2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 13:00 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV Elversberg

3 – 1

Final score

Arminia Bielefeld

#13 · 5 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 49% win probability (draw 29%, Arminia Bielefeld 20%). The final result was SV Elversberg 3–1 Arminia Bielefeld. In 1 previous meetings, SV Elversberg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arminia Bielefeld.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

2

3.28

Actual xG

0.44

58%

Possession

42%

9

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

49.47%

SV ←

29.61%

X

20.92%

Arminia

we assigned to the actual result (SV Elversberg) 49.47% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

SV

1.26

3.28

+2.02

Arminia

0.89

0.44

-0.45

SV Elversberg dominated by xG (3.28 vs 0.44). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	6	18
2	1. FC Nürnberg	6	16
3	1. FC Heidenheim	6	13
4	VfL Wolfsburg	6	11
5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	6	11
6	1. FC Magdeburg	6	10
7	Energie Cottbus	6	8
8	FC St. Pauli	6	7
9	VfL Bochum	6	7
10	Hannover 96	6	7
11	VfL Osnabrück	6	7
12	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	6	6
13	Arminia Bielefeld	6	5
14	Karlsruher SC	6	5
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	6	4
16	Holstein Kiel	6	4
17	Dynamo Dresden	6	4
18	SV Darmstadt 98	6	4