2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 14:00

SV Elversberg

#2 · 59 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Arminia Bielefeld

#16 · 36 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 49% win probability (draw 29%, Arminia Bielefeld 20%). The final result was SV Elversberg 3–1 Arminia Bielefeld. In 1 previous meetings, SV Elversberg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arminia Bielefeld.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

2

3.28

Actual xG

0.44

58%

Possession

42%

9

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

49.47%

SV ←

29.61%

X

20.92%

Arminia

we assigned to the actual result (SV Elversberg) 49.47% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SV

1.26

3.28

+2.02

Arminia

0.89

0.44

-0.45

SV Elversberg dominated by xG (3.28 vs 0.44). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	33	67
2	SV Elversberg	33	59
3	Hannover 96	33	59
4	SC Paderborn 07	33	59
5	SV Darmstadt 98	33	52
6	Hertha BSC	33	51
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	33	49
8	1. FC Nürnberg	33	45
9	Karlsruher SC	33	44
10	VfL Bochum	33	41
11	Holstein Kiel	33	41
12	1. FC Magdeburg	33	39
13	Dynamo Dresden	33	38
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	33	37
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	33	37
16	Arminia Bielefeld	33	36
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	33	34
18	Preußen Münster	33	30