MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 09, 2026 19:00
E. Aristizabal
(ast. D. Salloi)
82'
E. Aristizabal
(ast. K. Franklin)
90'
44'
R. de Paul
56'
(ast. L. Messi)
L. Suarez
73'
(ast. L. Messi)
S. Reguilon
75'
(ast. R. de Paul)
L. Messi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toronto FC a 37% win probability (draw 27%, Inter Miami 35%). The final result was Toronto FC 2–4 Inter Miami.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
7
0.99
Actual xG
1.71
2
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
44'
R. de Paul⚽
R. Edwards
51'
56'
ast. L. Messi ·
L. Suarez⚽
61'
L. Suarez
D. Kerr
/ E. Aristizabal
66'
M. Cimermancic
/ D. Etienne
66'
68'
S. Reguilon
/
N. Allen
R. Edwards
/ M. Chisholm
70'
73'
ast. L. Messi ·
S. Reguilon⚽
75'
ast. R. de Paul ·
L. Messi⚽
78'
P. Plambeck
/
T. Segovia
78'
D. Ayala
/
Y. Bright
79'
D. Pinter
/
L. Suarez
⚽E. Aristizabal
· ast. D. Salloi
82'
89'
D. Pinter
⚽E. Aristizabal
· ast. K. Franklin
90'
Pre-match prediction
37.41%
Toronto
27.22%
X
35.36%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
35.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
0.99
-0.89
1.59
1.71
+0.12
Inter Miami dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.99).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Luka Gavran
G
Luka Gavran
G
44
R. Edwards
70'
D
R. Edwards
70'
D
12
Zane Monlouis
D
Zane Monlouis
D
25
Walker Zimmerman
D
Walker Zimmerman
D
19
Kobe Franklin
1 👟
D
Kobe Franklin
1 👟
D
21
Jonathan Osorio
M
Jonathan Osorio
M
14
Alonso Coello
M
Alonso Coello
M
20
Dániel Sallói
1 👟
M
Dániel Sallói
1 👟
M
71
M. Cimermancic
65'
M
78
Malik Henry
M
Malik Henry
M
29
D. Kerr
65'
F
Bench
11
Derrick Etienne
25'
F
Derrick Etienne
25'
F
17
Emilio Aristizábal
2 ⚽
25'
F
Emilio Aristizábal
2 ⚽
25'
F
97
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
32
Noah Allen
68'
D
Noah Allen
68'
D
16
Micael
D
Micael
D
2
Gonzalo Luján
D
Gonzalo Luján
D
4
Facundo Mura
D
Facundo Mura
D
8
T. Segovia
78'
M
T. Segovia
78'
M
42
Y. Bright
78'
M
Y. Bright
78'
M
7
Rodrigo De Paul
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Rodrigo De Paul
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
19
G. Berterame
F
G. Berterame
F
9
Luis Suárez
1 ⚽
78'
F
Luis Suárez
1 ⚽
78'
F
10
L. Messi
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
L. Messi
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
Bench
56
Daniel Pinter
12'
F
Daniel Pinter
12'
F
22
David Ayala
12'
M
David Ayala
12'
M
41
David Ruíz
M
David Ruíz
M
24
Mateo Silvetti
F
Mateo Silvetti
F
37
Maximiliano Falcón
D
Maximiliano Falcón
D
3
Sergio Reguilón
1 ⚽
22'
D
Sergio Reguilón
1 ⚽
22'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Messi
F · Inter
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
5 shots
· 46 pass
Emilio Aristizábal
F · Toronto
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 9 pass
Rodrigo De Paul
M · Inter
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 78 pass
Dayne St. Clair
G · Inter
7.70
· 29 pass
Alonso Coello
M · Toronto
7.50
1 shots
· 55 pass
Y. Bright
M · Inter
7.30
· 47 pass
Toronto FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gavran | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Zane Monlouis | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Walker Zimmerman | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Kobe Franklin | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Osorio | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 65 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| Dániel Sallói | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Cimermancic | M | 65 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Malik Henry | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Kerr | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Derrick Etienne | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal | F | 25 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Inter Miami — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayne St. Clair | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Noah Allen | D | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Micael | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 84 | 81% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Luján | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 78 | 70% | 3 | — | — |
| Facundo Mura | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Segovia | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Bright | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 6 | — | — |
| Rodrigo De Paul | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 78 | 68% | — | — | — |
| G. Berterame | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Suárez | F | 78 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 31 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Messi | F | 90 | 9.30 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| David Ayala | M | 12 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Reguilón | D | 22 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?
The final score was Toronto FC 2–4 Inter Miami.
What did the model predict before Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Toronto FC win, 27% to a draw, and 35% to an Inter Miami win.