← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30
Swansea
#11 · 64 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Charlton
#19 · 53 pts
A. Idah (ast. J. Key) 74'
A. Idah (ast. T. Woodward) 82'
L. Walta 88'
79' (ast. S. Carey) M. Leaburn

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Swansea a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Charlton 26%). The final result was Swansea 3–1 Charlton. In 1 previous meetings, Swansea have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Charlton.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
1.03
Actual xG
0.89
2
Saves
5
71%
Possession
29%
10
Corners
4
7
Tackles
10
Match Events
↕ M. Widell / L. Walta
36'
↕ M. Stamenic / J. Fulton
46'
60'
J. Rankin-Costello / J. Fevrier ↕
60'
M. Leaburn / R. Burke ↕
61'
S. Carey / C. Coady ↕
↕ L. Cullen / A. Idah
65'
⚽A. Idah · ast. J. Key
74'
75'
L. Berry / H. Knibbs ↕
↕ Z. Vipotnik / T. Woodward
77'
↕ J. Key / J. Ward
78'
78'
C. Kelman / L. Dykes ↕
79'
ast. S. Carey · M. Leaburn⚽
⚽A. Idah · ast. T. Woodward
82'
⚽L. Walta
88'
Pre-match prediction
49.55%
Swansea ←
24.09%
X
26.36%
Charlton
we assigned to the actual result (Swansea) 49.55% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Swansea
1.65
1.03
-0.62
Charlton
1.23
0.89
-0.34
xG dominance was balanced (1.03 – 0.89). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Swansea Swansea 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
14 J. Tymon J. Tymon D 6.60
15
D 7.30
5
B. Cabango D 6.30
2
J. Key 1 👟 78' D 7.50
6 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić 45' M 7.20
17
G. Franco M 6.60
7
M. Widell 36' M 6.90
20
L. Cullen 65' M 6.30
35
Ronald M 6.30
9 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 77' F 6.50
Bench
33
A. Idah 2 ⚽ 32' F 8.60
4
J. Fulton 52' M 6.90
25
J. Ward 19' D 6.20
21
L. Walta 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.90
8
Malick Yalcouyé M
Charlton Charlton 3-4-2-1
1
T. Kaminski G 6.90
3
M. Gillesphey D 6.70
5
L. Jones D 6.60
32
R. Burke 60' D 6.60
19
L. Chambers M 6.90
6
C. Coventry M 6.90
15
C. Coady 61' M 6.70
44
Harry Clarke M 6.20
77
J. Fevrier 60' F 6.30
41
H. Knibbs 75' F 6.20
99
L. Dykes 78' F 6.30
Bench
23
C. Kelman 19' F 6.60
26
J. Rankin-Costello 37' M 6.30
2
Kayne Ramsay D
11
M. Leaburn 1 ⚽ 37' F 7.60
14
S. Carey 1 👟 36' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
A. Idah
F · Swansea
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
L. Walta
M · Swansea
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
M. Leaburn
F · Charlton
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 9 pass
J. Key
D · Swansea
7.50
1 👟
· 54 pass
D · Swansea
7.30
1 shots · 113 pass
M. Stamenić
M. Stamenić
M · Swansea
7.20
· 59 pass
Swansea Swansea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.30 — — — 30 20% — — —
J. Tymon D 97 6.60 — — 1 39 35% — — —
D 97 7.30 — — 1 113 98% — — —
B. Cabango D 97 6.30 — — — 94 84% — — —
J. Key D 78 7.50 — 1 — 54 48% — — —
M. Stamenić M 45 7.20 — — — 59 54% — — —
G. Franco M 97 6.60 — — 2 47 42% 4 — —
M. Widell M 36 6.90 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
L. Cullen M 65 6.30 — — 1 29 27% — — —
Ronald M 97 6.30 — — 2 26 20% — — —
Z. Vipotnik F 77 6.50 — — 1 11 10% — — —
A. Idah F 32 8.60 2 — 3 12 10% — — —
J. Fulton M 52 6.90 — — 1 43 39% 1 — —
J. Ward D 19 6.20 — — — 6 3% 1 — —
L. Walta M 61 7.90 1 — 2 37 35% — — —
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Kaminski G 97 6.90 — — — 28 19% — — —
M. Gillesphey D 97 6.70 — — — 26 21% 3 — —
L. Jones D 97 6.60 — — — 26 19% — — —
R. Burke D 60 6.60 — — — 19 7% — — —
L. Chambers M 97 6.90 — — — 23 18% — — —
C. Coventry M 97 6.90 — — — 25 17% 4 — —
C. Coady M 61 6.70 — — — 13 7% — — —
Harry Clarke M 97 6.20 — — — 17 12% — — —
J. Fevrier F 60 6.30 — — 2 4 3% — — —
H. Knibbs F 75 6.20 — — — 10 6% 1 — —
L. Dykes F 78 6.30 — — — 17 12% 1 — —
C. Kelman F 19 6.60 — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Rankin-Costello M 37 6.30 — — 1 6 6% — — —
M. Leaburn F 37 7.60 1 — 3 9 6% 1 — —
S. Carey M 36 6.30 — 1 1 11 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swansea vs Charlton?
The final score was Swansea 3–1 Charlton.
What did the model predict before Swansea vs Charlton?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Swansea win, 24% to a draw, and 26% to an Charlton win.