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MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 11, 2026 21:00
Toronto FC
#10 · 14 pts
1 – 1
Final score
FC Cincinnati
#8 · 16 pts
Gilberto Flores 83' (og)
90'+2 (ast. Ayoub Jabbari) Kenji Mboma Dem

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 43% win probability (draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 28%). The final result was Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, Toronto FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
4
0.49
Actual xG
0.66
3
Saves
3
49%
Possession
51%
7
Corners
4
13
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Benjamin Kuscevic
38'
Jonathan Osorio
45'+4
58'
Bryan Ramirez
62'
Ayoub Jabbari / Tom Barlow ↕
62'
Kyle Smith / Matthew Miazga ↕
69'
Kévin Denkey
71'
Kévin Denkey
71'
Kévin Denkey
↕ Matheus Pereira / Kobe Franklin
82'
↕ Derrick Etienne Junior / Malik Henry
82'
↕ José Cifuentes / Emilio Aristizábal
82'
↕ Zane Monlouis / Lazar Stefanovic
82'
⚽Gilberto Flores (og)
83'
88'
Gerardo Valenzuela / Pavel Bucha ↕
88'
Kenji Mboma Dem / Bryan Ramirez ↕
90'+2
ast. Ayoub Jabbari · Kenji Mboma Dem⚽
90'
Obinna Nwobodo / Ender Echenique ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.58%
Toronto
28.17%
X ←
28.24%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.17% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
2.14
0.49
-1.65
FC
1.16
0.66
-0.5
xG dominance was balanced (0.49 – 0.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 3-4-2-1
1
L. Gavran G 7.00
13
Benjamin Kuscevic D 6.90
12
Zane Monlouis 82' D 7.20
22
Richie Laryea D 7.30
3
Matheus Pereira 82' M 7.20
14
A. Coello M 7.50
21
Jonathan Osorio M 7.60
11
Derrick Etienne Junior 82' M 6.30
20
D. Salloi F 6.20
8
J. Cifuentes 82' F 6.30
9
J. Sargent F 6.60
Bench
17
E. Aristizabal 8' F 6.50
19
K. Franklin 8' D 6.50
76
L. Stefanovic 8' D 6.70
71
M. Cimermancic M
78
M. Henry 8' M 6.30
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
18
G 7.70
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores 1 ⚽ D 6.30
21 Matt Miazga Matt Miazga 62' D 7.20
4 Nick Hagglund Nick Hagglund D 7.00
29 Bryan Ramirez Bryan Ramirez 88' M 6.90
11 Samuel Gidi Samuel Gidi M 7.30
20 Pavel Bucha Pavel Bucha 88' M 6.30
66 Ender Echenique Ender Echenique 89' M 6.50
10 Evander Evander F 7.00
16 Tom Barlow Tom Barlow 62' F 5.30
9 Kévin Denkey Kévin Denkey 71' F 6.00
Bench
88 Andrei Chirila Andrei Chirila D
22 Gerardo Valenzuela Gerardo Valenzuela 12' M 6.70
17 Kenji Mboma Dem Kenji Mboma Dem 1 ⚽ 12' F 7.60
24 Kyle Smith Kyle Smith 28' D 6.20
27 Tah Anunga Tah Anunga M
Best on the pitch
G · FC
7.70
· 29 pass
Kenji Mboma Dem
Kenji Mboma Dem
F · FC
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Jonathan Osorio
M · Toronto
7.60
1 shots · 57 pass
A. Coello
M · Toronto
7.50
· 48 pass
Richie Laryea
D · Toronto
7.30
· 47 pass
Samuel Gidi
Samuel Gidi
M · FC
7.30
· 47 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 7.00 — — — 19 10% — — —
Benjamin Kuscevic D 90 6.90 — — 3 43 37% 2 1 —
Zane Monlouis D 82 7.20 — — — 33 25% 2 — —
Richie Laryea D 90 7.30 — — — 47 43% 1 — —
Matheus Pereira M 82 7.20 — — 1 26 21% — — —
A. Coello M 90 7.50 — — — 48 39% 4 — —
Jonathan Osorio M 90 7.60 — — 1 57 52% 3 1 —
Derrick Etienne Junior M 82 6.30 — — 1 11 9% — — —
D. Salloi F 90 6.20 — — — 18 13% — — —
J. Cifuentes F 82 6.30 — — 1 33 18% 1 — —
J. Sargent F 90 6.60 — — — 22 15% — — —
E. Aristizabal F 8 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
K. Franklin D 8 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
L. Stefanovic D 8 6.70 — — — 7 7% — — —
M. Henry M 8 6.30 — — 1 1 — — — —
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.70 — — — 29 23% — — —
Gilberto Flores D 90 6.30 1 — — 51 41% 4 — —
Matt Miazga D 62 7.20 — — 1 38 35% — — —
Nick Hagglund D 90 7.00 — — 1 43 34% — — —
Bryan Ramirez M 88 6.90 — — — 25 21% 4 1 —
Samuel Gidi M 90 7.30 — — — 47 41% 1 — —
Pavel Bucha M 88 6.30 — — — 45 37% 2 — —
Ender Echenique M 89 6.50 — — — 26 18% 1 — —
Evander F 90 7.00 — — 1 34 28% — — —
Tom Barlow F 62 5.30 — — 1 17 14% 1 — —
Kévin Denkey F 71 6.00 — — — 20 16% — 2 1
Gerardo Valenzuela M 12 6.70 — — — — — — — —
Kenji Mboma Dem F 12 7.60 1 — 1 6 5% — — —
Kyle Smith D 28 6.20 — — — 8 5% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Toronto FC win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an FC Cincinnati win.