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MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 09, 2026 19:00
Toronto FC
#12 · 39 pts
2 – 4
Final score
Inter Miami
#2 · 59 pts
E. Aristizabal (ast. D. Salloi) 82'
E. Aristizabal (ast. K. Franklin) 90'
44' R. de Paul
56' (ast. L. Messi) L. Suarez
73' (ast. L. Messi) S. Reguilon
75' (ast. R. de Paul) L. Messi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 37% win probability (draw 27%, Inter Miami 35%). The final result was Toronto FC 2–4 Inter Miami. In 1 previous meetings, Toronto FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Inter Miami.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
7
0.99
Actual xG
1.71
2
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
44'
R. de Paul⚽
R. Edwards
51'
56'
ast. L. Messi · L. Suarez⚽
61'
L. Suarez
↕ D. Kerr / E. Aristizabal
66'
↕ M. Cimermancic / D. Etienne
66'
68'
S. Reguilon / N. Allen ↕
↕ R. Edwards / M. Chisholm
70'
73'
ast. L. Messi · S. Reguilon⚽
75'
ast. R. de Paul · L. Messi⚽
78'
P. Plambeck / T. Segovia ↕
78'
D. Ayala / Y. Bright ↕
79'
D. Pinter / L. Suarez ↕
⚽E. Aristizabal · ast. D. Salloi
82'
89'
D. Pinter
⚽E. Aristizabal · ast. K. Franklin
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.41%
Toronto
27.22%
X
35.36%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami) 35.36% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Toronto
1.88
0.99
-0.89
Inter
1.59
1.71
+0.12
Inter Miami dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.99). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 33 74
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 33 59
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 33 58
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 33 55
5 Charlotte Charlotte 33 53
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 33 47
7 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 33 46
8 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 33 44
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 33 43
10 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 33 39
11 New York City FC New York City FC 33 39
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 33 39
13 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 33 33
14 DC United DC United 33 33
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 33 26
Lineups
Toronto FC Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
1 L. Gavran L. Gavran G 7.00
44 R. Edwards R. Edwards 70' D 6.70
12 Z. Monlouis Z. Monlouis D 5.70
25 W. Zimmerman W. Zimmerman D 5.70
19 K. Franklin K. Franklin 1 👟 D 6.30
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio M 7.30
14 Alonso Coello Alonso Coello M 7.50
20 D. Sallói D. Sallói 1 👟 M 7.20
71 M. Cimermancic M. Cimermancic 65' M 6.00
78 Malik Henry Malik Henry M 7.00
29 Deandre Kerr Deandre Kerr 65' F 6.60
Bench
11 D. Etienne D. Etienne 25' F 6.20
17 Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga 2 ⚽ 25' F 8.30
Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3-3
97 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G 7.70
32 N. Allen N. Allen 68' D 6.30
16 Micael Micael D 7.00
2 G. Luján G. Luján D 7.20
4 F. Mura F. Mura D 6.60
8 T. Segovia T. Segovia 78' M 6.60
42 Y. Bright Y. Bright 78' M 7.30
7 R. De Paul R. De Paul 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20
19 G. Berterame G. Berterame F 6.20
9 L. Suárez L. Suárez 1 ⚽ 78' F 6.90
10 L. Messi L. Messi 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 9.30
Bench
56 Daniel Pinter Daniel Pinter 12' F 6.30
22 D. Ayala D. Ayala 12' M 5.90
41 D. Ruíz D. Ruíz M
24 Mateo Silvetti Mateo Silvetti F
37 M. Falcón M. Falcón D
3 Reguilón Reguilón 1 ⚽ 22' D 7.00
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
L. Messi
F · Inter
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
5 shots · 46 pass
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
F · Toronto
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
R. De Paul
R. De Paul
M · Inter
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 78 pass
D. St. Clair
D. St. Clair
G · Inter
7.70
· 29 pass
Alonso Coello
Alonso Coello
M · Toronto
7.50
1 shots · 55 pass
Y. Bright
Y. Bright
M · Inter
7.30
· 47 pass
Toronto FC Toronto FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Gavran G 90 7.00 — — — 17 9% 1 — —
R. Edwards D 70 6.70 — — — 41 33% 4 1 —
Z. Monlouis D 90 5.70 — — 1 31 29% — — —
W. Zimmerman D 90 5.70 — — 1 26 19% 2 — —
K. Franklin D 90 6.30 — 1 1 21 18% — — —
J. Osorio M 90 7.30 — — — 65 59% 2 — —
Alonso Coello M 90 7.50 — — 1 55 48% 4 — —
D. Sallói M 90 7.20 — 1 2 31 23% — — —
M. Cimermancic M 65 6.00 — — 1 29 27% 1 — —
Malik Henry M 90 7.00 — — 1 19 14% — — —
Deandre Kerr F 65 6.60 — — 1 8 5% 1 — —
D. Etienne F 25 6.20 — — — 8 4% — — —
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga F 25 8.30 2 — 2 9 7% — — —
Inter Miami Inter Miami — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. St. Clair G 90 7.70 — — — 29 28% — — —
N. Allen D 68 6.30 — — — 28 25% — — —
Micael D 90 7.00 — — — 84 81% — — —
G. Luján D 90 7.20 — — — 78 70% 3 — —
F. Mura D 90 6.60 — — — 47 43% 1 — —
T. Segovia M 78 6.60 — — — 43 39% 2 — —
Y. Bright M 78 7.30 — — — 47 39% 6 — —
R. De Paul M 90 8.20 1 1 1 78 68% — — —
G. Berterame F 90 6.20 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
L. Suárez F 78 6.90 1 — 3 31 19% 1 1 —
L. Messi F 90 9.30 1 2 5 46 40% 1 — —
Daniel Pinter F 12 6.30 — — — 5 4% — 1 —
D. Ayala M 12 5.90 — — — 8 8% — — —
Reguilón D 22 7.00 1 — 1 21 16% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?
The final score was Toronto FC 2–4 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Toronto FC win, 27% to a draw, and 35% to an Inter Miami win.