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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 13:00 Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
SV Elversberg
3 – 1
Final score
Arminia Bielefeld
#6 · 17 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave SV Elversberg a 49% win probability (draw 29%, Arminia Bielefeld 20%). The final result was SV Elversberg 3–1 Arminia Bielefeld. In 1 previous meetings, SV Elversberg have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Arminia Bielefeld.

Match statistics
10
Shots on target
2
3.28
Actual xG
0.44
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
49.47%
SV ←
29.61%
X
20.92%
Arminia
we assigned to the actual result (SV Elversberg) 49.47% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
SV
1.26
3.28
+2.02
Arminia
0.89
0.44
-0.45
SV Elversberg dominated by xG (3.28 vs 0.44). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 11 31
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 11 24
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 11 21
4 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 11 20
5 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 11 19
6 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 11 17
7 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 11 16
8 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 11 14
9 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 11 12
10 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 11 12
11 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 11 12
12 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 11 11
13 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 11 11
14 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 11 11
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 11 11
16 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 11 11
17 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 11 9
18 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 11 8
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of SV Elversberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The final score was SV Elversberg 3–1 Arminia Bielefeld.
What did the model predict before SV Elversberg vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The model assigned 49% probability to a SV Elversberg win, 29% to a draw, and 20% to an Arminia Bielefeld win.