MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 11, 2026 19:00

Toronto FC

#13 · 29 pts

1 – 1

Final score

FC Cincinnati

#10 · 33 pts

Gilberto Flores 83' (og)

90'+2 (ast. Ayoub Jabbari) Kenji Mboma Dem

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 43% win probability (draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 28%). The final result was Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, Toronto FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

5

3

Shots on target

4

0.49

Actual xG

0.66

3

Saves

3

49%

Possession

51%

7

Corners

4

13

Tackles

14

2

🟨 Yellow cards

3

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

Benjamin Kuscevic

38'

Jonathan Osorio

45'+4

58'

Bryan Ramirez

62'

Ayoub Jabbari / Tom Barlow ↕

62'

Kyle Smith / Matthew Miazga ↕

69'

Kévin Denkey

71'

Kévin Denkey

71'

Kévin Denkey

↕ Matheus Pereira / Kobe Franklin

82'

↕ Derrick Etienne Junior / Malik Henry

82'

↕ José Cifuentes / Emilio Aristizábal

82'

↕ Zane Monlouis / Lazar Stefanovic

82'

⚽Gilberto Flores (og)

83'

88'

Gerardo Valenzuela / Pavel Bucha ↕

88'

Kenji Mboma Dem / Bryan Ramirez ↕

90'+2

ast. Ayoub Jabbari · Kenji Mboma Dem⚽

90'

Obinna Nwobodo / Ender Echenique ↕

Pre-match prediction

43.58%

Toronto

28.17%

X ←

28.24%

FC

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.17% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Toronto

2.14

0.49

-1.65

FC

1.16

0.66

-0.5

xG dominance was balanced (0.49 – 0.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	New England Revolution	27	46
3	Inter Miami	27	46
4	Charlotte	27	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	33
9	New York City FC	27	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	33
11	DC United	26	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	CF Montreal	27	24

Lineups

Toronto FC 3-4-2-1

1 L. Gavran G 7.00

13 Benjamin Kuscevic D 6.90

12 Z. Monlouis 82' D 7.20

22 Richie Laryea D 7.30

3 Matheus Pereira 82' M 7.20

14 Alonso Coello M 7.50

21 J. Osorio M 7.60

11 D. Etienne 82' M 6.30

20 D. Sallói F 6.20

8

J. Cifuentes 82' F 6.30

9 J. Sargent F 6.60

Bench

17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga 8' F 6.50

19 K. Franklin 8' D 6.50

76 L. Stefanovic 8' D 6.70

78 Malik Henry 8' M 6.30

71 Markus Cimermancic M

FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2

18

G 7.70

3 Gilberto Flores 1 ⚽ D 6.30

21 M. Miazga 62' D 7.20

4 N. Hagglund D 7.00

29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León 88' M 6.90

11 S. Gidi M 7.30

20 P. Bucha 88' M 6.30

66 E. Echenique 89' M 6.50

10 Evander F 7.00

16 T. Barlow 62' F 5.30

9 K. Denkey 71' F 6.00

Bench

88 Andrei Chirila D

27 B. Anunga M

22 G. Valenzuela 12' M 6.70

17 K. Mboma Dem 1 ⚽ 12' F 7.60

24 K. Smith 28' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

G · FC

7.70

· 29 pass

K. Mboma Dem

F · FC

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

J. Osorio

M · Toronto

7.60

1 shots · 57 pass

Alonso Coello

M · Toronto

7.50

· 48 pass

Richie Laryea

D · Toronto

7.30

· 47 pass

S. Gidi

M · FC

7.30

· 47 pass

Toronto FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
L. Gavran	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	19	10%	—	—	—
Benjamin Kuscevic	D	90	6.90	—	—	3	43	37%	2	1	—
Z. Monlouis	D	82	7.20	—	—	—	33	25%	2	—	—
Richie Laryea	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	47	43%	1	—	—
Matheus Pereira	M	82	7.20	—	—	1	26	21%	—	—	—
Alonso Coello	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	48	39%	4	—	—
J. Osorio	M	90	7.60	—	—	1	57	52%	3	1	—
D. Etienne	M	82	6.30	—	—	1	11	9%	—	—	—
D. Sallói	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	18	13%	—	—	—
J. Cifuentes	F	82	6.30	—	—	1	33	18%	1	—	—
J. Sargent	F	90	6.60	—	—	—	22	15%	—	—	—
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga	F	8	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
K. Franklin	D	8	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
L. Stefanovic	D	8	6.70	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—
Malik Henry	M	8	6.30	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—

FC Cincinnati — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	29	23%	—	—	—
Gilberto Flores	D	90	6.30	1	—	—	51	41%	4	—	—
M. Miazga	D	62	7.20	—	—	1	38	35%	—	—	—
N. Hagglund	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	43	34%	—	—	—
Bryan Josías Ramírez León	M	88	6.90	—	—	—	25	21%	4	1	—
S. Gidi	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	47	41%	1	—	—
P. Bucha	M	88	6.30	—	—	—	45	37%	2	—	—
E. Echenique	M	89	6.50	—	—	—	26	18%	1	—	—
Evander	F	90	7.00	—	—	1	34	28%	—	—	—
T. Barlow	F	62	5.30	—	—	1	17	14%	1	—	—
K. Denkey	F	71	6.00	—	—	—	20	16%	—	2	1
G. Valenzuela	M	12	6.70	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
K. Mboma Dem	F	12	7.60	1	—	1	6	5%	—	—	—
K. Smith	D	28	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	1	—	—