MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 11, 2026 19:00

Toronto FC

#12 · 16 pts

1 – 1

Final score

FC Cincinnati

#7 · 23 pts

Gilberto Flores 83' (og)

90'+2 (ast. Ayoub Jabbari) Kenji Mboma Dem

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 43% win probability (draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 28%). The final result was Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, Toronto FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

5

3

Shots on target

4

0.49

Actual xG

0.66

3

Saves

3

49%

Possession

51%

7

Corners

4

13

Tackles

14

2

🟨 Yellow cards

3

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

Benjamin Kuscevic

38'

Jonathan Osorio

45'+4

58'

Bryan Ramirez

62'

Ayoub Jabbari / Tom Barlow ↕

62'

Kyle Smith / Matthew Miazga ↕

69'

Kévin Denkey

71'

Kévin Denkey

71'

Kévin Denkey

↕ Matheus Pereira / Kobe Franklin

82'

↕ Derrick Etienne Junior / Malik Henry

82'

↕ José Cifuentes / Emilio Aristizábal

82'

↕ Zane Monlouis / Lazar Stefanovic

82'

⚽Gilberto Flores (og)

83'

88'

Gerardo Valenzuela / Pavel Bucha ↕

88'

Kenji Mboma Dem / Bryan Ramirez ↕

90'+2

ast. Ayoub Jabbari · Kenji Mboma Dem⚽

90'

Obinna Nwobodo / Ender Echenique ↕

Pre-match prediction

43.58%

Toronto

28.17%

X ←

28.24%

FC

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.17% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Toronto

2.14

0.49

-1.65

FC

1.16

0.66

-0.5

xG dominance was balanced (0.49 – 0.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	17	39
2	Inter Miami	17	37
3	New England Revolution	16	29
4	Chicago Fire	16	26
5	New York City FC	17	25
6	Charlotte	17	25
7	FC Cincinnati	17	23
8	New York Red Bulls	17	22
9	DC United	17	22
10	Orlando City SC	17	20
11	Columbus Crew	17	19
12	Toronto FC	17	16
13	CF Montreal	17	15
14	Philadelphia Union	17	13
15	Atlanta United FC	17	12

Lineups

Toronto FC 3-4-2-1

1 Luka Gavran G 7.00

13 Benjamin Kuscevic D 6.90

12 Zane Monlouis 82' D 7.20

22 Richie Laryea D 7.30

3

Matheus Pereira 82' M 7.20

14 Alonso Coello M 7.50

21 Jonathan Osorio M 7.60

11 Derrick Etienne 82' M 6.30

20 Dániel Sallói F 6.20

8

J. Cifuentes 82' F 6.30

9 Josh Sargent F 6.60

Bench

17 Emilio Aristizábal 8' F 6.50

19 Kobe Franklin 8' D 6.50

76

L. Stefanovic 8' D 6.70

78 Malik Henry 8' M 6.30

71

M. Cimermancic M

FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2

18

G 7.70

3 Gilberto Flores 1 ⚽ D 6.30

21 Matt Miazga 62' D 7.20

4 Nick Hagglund D 7.00

29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León 88' M 6.90

11 Samuel Gidi M 7.30

20 Pavel Bucha 88' M 6.30

66 E. Echenique 89' M 6.50

10 Evander F 7.00

16 Tom Barlow 62' F 5.30

9 K. Denkey 71' F 6.00

Bench

88 Andrei Chirila D

22 G. Valenzuela 12' M 6.70

17 Kenji Mboma Dem 1 ⚽ 12' F 7.60

24 K. Smith 28' D 6.20

27 Tah Anunga M

Best on the pitch

G · FC

7.70

· 29 pass

Kenji Mboma Dem

F · FC

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

Jonathan Osorio

M · Toronto

7.60

1 shots · 57 pass

Alonso Coello

M · Toronto

7.50

· 48 pass

Richie Laryea

D · Toronto

7.30

· 47 pass

Samuel Gidi

M · FC

7.30

· 47 pass

Toronto FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Luka Gavran	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	19	10%	—	—	—
Benjamin Kuscevic	D	90	6.90	—	—	3	43	37%	2	1	—
Zane Monlouis	D	82	7.20	—	—	—	33	25%	2	—	—
Richie Laryea	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	47	43%	1	—	—
Matheus Pereira	M	82	7.20	—	—	1	26	21%	—	—	—
Alonso Coello	M	90	7.50	—	—	—	48	39%	4	—	—
Jonathan Osorio	M	90	7.60	—	—	1	57	52%	3	1	—
Derrick Etienne	M	82	6.30	—	—	1	11	9%	—	—	—
Dániel Sallói	F	90	6.20	—	—	—	18	13%	—	—	—
J. Cifuentes	F	82	6.30	—	—	1	33	18%	1	—	—
Josh Sargent	F	90	6.60	—	—	—	22	15%	—	—	—
Emilio Aristizábal	F	8	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Kobe Franklin	D	8	6.50	—	—	—	3	3%	—	—	—
L. Stefanovic	D	8	6.70	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—
Malik Henry	M	8	6.30	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—

FC Cincinnati — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.70	—	—	—	29	23%	—	—	—
Gilberto Flores	D	90	6.30	1	—	—	51	41%	4	—	—
Matt Miazga	D	62	7.20	—	—	1	38	35%	—	—	—
Nick Hagglund	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	43	34%	—	—	—
Bryan Josías Ramírez León	M	88	6.90	—	—	—	25	21%	4	1	—
Samuel Gidi	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	47	41%	1	—	—
Pavel Bucha	M	88	6.30	—	—	—	45	37%	2	—	—
E. Echenique	M	89	6.50	—	—	—	26	18%	1	—	—
Evander	F	90	7.00	—	—	1	34	28%	—	—	—
Tom Barlow	F	62	5.30	—	—	1	17	14%	1	—	—
K. Denkey	F	71	6.00	—	—	—	20	16%	—	2	1
G. Valenzuela	M	12	6.70	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Kenji Mboma Dem	F	12	7.60	1	—	1	6	5%	—	—	—
K. Smith	D	28	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	1	—	—