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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 09, 2026 19:00
Toronto FC
#10 · 14 pts
2 – 4
Final score
Inter Miami
#2 · 25 pts
E. Aristizabal (ast. D. Salloi) 82'
E. Aristizabal (ast. K. Franklin) 90'
44' R. de Paul
56' (ast. L. Messi) L. Suarez
73' (ast. L. Messi) S. Reguilon
75' (ast. R. de Paul) L. Messi

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 37% win probability (draw 27%, Inter Miami 35%). The final result was Toronto FC 2–4 Inter Miami.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
7
0.99
Actual xG
1.71
2
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
44'
R. de Paul⚽
R. Edwards
51'
56'
ast. L. Messi · L. Suarez⚽
61'
L. Suarez
↕ D. Kerr / E. Aristizabal
66'
↕ M. Cimermancic / D. Etienne
66'
68'
S. Reguilon / N. Allen ↕
↕ R. Edwards / M. Chisholm
70'
73'
ast. L. Messi · S. Reguilon⚽
75'
ast. R. de Paul · L. Messi⚽
78'
P. Plambeck / T. Segovia ↕
78'
D. Ayala / Y. Bright ↕
79'
D. Pinter / L. Suarez ↕
⚽E. Aristizabal · ast. D. Salloi
82'
89'
D. Pinter
⚽E. Aristizabal · ast. K. Franklin
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.41%
Toronto
27.22%
X
35.36%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 35.36% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
1.88
0.99
-0.89
Inter
1.59
1.71
+0.12
Inter Miami dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.99). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
1
L. Gavran G 7.00
44
Raheem Edwards 70' D 6.70
12
Zane Monlouis D 5.70
25
Walker Zimmerman D 5.70
19
K. Franklin 1 👟 D 6.30
21
Jonathan Osorio M 7.30
14
A. Coello M 7.50
20
D. Salloi 1 👟 M 7.20
71
M. Cimermancic 65' M 6.00
78
M. Henry M 7.00
29
D. Kerr 65' F 6.60
Bench
11
Derrick Etienne Junior 25' F 6.20
17
E. Aristizabal 2 ⚽ 25' F 8.30
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 Dayne St. Clair Dayne St. Clair G 7.70
32
N. Allen 68' D 6.30
16 Micael Micael D 7.00
2 Gonzalo Luján Gonzalo Luján D 7.20
4 Facundo Mura Facundo Mura D 6.60
8 Telasco Segovia Telasco Segovia 78' M 6.60
42 Yannick Bright Yannick Bright 78' M 7.30
7 Rodrigo De Paul Rodrigo De Paul 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame F 6.20
9 Luis Suárez Luis Suárez 1 ⚽ 78' F 6.90
10 Lionel Messi Lionel Messi 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 9.30
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter 12' F 6.30
22 David Ayala David Ayala 12' M 5.90
41 David Ruíz David Ruíz M
24 Mateo Silvetti Mateo Silvetti F
37 Maximiliano Falcón Maximiliano Falcón D
3 Sergio Reguilón Sergio Reguilón 1 ⚽ 22' D 7.00
Best on the pitch
Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi
F · Inter
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
5 shots · 46 pass
E. Aristizabal
F · Toronto
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Rodrigo De Paul
Rodrigo De Paul
M · Inter
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 78 pass
Dayne St. Clair
Dayne St. Clair
G · Inter
7.70
· 29 pass
A. Coello
M · Toronto
7.50
1 shots · 55 pass
Yannick Bright
Yannick Bright
M · Inter
7.30
· 47 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 7.00 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
Raheem Edwards D 70 6.70 — — — 41 33% 4 1 —
Zane Monlouis D 90 5.70 — — 1 31 29% — — —
Walker Zimmerman D 90 5.70 — — 1 26 19% 2 — —
K. Franklin D 90 6.30 — 1 1 21 18% — — —
Jonathan Osorio M 90 7.30 — — — 65 59% 2 — —
A. Coello M 90 7.50 — — 1 55 48% 4 — —
D. Salloi M 90 7.20 — 1 2 31 23% — — —
M. Cimermancic M 65 6.00 — — 1 29 27% 1 — —
M. Henry M 90 7.00 — — 1 19 14% — — —
D. Kerr F 65 6.60 — — 1 8 5% 1 — —
Derrick Etienne Junior F 25 6.20 — — — 8 4% — — —
E. Aristizabal F 25 8.30 2 — 2 9 7% — — —
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Dayne St. Clair G 90 7.70 — — — 29 28% — — —
N. Allen D 68 6.30 — — — 28 25% — — —
Micael D 90 7.00 — — — 84 81% — — —
Gonzalo Luján D 90 7.20 — — — 78 70% 3 — —
Facundo Mura D 90 6.60 — — — 47 43% 1 — —
Telasco Segovia M 78 6.60 — — — 43 39% 2 — —
Yannick Bright M 78 7.30 — — — 47 39% 6 — —
Rodrigo De Paul M 90 8.20 1 1 1 78 68% — — —
G. Berterame F 90 6.20 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
Luis Suárez F 78 6.90 1 — 3 31 19% 1 1 —
Lionel Messi F 90 9.30 1 2 5 46 40% 1 — —
Daniel Pinter F 12 6.30 — — — 5 4% — 1 —
David Ayala M 12 5.90 — — — 8 8% — — —
Sergio Reguilón D 22 7.00 1 — 1 21 16% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?
The final score was Toronto FC 2–4 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Toronto FC win, 27% to a draw, and 35% to an Inter Miami win.