	26
6	Supra du Quebec	23	25
7	York United	23	24
8	Pacific FC	23	14