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Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30
Swansea
#1 · 17 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Charlton
#9 · 12 pts
A. Idah (ast. J. Key) 74'
A. Idah (ast. T. Woodward) 82'
L. Walta 88'
79' (ast. S. Carey) M. Leaburn
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Swansea a 49% win probability (draw 24%, Charlton 26%). The final result was Swansea 3–1 Charlton. In 1 previous meetings, Swansea have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Charlton.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
1.03
Actual xG
0.89
2
Saves
5
71%
Possession
29%
10
Corners
4
7
Tackles
10
Match Events
↕ M. Widell / L. Walta
36'
↕ M. Stamenic / J. Fulton
46'
60'
J. Rankin-Costello / J. Fevrier ↕
60'
M. Leaburn / R. Burke ↕
61'
S. Carey / C. Coady ↕
↕ L. Cullen / A. Idah
65'
⚽A. Idah · ast. J. Key
74'
75'
L. Berry / H. Knibbs ↕
↕ Z. Vipotnik / T. Woodward
77'
↕ J. Key / J. Ward
78'
78'
C. Kelman / L. Dykes ↕
79'
ast. S. Carey · M. Leaburn⚽
⚽A. Idah · ast. T. Woodward
82'
⚽L. Walta
88'
Pre-match prediction
49.55%
Swansea ←
24.09%
X
26.36%
Charlton
we assigned to the actual result (Swansea) 49.55% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Swansea
1.65
1.03
-0.62
Charlton
1.23
0.89
-0.34
xG dominance was balanced (1.03 – 0.89). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea Swansea 8 17
2 West Ham West Ham 8 15
3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 8 15
4 Wolves Wolves 7 14
5 West Brom West Brom 8 14
6 QPR QPR 8 13
7 Stoke City Stoke City 8 13
8 Bristol City Bristol City 8 13
9 Charlton Charlton 8 12
10 Birmingham Birmingham 8 11
11 Millwall Millwall 8 11
12 Lincoln Lincoln 8 11
13 Southampton Southampton 8 10
14 Wrexham Wrexham 8 10
15 Bolton Bolton 8 10
16 Blackburn Blackburn 8 9
17 Norwich Norwich 8 9
18 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 8 9
19 Portsmouth Portsmouth 7 8
20 Watford Watford 8 8
21 Cardiff Cardiff 8 7
22 Derby Derby 8 5
23 Preston Preston 8 4
24 Burnley Burnley 8 4
Lineups
Swansea Swansea 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.30
14 J. Tymon J. Tymon D 6.60
15
D 7.30
5 B. Cabango B. Cabango D 6.30
2 J. Key J. Key 1 👟 78' D 7.50
6 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić 45' M 7.20
17 Gonçalo Franco Gonçalo Franco M 6.60
7 M. Widell M. Widell 36' M 6.90
20 L. Cullen L. Cullen 65' M 6.30
35 Ronald Ronald M 6.30
9 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 77' F 6.50
Bench
33 A. Idah A. Idah 2 ⚽ 32' F 8.60
4 J. Fulton J. Fulton 52' M 6.90
25
J. Ward 19' D 6.20
21 L. Walta L. Walta 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.90
8
M. Yalcouyé M
Charlton Charlton 3-4-2-1
1
Thomas Kaminski G 6.90
3 M. Gillesphey M. Gillesphey D 6.70
5 L. Jones L. Jones D 6.60
32
R. Burke 60' D 6.60
19 L. Chambers L. Chambers M 6.90
6 C. Coventry C. Coventry M 6.90
15
C. Coady 61' M 6.70
44 H. Clarke H. Clarke M 6.20
77 J. Fevrier J. Fevrier 60' F 6.30
41 H. Knibbs H. Knibbs 75' F 6.20
99 L. Dykes L. Dykes 78' F 6.30
Bench
23 C. Kelman C. Kelman 19' F 6.60
26 J. Rankin-Costello J. Rankin-Costello 37' M 6.30
2
Kayne Ramsay D
11 M. Leaburn M. Leaburn 1 ⚽ 37' F 7.60
14 S. Carey S. Carey 1 👟 36' M 6.30
Best on the pitch
A. Idah
A. Idah
F · Swansea
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
L. Walta
L. Walta
M · Swansea
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
M. Leaburn
M. Leaburn
F · Charlton
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 9 pass
J. Key
J. Key
D · Swansea
7.50
1 👟
· 54 pass
D · Swansea
7.30
1 shots · 113 pass
M. Stamenić
M. Stamenić
M · Swansea
7.20
· 59 pass
Swansea Swansea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 97 6.30 — — — 30 20% — — —
J. Tymon D 97 6.60 — — 1 39 35% — — —
D 97 7.30 — — 1 113 98% — — —
B. Cabango D 97 6.30 — — — 94 84% — — —
J. Key D 78 7.50 — 1 — 54 48% — — —
M. Stamenić M 45 7.20 — — — 59 54% — — —
Gonçalo Franco M 97 6.60 — — 2 47 42% 4 — —
M. Widell M 36 6.90 — — — 15 13% 1 — —
L. Cullen M 65 6.30 — — 1 29 27% — — —
Ronald M 97 6.30 — — 2 26 20% — — —
Z. Vipotnik F 77 6.50 — — 1 11 10% — — —
A. Idah F 32 8.60 2 — 3 12 10% — — —
J. Fulton M 52 6.90 — — 1 43 39% 1 — —
J. Ward D 19 6.20 — — — 6 3% 1 — —
L. Walta M 61 7.90 1 — 2 37 35% — — —
Charlton Charlton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Thomas Kaminski G 97 6.90 — — — 28 19% — — —
M. Gillesphey D 97 6.70 — — — 26 21% 3 — —
L. Jones D 97 6.60 — — — 26 19% — — —
R. Burke D 60 6.60 — — — 19 7% — — —
L. Chambers M 97 6.90 — — — 23 18% — — —
C. Coventry M 97 6.90 — — — 25 17% 4 — —
C. Coady M 61 6.70 — — — 13 7% — — —
H. Clarke M 97 6.20 — — — 17 12% — — —
J. Fevrier F 60 6.30 — — 2 4 3% — — —
H. Knibbs F 75 6.20 — — — 10 6% 1 — —
L. Dykes F 78 6.30 — — — 17 12% 1 — —
C. Kelman F 19 6.60 — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Rankin-Costello M 37 6.30 — — 1 6 6% — — —
M. Leaburn F 37 7.60 1 — 3 9 6% 1 — —
S. Carey M 36 6.30 — 1 1 11 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Swansea vs Charlton?
The final score was Swansea 3–1 Charlton.
What did the model predict before Swansea vs Charlton?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Swansea win, 24% to a draw, and 26% to an Charlton win.